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Iran News Archives
November 2005–January 2011
Part of RCW's Nuclear
Iran? information and resource page
13 January 2011: EU chief diplomat Catherine Ashton has insisted that the Istanbul talks will include discussion of the nuclear issue. "I'm very clear that we are coming to discuss the nuclear issue and that is what we will do," Ashton told reporters after meeting with Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu. "Our purpose in meeting is to now look for tangible credible ways to make a move forward," she added. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called for Iran to agree talks to clear up "grey areas" in its contested programme at the Istanbul meeting. Delegates must agree a talks agenda that is "all-inclusive" and covers "the questions of eliminating grey areas in the Iranian nuclear programme," Lavrov said. (Source: Nicolas Cheviron, "EU to discuss nuclear issue despite Iran refusal," AFP, 13 January 2011.)
13 January 2011: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov hailed Iran's decision to invite foreign diplomats to visit its nuclear sites, but said the visits cannot substitute inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Lavrov also indicated that Russia will push for talks on Iran's nuclear program in Istanbul, but the agenda should also include ways to ensure Iran's security. (Svetlana Tikhomirova,"Russia: Only political solution to Iran nuclear issue," Press TV, 13 January 2011.)
12 January 2011: Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Iran’s ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, said that time was running out for negotiations on some parts of his country’s nuclear program because of Tehran’s enhanced ability to enrich and manufacture atomic fuel. “After the installation of the first fuel rods, produced by Iran, in the core of the Tehran research reactor, Iran’s Parliament will probably never allow the government to negotiate dispatching uranium to Turkey or other countries,” Mr. Soltanieh said. (Alan Cowell, "Iran Says Time Running Out for Nuclear Deal," New York Times, 12 January 2011.)
12 January 2011: Ali Akbar Salehi indicated that it will not discuss its nuclear dossier with with the E3+3 at the Instabul talks. "The technical and legal aspects of any country's nuclear issues can be discussed only with the International Atomic Energy Agency and the agency, based on international rules and regulations, is the only authority to judge the member states' issues," Salehi added. "If we consider this as the principle... then discussing the issue, named (Iran) nuclear issue, from our point of view is a dossier fabricated by the West and discussing it with the five-plus-one about this is meaningless," said Salehi, who oversees Tehran's nuclear programme. (Siavosh Ghazi, "Iran says no talks on 'nuclear dossier' at Istanbul," AFP, 12 January 2011.
22 November 2010: EU foreign policy chief
Catherine Ashton told reporters that stalled negotiations
between world powers and Iran on Tehran's controversial nuclear
programme will likely resume on December 5 in Geneva. She
indicated that she had received "informal confirmations"
from Iran about the date and location for the talks, "but
I want a formal confirmation." The two sides diverge
on what issues should be on the table. The world powers want
the talks to focus on Iran's uranium enrichment programme
but Tehran wants a wider discussion that includes regional
security issues. "For me the core of the agenda is very
clear: we need to talk about nuclear weapons capability and
to have a full and frank discussion about that," Ashton
said. "But in the course of our discussions, of course,
opportunities to raise other issues should not be lost, that
is why I want to spend time so that we can do that,"
she said, noting that she proposed two days of talks. ("Iran
nuclear talks likely in Geneva next month: EU," AFP,
22 November 2010)
12 November 2010: European Union foreign
affairs chief Catherine Ashton has reportedly proposed to
meet Iran's chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili on 5 December,
most likely in Switzerland. ("Reports:
EU's Ashton Offers To Meet Iran On December 5," Radio
Free Europe, 12 November 2010)
11 November 2010: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
suggested the International Atomic Energy Agency would pass
information about Iran's nuclear programme to the United States
if Iran signed the IAEA additional protocol. "The acceptance
of the Additional Protocol would be tantamount to placing
all of our nuclear activities under the supervision of the
IAEA which would in turn pass our information to America,"
state broadcaster IRIB quoted Ahmadinejad as saying on its
website. "We said we would not accept this protocol,"
Ahmadinejad added. ("Iran
says IAEA would pass nuclear information to U.S.,"
Reuters, 11 November 2010)
10 November 2010: Iranian Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki says that the agenda of planned talks between
Iran and 5+1 group (five permanent members of the UN Security
Council and Germany) will be set either before or at the time
of talks. Mottaki indicated that while Iran’s Supreme
National Security Council secretary Saeed Jalili has proposed
meeting in Istanbul on either 23 November or 5 December, the
Iranian's will be flexible regarding the date and venue of
the talks. “There is no difference between the announced
dates (by the two sides),” Mottaki noted, adding that
Turkey, Geneva, and Vienna were proposed as possible venues
of talks. ("Agenda
of Iran-5+1 talks to be set before or during meeting, Mottaki
says," Tehran Times, 11 November 2010)
9 November 2010: In an interview with
South Korean media, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev aruged
that North Korea's nuclear programme is more a threat than
Iran's. “Despite the fact that Iran is often given special
attention, I should note that Tehran, unlike Pyongyang, has
not declared itself a nuclear power, has not tested a nuclear
weapon and … has not threatened to use one,” he
said. (Reuters, "Medvedev
alarmed at North Korean nuclear activity," euronews,
9 November 2010)
9 November 2010: Iran's chief nuclear
negotiator, Saeed Jalili, proposed a meeting with the E3+3
on 23 November or 5 December in Istanbul in a letter to European
Union foreign affairs chief Catherine Ashton. The current
plan is to hold talks lasting two or three days that would
address regional security issues and Iran's nuclear programme.
The Guardian reports: "Ashton had initially suggested
a meeting next week in Vienna. She will now consult the six-nation
group – the US, Britain, France, China, Russia and Germany
– before replying to Jalili. The group reportedly views
Turkey as an insufficiently neutral venue. In recent months,
Ankara has been more supportive of Tehran. The group may offer
Switzerland as a compromise." (Julian Borger, "Iran
offers dates for multilateral talks in Turkey," The
Guardian, 9 November 2010)
9 November 2010: Iranian Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki suggested that talks between Iran and the
E3+3 could commence as early as next week. Turkish President
Abdullah Gul indicated that the talks would be held in his
country, though Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
said that talks have yet to be formally scheduled. French
Foreign Ministry spokesman Bernard Valero said that the Iranian
government has provided "no confirmation" through
diplomatic channels of the date or location of the potential
meeting. In the meantime, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman
Ramin Mehmanparast drew a distinction between a potential
exchange of Iranian uranium and the country's broader nuclear
work. "We have said from the beginning that these two
issues are independent from one another," he said. "The
issue of [the] fuel swap is an independent issue and the issue
of dialogue with [P-5+1] is another independent issue. If
the complete independence of both these issues is not respected,
then it will create obstacles in follow-ups." ("Iran
Floats Date for Nuclear Meeting," Global Security
Newswire, 9 November 2010)
8 November 2010: The Russian government
urged Iran in the near future to join new discussions of its
nuclear activities. "Russia sees no alternative to the
politico-diplomatic settlement of Iran's nuclear program and
looks forward to more active cooperation between Iran and
the [International Atomic Energy Agency] and the strict implementation
by Tehran of the requirements of the U.N. Security Council,"
Russian Ambassador to the United Nations Vitaly Churkin said.
"We urge the Iranian side to respond constructively to
the proposed resumption of negotiations with the six [world
powers], and we hope that negotiations will begin soon."
("Russia
expects Teheran to resume talks with Iran Six soon,"
RIA Novosti, 8 November 2010)
8 November 2010: IAEA Director General
Yukiya Amano said that Iran has yet to provide evidence that
its nuclear program is strictly nonmilitary in nature. "Iran
has has not provided the necessary cooperation to permit the
agency to confirm that all nuclear material in Iran is in
peaceful activities," Amano told the U.N General Assembly,
adding that Iran should fully meet IAEA and Security Council
demands over its nuclear program. Iranian offials responded:
"Claiming that 'Iran has not provided the necessary cooperation'
is incorrect and misleading," Iranian Deputy Ambassador
to the United Nations Eshagh al-Habib said. He denounced the
Security Council measures as illegal. The IAEA's past declaration
of "so much details about Iran's peaceful nuclear activities
proves that the agency has the full access to all nuclear
materials in the Islamic Republic of Iran," Reuters quoted
al-Habib as saying. "It seems that the recent reports
of the agency have been prepared under pressure from the outside,"
he said. ("Iran
nuclear cooperation insufficient: IAEA chief," AFP,
8 November 2010; "Iran
slams U.N. nuclear chief, denies keeping secrets,"
Reuters, 8 November 2010)
1 November 2010: A spokesman from the
Iranian Foreign Ministry announced that his government would
favor opening nuclear talks with world powers. “If more
countries join the talks, better results will be achieved
as international issues, which concern different nations,
will be discussed,” remarked Ramin Mehmanparast. ("Iran
Agrees to Resume Negotiations on Nuclear Program After Yearlong
Break," Bloomberg News, 1 November 2010)
26 October 2010: Iran began loading fuel
into the core of its first atomic power plant. The Russian-built
nuclear power plant in Bushehr has international approval
and is supervised by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
("Iran
Injects Fuel into First Nuclear Reactor," CBS News,
26 October 2010)
12 October 2010: Iranian Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki urged European Union Foreign Affairs chief
Catherine Ashton to be “more active” in pursuing
dialogue. Mr. Mottaki said Tehran considered late October
or early November as an appropriate time for a resumption
of the talks, but a spokesman for Ashton said no date had
been set. ("Iran
blames EU's Ashton for nuclear talks deadlock," AFP,
12 October, 2010)
30 September 2010: Russia prohibited
Iranian investment in any commercial activities regarding
uranium production, use of nuclear material, and technology
after an announcement by the Russian President Dmitry Medvedev.
The decree was issued to comply with the UN Security Council
resolution 1929. ("Russia
bans Iranian investments in nuclear industry," English.news.net,
30 September) “Clarification of outstanding questions
regarding the Iranian nuclear program would meet not only
the goals of strengthening the non-proliferation regime but
quite obviously the interests of Iran as well,” said
Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin during the General Assembly’s
high-level debate. Russia urged Iran to cooperate with the
IAEA and to show transparency to resolve issues related to
Iran’s nuclear programme. Churkin said the sanctions
against Iran are aimed to send signals to Iran about the need
of full cooperation with the IAEA and to give motivation to
the negotiation process. (“Russia
urges Iran to cooperate with UN nuclear agency,”
English.news.cn, 30 September 2010)
29 September 2010: “There are two
options in the nuclear talks—either understanding or
confrontation—and what [U.S. Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton] and the other foreign ministers have decided shows
which option they prefer,” said Iranian foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki after the E3+3 turned down an Iranian proposal
on convene a meeting during the sidelines of the General Assembly
in New York. Mottaki said the Foreign Ministers had missed
their golden opportunity. He also said that some diplomats
were open to the proposals as a possible way to advance the
dialogue. (“U.N.
Powers Turned Down High-level Meeting, Iran Says,”
Global Security Newswire, 29 September 2010)
27 September 2010: In a meeting with
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki, German Foreign
Minister Guido Westerwelle underlined that all members of
E3+3 have accepted Iran’s immutable right to use peaceful
nuclear power. Westerwelle described the current conditions
as ripe for carrying on the talks on Iran’s nuclear
programme. Mottaki pointed out that inviting Iran to talks
and simultaneously imposing strengthen sanctions on the country
does not work in dealing with Tehran. (“German
FM: All Members of 5+1 Acknowledge Iran's N. Rights,”
Fars News Agency, 27 September 2010)
22 September 2010: “Our objective
continues to be a comprehensive long-term negotiated solution
which restores international confidence in the exclusively
peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program," said a statement
released by China, France, Germany, Russia, United Kingdom
and the United States. Foreign ministers from the major powers
told Iran they hope for early talks about Iran’s nuclear
programme as well as talks about a possible nuclear swap.
("4
Big-powers seek early nuclear talks with Iran," Reuters,
22 September 2010)
21 September 2010: During a meeting with the UN Secretary
General Ban Ki-moon, the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
said Iran still is ready to hold negotiations with the major
powers based on the Tehran declaration. “The Tehran
declaration was transparent and reasonable, and was intended
to replace the spirit of confrontation with a sprit of agreement.
But unfortunately, the 5+1 group (the United States, France,
Britain, China, Russia, and Germany) made a wrong response
to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s goodwill,” President
Ahmadenijad said referring to the sanctions that the UN imposed
on Iran for its nuclear programme. The UN Secretary General
Ban Ki-moon said “mutually acceptable agreement”
should be reached to resolve the dispute over Iran’s
nuclear programme. ("Iran
still ready for talks with 5+1 group," Tehran Times,
21 September 2010)
20 September 2010: Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
met UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon for talks on Iran’s
nuclear program, during President Ahmadinejad's visit in New
York during the General Assembly. Before the meeting President
Ahmadinejad announced Iran plans to restore the relations
with the Iran-six, involving Britain, China, Germany, France,
United States, and Russia. (“Ahmadinejad,
Ban Ki-moon Meet For Talks Over Iran's Nuclear Program,”
Turkish Weekly, 20 September)
17 September 2010: “NAM notes with concern the
possible implications of the continued departure from standard
verification language in the summary of the report of the
Director General,” said a statement by the Non-Aligned
Movement criticizing the language used in the IAEA chief’s
report on Iran's nuclear programme. The statement is critical
of the Director General Yukiya Amano for accepting at face
value Western intelligence information on Iran’s nuclear
activities. (“India
with NAM in slamming IAEA report on Iran,” Indian
Express, 17 September 2010)
9 September 2010: "The demands and expectations
in IAEA Director General Yukia Amano's latest report are beyond
Iran's commitments and responsibilities in accordance with
the NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty) agreement," said the
Iranian ambassador to the agency, Ali-Asghar Soltaniyeh. He
also criticized the technical aspects of the report saying
it made it confusing for non-export readers and that it could
lead to more tensions. (“IAEA
demands beyond Iran's U.N. commitments, envoy,”
English.news.cn, 9 September 2010)
6 September 2010: The IAEA Director General released
his latest report on the
implementation of safeguards in Iran.
30 August 2010: Days after Iran started to load fuel
to its first atomic power plant Iran said it will start produce
nuclear fuel needed for a medical reactor in Tehran. Reuters
reported that the Iranian nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi,
in an interview with the TV station Al Alam, said, “We
will produce all the fuel needed for the Tehran plant in one
year from today." Salehi said that Tehran so far has
produced 25 kg (55lb) of uranium to a level of 20 percent
purity for the Tehran reactor. (“Iran
to make medical reactor fuel in year – report,”
Reuters, 30 August)
30 August 2010: "The Iranian nation does not
need atomic bombs," Iran's Foreign Minister Manouchehr
Mottaki said adding that Iran's "weapon of logic"
is more powerful than any nuclear weapon. Iran has criticized
the resolution adopted by the UN Security Council (UNSC) on
9 June which imposes a fourth round of sanction against Iran
over its nuclear program. According to the Fars News Agency,
Mottaki claimed “They [Western countries] however, assert
that Iran may have the intention of making nuclear weapons,
and punished our nation based on the claim that Iran has such
intentions." He noted that the sanctions illustrates
a lack of logic in the currant international order. Iran argues
that as a signatory to the Non- Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
and a member of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
it has the right to use nuclear technology for peaceful purposes.
(“Sanctions
reflect West's 'lack of logic',” presstv.com, 30
August 2010)
21 August 2010: "Despite all pressure, sanctions
and hardships imposed by western nations, we are now witnessing
the start-up of the largest symbol of Iran's peaceful nuclear
activities," said Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's
atomic energy organization, at the inauguration of the Bushehr
nuclear power plant. Salehi said it demonstrated that Iran's
nuclear aims are entirely peaceful. (“Iran
begins loading fuel at its Bushehr nuclear reactor,”
The Guardian, 21 August 2010).
16 June 2010: A day after U.S imposed sanctions against
Iran the European Union followed with what they called “inevitable”
measures against Iran. The leaders of European Union indicated
that the sanctions would go beyond the sanctions mandated
by the United Nation Security Council. The European measures
will imply forward sanctions on “key sectors of the
gas and oil industry with prohibition of new investment, technical
assistance and transfers of technologies” and new visa
bans and freezes especially on the Islamic Revolutionary Guards
Corps. The European Union declared that the new restrictive
measures is “inevitable” because Iran has neglected
the many opportunities offered to remove the concerns of the
international community over Iran's nuclear program. (“U.S
and Europe press tighter sanctions on Iran,” New
York Times, 16 June 2010)
3 June 2010: Iran accused the IAEA for false reporting,
saying inspectors probing a laboratory for suspected undeclared
nuclear experiments found some equipment removed. According
to the Guardian Ali Ashgar Soltanieh, Iran's ambassador to
the IAEA, did not give a direct answer when asked if he was
blaming the agency for a mistake or if he believed in any
other reason for the asserted false finding. The remark considered
a finding published in the IAEA's quarterly report on Iran's
nuclear activity concerning experiments in pyroprocessing,
a process which can be used to purify uranium metal used in
nuclear weapons. Soltanieh said his country is going to ask
for a formal correction. (“Iran
accuses nuclear agency of false reporting,” The
Guardian, 3 June 2010)
31 May 2010: The IAEA Director General released his
latest report
on the implementation of safeguards in Iran.
22 May 2010: Despite new sanctions Iran seem to go
ahead with a deal reached with Brazil and Turkey. According
to Iran's official news agency Iran will hand a official paper
to the IAEA's chief to describe the details over the fuel
swap agreement with Turkey and Brazil. Reuters writes that
Brazilian and Turkish representatives of the IAEA will attend
to the meeting with Iran and the IAEA. Last week agreement
said the first bath of Iranian uranium would arrive to Turkey
within a month. In return Iran will get fuel to keep a Tehran
medical research reactor. Brazil, Turkey and Iran have urged
the UN to stop the talk of further sanctions against Iran
because of the deal, but according to Reuters western powers
suspect it is Iran's tactic to turn away or delay sanctions.
(“Iran
to go ahead with Turkey atom fuel swap- report,”
Reuters. 22 May 2010)
17 May 2010: Turkey says Iran has agreed on a nuclear
fuel swap deal."Yes, it has been reached after almost
18 hours of negotiations," says the Turkish Foreign Minister
Ahmet Davutoglu. The Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu
flew to Iran to join the Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula
da Silva who has been negotiated with Iranian officials. Western
and Russian authorities has seen the deal as the last chance
for Iran to avoid new UN sanction. (“Turkey,
Brazil seal deal on Iran nuclear fuel swap,” Reuters,
17 May 2010)
5 May 2010:According to Reuters the Iranian President
Ahmadinejad has agreed in principal to Brazil's mediation
over the nuclear fuel deal. The deal offered Iran in October
was to ship 1200 kg LEU to France and Russia to make it into
fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor. Iran rejected the proposal
saying it would only swap its material within its own regional
which the parties in the deal considered unacceptable. Some
nonpermanent members of the Security Council, like Turkey
and Brazil are trying to resume the stalled mediations to
help Iran avoid further sanctions. (“Iran
agrees “in principal” to Brazil's mediation,”
Reuters, 5 May 2010)
1 May 2010: Hillary Clinton said the Obama administration
is open for negotiation with Iran over its nuclear program
and stressed there is no hard and fast deadline. Iran's foreign
minister welcomed the idea and agreed that deadlines are meaningless.
(“Iran
welcomes Hillary Clinton comments on nuclear talks,”
MENAFN Saudi Press Agency, 1 May 2010)
18 February 2010: The IAEA Director General
released his latest report on
the implementation of safeguards in Iran.
10 February 2010: Press TV quoted Ali
Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran’s Atomic energy Organization,
as indicating that enrichment could still be suspended if
the West accepted its terms for a contentious deal to swap
Iran’s stockpile for imported fuel rods. “So the
deal is still on the table. If they come forward and supply
the fuel, then we will stop the 20-percent enrichment,”
Mr. Salehi said. However, he said Tehran still insisted that
the swap be made simultaneously and on Iranian soils, which
many western officials think will be rejected by the United
States. (Helene Cooper and Mark Landler, "U.S.
Eyes New Sanctions Over Iran Nuclear Program," New
York Times, 10 February 2010.) Also on Wednesday, US officials
indicated that the United States would be willing to help
Iran purchase medical isotopes on the international market
to prevent Iran from enriching uranium to such levels. (Glen
Kessler, "U.S.
unveils offer to help Iran purchase medical isotopes,"
The Washington Post, 10 February 2010.)
9 February 2010: President Obama said
in a news conference, “We have bent over backwards to
say to the Islamic Republic of Iran that we are willing to
have a constructive conversation about how they can align
themselves with international norms and rules and re-enter
as full members of the international community.” He
also said that his administration is “developing a significant
regime of sanctions that will indicate to them how isolated
they are from the international community as a whole.”
The sanctions reportedly focus on the Islamic Revolutionary
Guards Corps of Iran, publicly singling out the organization’s
vast array of companies, banks, and other entities. In putting
together a UN Security Council resolution that names specific
companies and the wide web of assets owned by the Guards,
which include even the Tehran airport, the administration
says it hopes to substantially increase pressure on the organization,
which one senior administration official described as a new
“entitled class” in Iran. (Helene Cooper and
Mark Landler, "U.S.
Eyes New Sanctions Over Iran Nuclear Program," New
York Times, 10 February 2010.)
4 February 2010: Chinese Foreign Minister
Yang Jiechi said that pressure for tighter sanctions against
Iran over its nuclear program could block chances of a diplomatic
settlement on the issue. He argued, “To talk about sanctions
at the moment will complicate the situation and might stand
in the way of finding a diplomatic solution.” “China
firmly supports the international nuclear nonproliferation
regime,” Mr. Yang said. “All countries, Iran included
if they obey I.A.E.A. rules, have a right to a peaceful use
of nuclear energy.” (Alan Cowell, "China
Renews Opposition to Iran Sanctions," New York Times,
4 February 2010.)
3 February 2010: Ali Akbar Salehi, director
of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, said that no deal
has been struck to export uranium for enrichment abroad. He
explained, "The discussions are still being conducted,
and we will inform the nation of any final agreements."
("Iran's
nuclear agency chief: No uranium export plan finalized,"
CNN, 3 February 2010.) The same day, US Defense Secretary
Robert Gates said Iran faces the prospect of "severe
sanctions" from the United States and other major powers
over its suspect nuclear activities. He did not specify what
financial or other penalties might be imposed on Tehran. The
US Senate has called for imposing sanctions that would target
its thirst for petrol imports, punishing non-Iranian firms
that do business in Iran's energy sector or help the country
produce or import refined oil products, though the Obama administration
has reportedly so far resisted the proposal. ("Iran
faces 'severe sanctions' over nuclear program: Gates,"
AFP, 3 February 2010.)
2 February 2010: Iranian President Ahmadinejad
voiced support for the IAEA-brokered uranium enrichment deal.
The deal, which Iran formally rejected weeks ago, would swap
low-enriched uranium for fuel for a research reactor that
produces medical isotopes. "If we allow them to take
it, there is no problem," Ahmadinejad said on state TV.
"We sign a contract to give 3.5 percent enriched uranium
and receive 20 percent enriched ones after four or five months."
US officials reacted cautiously to Ahmadinejad's remarks.
White House spokesman Mike Hammer said, "If Mr. Ahmadinejad's
comments reflect an updated Iranian position, we look forward
to Iran informing the IAEA." (Thomas Erdbrink and
Glenn Kessler, "Ahmadinejad
backs deal to remove bulk of enriched uranium from Iran,"
The Washington Post, 3 February 2010.)
29 January 2010: The IAEA Director General
said dialogue was continuing on a draft deal on enriched uranium
between Iran and world powers even though the Iranian government
seems to have turned down the deal. DG Yukiya Amano said the
deal was still on the table and that dialogue is continuing.
("Dialogue
on stalled Iran atom deal goes on: IAEA head," Reuters,
29 January 2010.)
28 January 2010: The US Senate voted
in favour of new sanctions against Iran, targeting gasoline
imports. The Senate bill, which passed by voice vote, must
now be blended with a similar bill in the House of Representatives
to forge a compromise measure for both sides to approve and
send to President Barack Obama. ("US
Senate votes to slap new sanctions on Iran," AFP,
28 January 2010.) Meanwhile, the Chinese government called
for efforts to resume dialogue with Iran, arguing, "Iran's
nuclear issue should be resolved through diplomatic efforts
and negotiations." During an international conference
on Afghanistan, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has
been working to garner international support for new sanctions
against Iran, arguing that Iran had made no efforts to reach
a compromise with the international community over its nuclear
programme. But the Chinese have been pushing for resumption
of dialogue and negotiations. ("China
still leery on U.S. sanctions push for Iran," Reuters,
28 January 2010.)
20 January 2010: The Iranian government
notified the IAEA in writing that it does not accept some
of the draft deal to send most of its enriched uranium abroad.
Diplomats said Iran's position on enriching uranium abroad
was reflected in a memo sent to the IAEA. It repeated verbal
calls for amendments that Western powers had dismissed as
non-starters but said did not amount to a final response.
US State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley described the response
as "inadequate": "I am not sure that whatever
they have done, perhaps today, is any different than what
they have done previously." (Reuters, "Iran
Spurns Nuclear Fuel Deal In Writing - Diplomats,"
New York Times, 20 January 2010.)
10 January 2010: Iranian news reports
and US official sources said that that in early January, the
Iranian foreign ministry returned a formal counter offer to
swap low enriched uranium, or LEU, in exchange for nuclear
fuel cells produced in the West. The originally offer from
the IAEA, the Tehran Research Reactor proposal, or TRR, calls
on Iran to immediately send 1,200 kg of its LEU to Russia,
and France would in return supply Iran with nuclear fuel cells
for medical use. The plan would have left Iran without enough
fissile material to enrich for use in a nuclear weapon, putting
time back on the clock for international negotiations on the
nation’s nuclear program. Iran’s counter-offer
also proposes sending the 1,200 kg abroad – probably
to Turkey – but in batches, starting with a first shipment
of 400 kg. ("Iran
offers nuke fuel deal," Politico, 10 January 2010.)
6 January 2010: Zhang Yesui, the Chinese
ambassador to the United Nations, argued that imposing tougher
sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program is a poor idea
while diplomatic negotiations remain possible. “Sanctions
themselves are not an end,” Ambassador Zhang said at
a news conference. He called for more time and patience, noting
that senior political officials from the five permanent members
of the Security Council and Germany were expected to meet
in the coming weeks to discuss the next steps. Ambassador
Zhang said remarks by Iranian officials over the past few
days indicated their interest in finding a diplomatic resolution.
“This also represents that there is more to happen in
the area of talks,” he said. (Neil McFarquhar, "Chinese
Envoy Objects to More Penalties for Iran," New York
Times, 6 January 2009.)
6 December 2009: In an interview the
Washington Post, former IAEA Director General ElBaradei described
the 27 November IAEA resolution
on Iran's nuclear programme as an "act of frustration,"
emphasizing that it does not signal the end to the pursuit
of a diplomatic solution. He explained, "The same people
who sponsored the resolution continue to talk about the importance
of reaching out to Iran. . . . What we saw from Iran after
the resolution was like a tantrum. I hope the tantrum will
subside and go away, and they will see their interest, which
is clearly to engage on a basis of respect and goodwill. I
also hope that the U.S. and its partners will see the need
to be slightly more patient, and realize that we will have
to go through this domestic hype by Iran and get back on the
right track, which is engagement. I don't see any other way."
ElBaradei also argued that current efforts of
US diplomacy are not naïve or misguided, noting, "The
policy that was in place for the previous six years failed.
In my view the problem could have been resolved four to five
years ago if the previous policy was more pragmatic and based
on realism, not ideology." (Joby Warrick, "A
nuclear watchdog's parting shots," Washington Post,
6 December 2009.)
5 December 2009: Ali Akbar Salehi, the
head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, emphasized
that Iran would not seek to pull out of the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT). Mr. Salehi sought to assure that Iran had no
interest in pulling out of the treaty, and he implied that
any other suggestion was an attempt by Western countries to
force Iran into a corner. “I think the West is trying
to force us out of the N.P.T.,” he was quoted as saying
on the Press TV Web site. The speaker of Iran’s Parliament,
Ali Larijani, also urged moderation, saying that the government
should not be “pushed into hasty reactions,” the
ISNA news agency quoted him as saying. “You should demand
that authorities use all possible ways to serve national interests,”
he said. Mr. Larijani characterized the United Nations nuclear
agency’s resolution as a “light move” that
had then brought an “initial reaction” by Iran.
(Nazila Fathi, "Iran
Will Not Quit Treaty, Its Nuclear Chief Asserts,"
New York Times, 5 December 2009.)
2 December 2009: Iranian president Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad announced that Iran would move to aim to enrich
its uranium to 20% for medical applications. (David E.
Sanger and Jack Healy, "Iran
President Says Nuclear Enrichment Will Increase,"
New York Times, 2 December 2009.)
1 December 2009: The IAEA said that the
Iranian government has not yet officially informed it the
reported decision to build ten more uranium enrichment facilities.
Agency spokeswoman Gill Tudor said, “The agency will
be seeking clarification from Iran on its announcement.”
("IAEA
says not informed of Iran's enrichment plans," AFP,
1 December 2009.)
29 November 2009: Iranian parliament
announced through state media that it plans to build ten more
uranium enrichment facilities.
27 November 2009: The International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) 35-member Board of Governors passed a
resolution with 25 in favour,
7 abstentions, and 3 against criticising Iran for constructing
a second enrichment plant near the holy city of Qom without
informing the IAEA of its actions. The resolution urges Iran
to comply with the relevant UN Security Council resolutions
on its nuclear programme, to engage with the IAEA on resolving
all outstanding issues, to ratify the Additional Protocol
and apply the modified Code 3.1, and to confirm that it has
not taken a decision to construct any other nuclear facility
that has not yet been declared to the IAEA.
20 November 2009: IAEA Director General
ElBaradei urged Iran to accept an offer to process its enriched
uranium abroad by the end of 2009 and advised Western powers
not to impose further sanctions on Tehran. He said a plan
brokered by the IAEA in which Iran would send low-enriched
uranium to Russia and France for conversion into fuel for
a Tehran medical reactor was a rare chance to defuse mistrust
over its nuclear program. "I would hope definitely that
we'll get an agreement before the end of the year," he
told a news conference in Berlin. "I believe frankly
the ball is very much in the Iranian court. I hope they will
not miss this unique but fleeting opportunity." Noting
that under Obama the United States had taken a "creative
and pragmatic" approach to resolving the impasse over
Tehran's nuclear program, ElBaradei used the news conference
to send a message directly to the Iranian leadership: "You
need to engage in creative diplomacy, you need to understand
that this is the first time that you will have a genuine commitment
from an American president to engage you fully, on the basis
of respect, with no conditions. Don't lose that opportunity."
The P5 + 1 met in Brussels to discuss what to
do about Iran's preliminary rejection of the nuclear fuel
deal. Obama warned Tehran it would have to face "consequences,"
an allusion to broader international sanctions. ElBaradei
said he was opposed to the imposition of more punitive sanctions
if Tehran did finally reject the proposal. "Are sanctions
going to resolve the issue? I don't think so. In my view sanctions
are going to make things much worse," he said, adding
that this would probably make Iran "more hawkish."
(Dave Graham, "ElBaradei
urges Iran to agree fuel deal by year end," Reuters,
20 November 2009.)
19 November 2009: President Obama says
the US and its partners are discussing "a package of
potential steps" they could take if Iran declines the
international uranium enrichment deal. He said Iran needed
to get a "clear message" that, if it failed to take
advantage of such opportunities, it was "making itself
less secure". He said Iran would not be given an unlimited
amount of time, comparing the Iranian nuclear issue to the
years of stop-and-start negotiations with North Korea about
its nuclear ambitions. ("US
considers response to Iran nuclear snub," BBC, 19
November 2009.)
18 November 2009: The Iranian government
issued a tentative response to IAEA Director General ElBaradei,
rejecting the international nuclear fuel deal. However, ElBaradei
said the response was not written and does not reflect Iran's
final position. "I do not consider that I have received
a final answer," ElBaradei said. "What I got is
an oral response, basically saying we need to keep all the
material in Iran until we get the fuel. That to me is an extreme
case of distrust." (Dave Graham, "ElBaradei
urges Iran to agree fuel deal by year end," Reuters,
20 November 2009.)
16 November 2009: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei circulated
his latest report on nuclear safeguards
in Iran to the Agency's Board of Governors, the 35-member
policymaking body, in advance of their meeting next week.
The report notes that the IAEA continues to verify the
non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran. However,
regarding the new enrichment plant at revealed in September
2009 near Qom, the report also argues that Iran’s failure
to inform the Agency of the decision to construct a new facility
as soon as such a decision is taken is inconsistent with its
obligations under the Subsidiary Arrangements to its Safeguards
Agreement. The report continues to urge Iran to implement
the Additional Protocol and cooperate with the IAEA to resolve
outstanding issues. It also urges those states that have provided
documentation to the Agency to agree to share more of that
documentation with Iran.
The reports outline developments since the Director
General's report of 28 August 2009:
It notes that that the declared maximum enrichment
level (i.e. less than 5.0% U-235 enrichment) has not been
exceeded at either the Fuel Enrichment Plant at Natanz or
the Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant. It also reports that there
are no indications of ongoing reprocessing related activities
at the Tehran Research Reactor and the Molybdenum, Iodine
and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility. The report notes
that no UF6 has been produced at the Uranium Conversion Facility
(UCF) at Esfahan since 10 August 2009.
The report also details the IAEA's interactions
with Iran over the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant at Qom, arguing
that "even if, as stated by Iran, the decision to construct
the new facility at the Fordow site was taken in the second
half of 2007, Iran’s failure to notify the Agency of the new
facility until September 2009 was inconsistent with its obligations
under the Subsidiary Arrangements to its Safeguards Agreement."
Regarding Iran's heavy water reactor related
projects, the IAEA reviewed the updated design information
questionnaire for the Fuel Manufacturing Plant (FMP) at Esfahan.
The report notes that the questionnaire did not contain information
on the design features of the IR-40 fuel assembly. The Agency
provided comments on the design information questionnaire
to Iran on 5 November 2009, reiterating its request that Iran
include the fuel assembly information. The Agency has concluded
that the inventory of nuclear material at FMP as declared
by Iran is consistent with the results of the IAEA's physical
inventory verification carried out in August 2009. The report
says the construction of the Arak IR-40 reactor was ongoing
but the heavy water production plant seems not to have been
operating since the last report.
Regarding the nuclear power plant Iran intends
to build Darkhovin, the report explains that the IAEA has
examined the design information provided by Iran on 22 September
and has requested Iran to provide additional clarifications
regarding, inter alia, the design of the fuel assemblies and
the facility layout. The report also argues that as with the
Qom facility, Iran’s failure to submit design information
for the Darkhovin facility until September of this year was
inconsistent with its obligations under the Subsidiary Arrangements
to its Safeguards Agreement.
The IAEA Board of Governors will discuss the
report when it next convenes in Vienna on 26 November.
11 November 2009: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
declared
Iran's readiness for international nuclear cooperation, including
on a global fuel bank. "One of the most important issues
of today is definitely nuclear cooperation at the international
level, whether in building a power station or reactor or whether
it is about Iran's presence in the global fuel bank,"
Ahmadinejad said. (Ramin Mostafavi, Hossein Jaseb, Fredrik
Dah, Andrew Dobbie, "Ahmadinejad
suggests Iran role in atom fuel bank," Reuters, 11
November 2009.)
8 November 2009: Iran's chief negotiator
in talks with Western powers over its atomic program said
on Sunday he hoped a draft deal on nuclear fuel would be reached
soon. "Tehran still welcomes the negotiations (with the
six powers) on the basis of its package of proposals,"
state broadcaster IRIB quoted Saeed Jalili as saying. It said
he hoped the talks "will be completed as quickly as possible."
Iran says talks are needed on the nuclear deal and that wants
to import atomic fuel rather than send its own uranium abroad
for processing. (Reza Derakhshi, Andrew Hammond, Mark Trevelyan,
"Iran
atomic negotiator says wants speedy talks," Reuters,
8 November 2009.)
Meanwhile, the Obama administration reportedly
told Iran’s leaders in back-channel messages through
the IAEA that it is willing to allow the country to send its
stockpile of enriched uranium to any of several nations, including
Turkey, for temporary safekeeping, according to administration
officials and diplomats involved in the exchanges. US officials
reported that the Iranians suggested that international arms
inspectors take custody of much of Iran’s fuel, but
keep it on Kish, a Persian Gulf resort island that is part
of Iran. A senior Obama administration official said that
proposal had been rejected because leaving the nuclear material
on Iranian territory would allow for the possibility that
the Iranians could evict the international inspectors at any
moment. The intermediary in the exchanges between Washington
and Tehran has been Mohamed ElBaradei, the director general
of the energy agency. He confirmed some of the proposals —
including one to send Iran’s fuel to Turkey, which has
nurtured close relations with Iran — in interviews in
New York late last week. (David E. Sanger, "Iran
Said to Ignore Effort to Salvage Nuclear Deal ,"
New York Times, 8 November 2009.)
7 November 2009: The IAEA carried out
a design information verification at the IR-40 reactor at
Arak. The Agency verified that the construction of the facility
was ongoing. The Agency has continued using satellite imagery
to monitor the status of the Heavy Water Production Plant,
which seems not to have been operating since the last report.
6 November 2009: In a letter, the IAEA
asked Iran to confirm that it
had not taken a decision to construct, or to authorize construction
of, any other nuclear facility which had not been declared
to the Agency.
2 November 2009: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei urged
Iran to respond quickly to his nuclear fuel proposal while
warning the world against using force. "I therefore urge
Iran to be as forthcoming as possible in responding soon to
my recent proposal based on the initiative of the United States,
Russia and France which aimed to engage Iran in a series of
measures that could build confidence and trust," ElBaradei
told the U.N. General Assembly. Such measures, he said, could
lead to a substantive dialogue between Iran and the international
community. ("UN
wants swift response from Iran on fuel proposal,"
Reuters, 2 November 2009.)
29 October 2009: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei has received
an initial response from the Iranian authorities to his proposal
to use Iran´s low-enriched uranium for manufacturing
fuel for the continued operation of the Tehran Research Reactor,
which is devoted mainly to producing radioisotopes for medical
purposes. According to the IAEA, the Director General is engaged
in consultations with the government of Iran as well as all
relevant parties, with the hope that agreement on his proposal
can be reached soon. The response has not been made public,
though the New York Times noted
that it came as the Iranian president made his most positive
comments to date on the effort, saying, “We welcome
cooperation on nuclear fuel, power plants and technology,
and we are ready to cooperate.”
The Washington Post reported
that in a speech in the northeastern city of Mashhad, President
Ahmadinejad defied harsh criticism from domestic opponents
who accused him of giving away too much in the negotiations.
He said the West has been forced to alter its confrontational
stance toward Iran, state television reported.
28 October 2009: The Agency held
a second meeting (the first was on 25 October) in Tehran to
review the design information questionnaire on the Fordow
Fuel Enrichment Plant at Qom and to discuss the chronology
of the design and construction of the plant as well as its
status and purpose. As agreed at the 25 October meeting, Iran
submitted a revised design information questionnaire to the
IAEA during this meeting.
In a letter to the IAEA, Iran confirmed its
earlier explanation that the Fordow site had been allocated
to the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) in the second
half of 2007, and that that was when the construction of FFEP
had started. The letter stated:
“As a result of the augmentation of
the threats of military attacks against Iran, the Islamic
Republic of Iran decided to establish contingency centers
for various organizations and activities …
“The Natanz Enrichment Plant was among the targets
threatened with military attacks. Therefore, the Atomic
Energy Organization requested the Passive Defence Organization
to allocate one of those aforementioned centers for the
purpose of [a] contingency enrichment plant, so that the
enrichment activities shall not be suspended in the case
of any military attack. In this respect, the Fordow site,
being one of those constructed and prepared centers, [was]
allocated to the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI)
in the second half of 2007. The construction of the Fordow
Fuel Enrichment Plant then started.
The construction is still ongoing. Thus the plant is not
yet ready for operation and it is planned to be operational
in 2011.”
However, during this and the 25 October meeting,
the IAEA reportedly informed Iran that it had acquired commercially
available satellite imagery of the site indicating that there
had been construction at the site between 2002 and 2004, and
that construction activities were resumed in 2006 and had
continued to date. The Agency also referred to the extensive
information given to the Agency by a number of Member States
detailing the design of the facility, which was consistent
with the design as verified by the Agency during the DIV.
The Agency also informed Iran that these Member States alleged
that design work on the facility had started in 2006.
The Agency further indicated that it still had
questions about the purpose for which the facility had been
intended and how it fit into Iran’s nuclear programme. The
Agency also indicated that Iran’s declaration of the new facility
reduces the level of confidence in the absence of other nuclear
facilities under construction and gives rise to questions
about whether there were any other nuclear facilities in Iran
which had not been declared to the Agency.
Iran stated that it did not have any other nuclear
facilities that were currently under construction or in operation
that had not yet been declared to the Agency. Iran also stated
that any such future facilities would “be reported to the
Agency according to Iran’s obligations to the Agency”.
27 October 2009: According to the BBC
and Reuters,
Iranian state-media, Al-Alam TV, has reported that Iran will
accept the draft UN deal on its nuclear programme but wants
major amendments. Citing an unnamed official, the satellite
television station said Iran would present its response to
the proposed agreement within 48 hours. It reported that Iran
opposed the idea of sending most of its low-enriched uranium
reserve abroad for processing all in one go.
26-27 October 2009: The IAEA carried
out design information verification at the Fordow Fuel
Enrichment Plant (FFEP) at Qom. The Agency verified that FFEP
was being built to contain sixteen cascades with a total of
approximately 3000 centrifuges. Iran indicated that it currently
planned to install only IR-1 centrifuges at FFEP, but that
the facility could be reconfigured to contain centrifuges
of more advanced types should Iran take a decision to use
such centrifuges in the future. Iran stated that some of the
equipment located at FFEP had come from the Natanz site, and
that the Natanz site would provide functional support to FFEP,
such as centrifuge assembly and
decontamination of equipment. Iran also stated that no nuclear
material had been introduced into FFEP.
According to the IAEA Report on 16 November
2009, the design information verification included a detailed
visual examination of all areas of the plant, the taking of
photographs of cascade piping and other process equipment,
the taking of environmental samples and a detailed assessment
of the design, configuration and capacity of the various plant
components and systems. Iran provided access to all areas
of the facility. The Agency confirmed that the plant corresponded
with the design information provided by Iran and that the
facility was at an advanced stage of construction, although
no centrifuges had been introduced into the facility. Centrifuge
mounting pads, header and sub-header pipes, water piping,
electrical cables and cabinets had been put in place but were
not yet connected; the passivation tanks, chemical traps,
cold traps and cool boxes were also in place but had not been
connected. In addition, a utilities building containing electricity
transformers and water chillers had also been erected.
25 October 2009: The Agency held
a meeting in Tehran to review the design information questionnaire
(DIQ) on the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) at Qom and
to discuss the chronology of the design and construction of
the plant as well as its status and purpose. The IAEA provided
comments on the preliminary DIQ submitted by Iran, and requested
that a revised preliminary DIQ be submitted with additional
information. Iran informed the Agency that it would provide
further information required in the DIQ as the facility is
developed. The Agency informed Iran that, in accordance with
its Safeguards Agreement, FFEP will henceforth be subject
to regular design information verification by the Agency.
The next design information verification is scheduled for
the end of November 2009.
Iran explained that the Fordow site had been
allocated to the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI)
in the second half of 2007, and that that was when the construction
of FFEP had started.
The IAEA also carried out a design information
verification at the Uranium Conversion Facility at Esfahan.
24 October 2009: The IAEA announced
that its inspectors have left for Tehran to visit the Qom
nuclear site.
23 October 2009: The United States, Russia
and France indicated
their positive response to IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei's
proposal on a draft agreement to supply Iran with nuclear
fuel for its research reactor, which amongst other things
produces radioisotopes for medical purposes. Iran informed
the Director General that it is considering the proposal in
depth and in a favourable light, but it needs time until the
middle of next week to provide a response.
22 October 2009: During talks between
Iran, the Untied States, Russia, and France in Vienna, International
Atomic Energy Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei proposed
an agreement that would transfer the bulk of Iran's enriched
uranium stockpile out of the country. The deal, which must
be affirmed by all four governments, would require Iran to
rid itself of nearly 80 percent of its reported stockpile.
Russia would convert Iran's enriched uranium into reactor
fuel, while France would take that material and fashion it
into the metal plates used for the reactor. International
Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei said,
"I cross my fingers that by Friday we have an okay by
all the parties concerned. I very much hope that people see
the big picture -- that this agreement could pave the way
for a complete normalization of relations between Iran and
the international community." Ali Asghar Soltanieh,
Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, said that the draft is "on
the right track" but that it needs approval from Tehran.
"We have to thoroughly study this text and also [need]
further elaboration in capitals," Soltanieh told reporters.
19 October 2009: Nuclear talks between
Iran and the United States, Russia, and France, began in Vienna.
18 October 2009: Under cover of a letter
to the IAEA, Iran submitted a
preliminary design information questionnaire for the Fordow
Fuel Enrichment Plant at Qom.
4 October 2009: During a meeting with
the IAEA Director General in Tehran, Iran agreed
to provide the Agency with access to the Fordow Fuel Enrichment
Plant at Qom.
1 October 2009: US and Iranian officials
held their first direct talks in 30 years on the margins of
a meeting between the P5+1 (China, France, the Russian Federation,
the United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany) and Iran
in Geneva. The parties agreed to a second round of talks by
the end of the month. The US government expressed
its interest in “a process that leads to a resolution
of the concerns that we have,” noting that “the
process will take some time, and we’re not going to
make a snap judgement ... As the President has said, at the
end of the year, we will be in a position to evaluate any
progress that has been made over the course of this period
of time. And in that – then we’ll be in a better
position to evaluate what we should do next.”
During the talks, Iran agreed to allow Iranian
low-enriched uranium (LEU) to be sent to Russia for further
enrichment, probably from about 5 percent to about 20 percent,
and then transported to France to be fabricated into fuel
rods to feed the Iranian research reactor, which is used to
produce isotopes used for medical purposes. One
commentator noted:
This had many dimensions. First, it reduced
the Iranian LEU stock below the level required to produce
a nuclear device. Second, it established the principle that
Iranian enrichment could be conducted outside the country.
But third, it promised to provide Iran with uranium enriched
well above the level required for nuclear power reactors
(but not yet at the level required for bomb-building). And
lastly, it tacitly acknowledged Iran’s right to produce
enriched uranium. Nothing in the reports we have seen to
date indicate that the Western interlocutors insisted on
the previous red line that Iran should abandon its enrichment
program.
23 September 2009: The IAEA performed
a design information verification at the Uranium Chemical
Laboratory at Esfahan, and was able to confirm the decommissioned
status of the facility (GOV/2009/55, para. 17).
22 September 2009: In a letter, Iran
provided the IAEA with preliminary
design information for the nuclear power plant to be built
in Darkhovin. In the preliminary design information, the Darkhovin
plant is described as a 360 MWe pressurized water reactor,
the construction of which is scheduled to start in 2011, with
commissioning to take place in 2015.
21 September 2009: The Iranian government
revealed to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
last week that it has been building a second uranium enrichment
facility underground. The site is reportedly at a mountain
site located on an Iranian military installation near the
city of Qom and capable of housing up to 3000 centrifuges
used to enrich uranium. The United States, United Kingdom,
and France accused Iran of violating its safeguards agreement
with the IAEA and have threatened tougher sanctions against
the country.
However, the Iranian government argued that it is in compliance
with its IAEA agreement, insisting that it no longer needs
to provide early notification of the construction of nuclear
facilities. The specific agreement in question, “modified
Code 3.1,” was accepted by Iran in 2003 but not ratified
by its parliament. In March 2007, Iran informed
the IAEA that it had “suspended” implementation
of the Code and would revert back to the implementation of
its earlier, 1976 version. This original Code only requires
the submission of design information for new facilities “normally
not later than 180 days before the facility is scheduled to
receive nuclear material for the first time.” However,
the IAEA argues
that the modified Code, which indicates that “countries
must notify inspectors as soon as a decision is made to build
a nuclear plant,” is still applicable to Iran. The Agency
says
that states who adopted the modified Code cannot unilaterally
revert to the old Code.
The Iranian government has invited
the IAEA to inspect the site. President Ahmadinejad reiterated
Iran’s position that Iran is not interested in developing
nuclear weapons.
20 September 2009: Iran's supreme leader,
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said,
"The U.S. officials who claim that the Iranian missiles
are dangerous or that we are seeking to produce atomic bombs
know themselves that such statements are false. We fundamentally
reject nuclear weapons and prohibit the use and production
of nuclear weapons." Khamenei issued a fatwa, a religious
edict, against nuclear weapons five years ago. (Washington
Post, 20/09/09)
15 September 2009: US Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton said
that the Iranian nuclear programme would be at the top of
the US agenda during the scheduled 1 October meeting, even
though Iranian officials have said it is off the table. “Iran
says it has a number of issues it wishes to discuss with us,”
Mrs. Clinton told reporters. “But what we are concerned
about is discussing with them the questions surrounding their
nuclear program and ambitions.” (NYT, 15/09/09)
14 September 2009: European Union foreign
policy chief Javier Solana and Iran's chief nuclear negotiator
Saeed Jalili agreed
to begin talks between Iran and the P5+1 (China, France, Russia,
the United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany) on 1 October.
US Secretary of Energy Steven Chu said: "It's an important
first step and we are hoping for the best."
13 September 2009: Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said
that Iran is ready to discuss global issues with world powers,
but that its nuclear programme was non-negotiable.
11 September 2009: The P5+1 (China, France,
Russia, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany)
accepted
Iran's offer of comprehensive talks, to test out if Iran was
serious about negotiations. "The United States and five
partner countries have decided to accept Iran's new offer
to hold talks, even though Iran insists it will not negotiate
over its disputed nuclear program," State Department
spokesman PJ Crowley said at the State Department briefing.
"The ball is in Iran’s court whether it is prepared
to seriously engage in the nuclear issue, as well as others,"
Crowley said in a further statement by email. "We are
following a two-track strategy along with our partners in
the P5+1 process – engagement and pressure. Iran’s
response will feed into the stock-taking that the President
indicated we will make. If Iran refuses to engage seriously,
we will take that into account."
Meanwhile, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin
reiterated
his country’s opposition to a military strike or new
economic sanctions on Iran over the nuclear program. Spokesman
Dmitry Peskov cited Putin as saying, there is no reason to
believe the project has anything but peaceful ends.
9 September 2009: The Iranian government
submitted
a five-page proposal to the P5+1 (China, France, Russia, the
United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany), in which
it offers to hold "comprehensive, all-encompassing and
constructive" negotiations on a range of security issues,
including global nuclear disarmament. The document does not
mention Iran's nuclear programme.
28 August 2009: The IAEA Director General
released his latest report on
the implementation of NPT Safeguards Agreement and Security
Council resolutionsin Iran. The report explains once again
there is no diversion of highly enriched uranium for weapons
purposes and that Iran is cooperating on verification of its
fuel enrichment activities, even though it is not complying
with UNSC resolutions demanding that it stop its enrichment
programme altogether. It also notes that Iran is also refusing
to implement the Additional Protocol that it informally abided
by under the Paris Agreement until 2006 and that it is not
cooperating on explaining legacy data which may relate to
past military-related research.
25 August 2009: As the IAEA
prepares to welcome a new Director General on 30 November
of this year, there is mounting
pressure for ElBaradei to release a secret document detailing
all the IAEA knows about Iran’s nuclear programme. The
US and other western states have been pushing for the IAEA
to make the report available to the 35 board-member nations
when it releases its latest report on Iran in two weeks. Up
until this point, only a few top officials have had access.
Speaking to reporters last week, Iran’s Foreign Ministry
spokesperson, Hassan Qashqavi, said
"All our nuclear activities have been within the framework
of the agency and the NPT,” adding, “...ElBaradei
has always confirmed Iran's co-operation with the agency.”
Mr. Qashqavi verified that IAEA inspectors were given access
to the Iran’s Narak nuclear site last week and ensured
that Iran is taking steps with the IAEA to improve
monitoring at the Natanz nuclear enrichment plant and
well as Iran’s newest heavy water reactor in Bushehr.
19 August 2009: On Thursday, Iranian state television
reported
that Asghar Soltanieh, Iran’s envoy to the IAEA, had
indicated
Iran was prepared to “take part in any negotiations
which are based on mutual respect…Talks without preconditions
is Iran's main stance in negotiations on the nuclear issue."
Ambassador Soltanieh has since said
that the statements have been taken out of context and they
only refer to a recent letter to IAEA requesting a meeting
to approve an Iranian initiative to ban strikes on nuclear
facilities. “The only issue that was raised,”
he said, “was to ban threats and attacks on the world's
nuclear installations, because it is an international issue.”
The possible ban was proposed
by Iran Wednesday and would seek approval by 150 nations
in September. The resolution would prohibit all armed attacks
against nuclear installations around the world.
7 August 2009: A newly
disclosed Congressional document detailing US Intelligence
on Iran, reports that the Islamic Republic will not be able
to produce weapons-grade nuclear material before 2013. The
analysis by the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence
and Research states that the assessment has been made based
on current technological capabilities and is not an assessment
of whether or not Iran will make “the political decision”
to produce such weapons. The document was released to
Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientist's
Project on Government Secrecy and can be found on their website.
20 June 2009: According
to Iranian Foreign Minister Manuchehr Mottaki, Iran is preparing
a set of new proposals in order to restart talks on the country's
nuclear program with the United States and Europe. The European
Union announced they were attempting to set up new talks,
which would be the first since US President Barack Obama took
office in January. Mr. Mottaki said of the development, “We
do believe that this new proposed package would be a very
good base for mutual cooperation on the international level.”
Mr. Mottaki’s statement echoes those made by Iranian
President Ahmadinejad in April in which he said, “conditions
had changed” and indicated that the current international
atmosphere was more conducive to the talks. In a statement
made Wednesday, the Iranian government said it would welcome
“constructive” discussion with other world powers,
but would continue its uranium enrichment activities.
15 June 2009: During the opening of the
Board of Governors meeting, IAEA Director General Mohamed
ElBaradei reported
on the Iranian situation:
You have before you my report on Implementation
of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions
of Security Council Resolutions in the Islamic Republic
of Iran.
The Agency has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion
of declared nuclear material in Iran. Regrettably, however,
Iran has not implemented any of the measures called for
by the Security Council and by the Agency´s Board
of Governors. And there has been no movement by Iran on
outstanding issues which need to be clarified to exclude
the possibility of military dimensions to Iran´s nuclear
programme. As I mentioned before, without implementation
by Iran of the additional protocol and the required safeguards
measures, as well as the clarification of outstanding issues,
the Agency will not be able to provide assurances about
the absence of undeclared nuclear activities in Iran.
I am encouraged, nonetheless, by the new initiative of
the United States to engage the Islamic Republic of Iran
in direct dialogue, without preconditions and on the basis
of mutual respect. This gives reason for hope that a genuine
dialogue may lead to a comprehensive settlement of many
security, political and economic issues spanning over 50
years. A key element of such a settlement should be arrangements
for Iran to exercise its right to use nuclear energy for
peaceful purposes, while providing the necessary assurance
to the international community about the exclusively peaceful
nature of its nuclear activities. I hope that Iran will
respond to the US initiative with an equal gesture of goodwill
and trust-building. This could include implementing again
the Agency´s design information requirements and applying
the provisions of the additional protocol. It is my hope
that the dialogue will begin as soon as possible, perhaps
with a "freeze-for-freeze" as a prelude.
10 June 2009: According
to the head of Russia’s state-owned nuclear contractor,
Atomstroiexport, the opening of Iran’s Bushehr power
plant is being delayed due to financial problems. Atomstoiexport
was contracted by the Tehran to help build Iran’s first
nuclear power plant, which was slated to begin working this
summer, however Russian banks are refusing to work with Iran
and is causing its completion to be delayed. “The problems
with financing exist because not all Russian banks are ready
to work with Iran, and we have to find alternative options,”
said Atomstroiexport head, Dan Belenky. Mr. Belenky could
not say when Bushehr would open.
5 June 2009: The International Atomic
Energy Agency released its latest
Director General's report on Iran.
29 April 2009: Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has
called
upon the United Nations Security Council to confine the probe
into Iran’s nuclear program to the IAEA and leave the
UNSC out of it. In the United States, Congress put
forth a bipartisan proposal that would strengthen economic
sanctions against foreign oil and shipping firms that do business
with Iran. The Obama administration has indicated that it
would not move to block the bills, which are likely to pass
in both the House and Senate, giving extended executive powers
to strengthen sanctions against Iran. Under the Senate proposal,
firms under US jurisdiction, which could include Shell, BP,
Reliance and Vitol, would be barred from doing business in
the United States unless Iran made concessions in regards
to its alleged nuclear program. "We need to give them
a choice: you can do business with Iran's $250 billion economy
or our $13 trillion economy, but not both," said Republican
Senator, Jon Kyl of Arizona, one of the leading proponents
of the bill.
22 March 2009: Speaking to Voice of
Russia, Russian Prime Minister’s Press Secretary,
Dmitry Peskov, suggested
the possibility of Russia working with Iran and Turkey to
build nuclear power plants for energy hungry states. Mr. Peskov
described Iran as the major power player in the Middle East
despite sanctions, adding, "Those who strictly oppose
to Washington and Tel Aviv's policies have pinned their hopes
on Iran."
12 March 2009: In a letter to the UN
Security Council, Iran's deputy ambassador to the United Nations,
Eshaq Alehabib, refuted
allegations regarding the nature of Iran’s nuclear energy
program made by Britain, France and the United States. Asserting
that Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA has gone beyond
its obligations under the NPT, Mr. Alehabib stated that any
claims otherwise are “absolutely baseless.” Mr.
Alehabib further declares further in the letter that, "The
full settlement of the 6 outstanding issues on the one hand,
and the undertaking of Iran's... nuclear activities within
the IAEA framework on the other hand, have made it quite clear
that there is no ambiguity in Iran's present and past activities."
10 March 2009: Iran’s Minister
of Energy, Parviz Fattah announced
in a news conference that Iran’s first nuclear power
plant Bushehr will be operational by the end of Summer 2009.
The plant is expected by the Ministry to generate 500 of the
total 1,000 megawatts by August 22. Mr. Fattah stated that
the plant should be fully operational by March 21, 2010.
26 February 2009: The head of Iran’s
Atomic Energy Organization (IAEO) Gholam Reza Aqazadeh, announced
in a joint press conference with the head of Russia's
Federal Nuclear Agency, Sergei Kiriyenko, that Iran will install
an additional 50,000 centrifuges to enrich uranium at its
Natanz plant. Mr. Aqazadeh said the new centrifuges will be
technologically more advanced than the current ones. Mr. Aqazadeh
also called on the West to accept “living with a nuclear
Iran” as he announced Iran’s intention to build
its second nuclear power plant, Darkhoein, in the southern
region of the country. Additionally, the officials announced
that one-year from the inauguration of the Bushehr nuclear
power plant, Iran and Russia will establish a joint-nuclear
power firm. Mr. Kiriyenko stated, "Anyone who thinks
this project can be used for the proliferation of nuclear
weapons can come here and see for themselves."
30 January 2009: Political directors from the UN Security
Council permanent members - UK, China, France, Russia and
the United States - plus Germany announced
they will meet in in Germany on Wednesday, 4 February for
their first meeting since US President Barack Obama took office.
26 January 2009: Thomas Steg, a spokesman
for the German government, said
Germany has drastically cut its export guarantees for companies
trading with Iran in a bid to ratchet up pressure on Tehran
over its nuclear programme. Berlin has asked German firms
exporting to Iran to "voluntarily limit" their trade
and "to recognise that it would be wise to support the
diplomatic efforts of the international community."
15 December 2008: Ministers from the
P5+1 met with those from Jordan, Egypt, Iraq, and Gulf Cooperation
Council states at the UN to discuss Iran's nuclear programme.
7 December 2008: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei said
the policy toward Iran so far has been a failure, explaining,
"We haven't really moved one inch toward addressing the
issues." ElBaradei pointed out that sanctions may have
led to "more hardening of the position of Iran.... Many
Iranians who even dislike the regime (are) gathering around
the regime because they feel that country is under siege."
21 November 2008: European Union foreign
policy chief Javier Solana said
he was "worried" by the IAEA's latest report, arguing
the report indicates Iran is "not cooperating" with
the IAEA investigation and that the figures quoted on the
numebr of centrifuges - 3800, according to an unnamed diplomat,
"are troublesome".
19 November 2008: The IAEA Director General
released his latest
report on the "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards
Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions
1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the
Islamic Republic of Iran." According to Mike
Veiluva of Western
States Legal Foundation,
Even though the latest IAEA report once again
clears Iran of any diversion of nuclear material, and concludes
that its ongoing enrichment program has produced only low
level enrichment uranium of less than 5% (LEU), the reaction
of the American press has been hysterical. Led by a Judith
Miller-style hit piece in the New York Times last week by
Sanger and Broad, the newspapers have been tip-tapping calculators
to conclude that if Iran locked down its program and enriched
all of its LEU to HEU levels, it would now have enough to
make a single atomic bomb. Just what Iran would do with
a single heavy Hiroshima-type uranium bomb (no missiles
in Iran’s current inventory are capable of hefting
such a 4000kg device) is left to the imagination.
Regarding the report, Veiluva explains, "There is nothing
new here. The IAEA finds that there continues to be no diversion
of nuclear material, all enrichment remains subject to inspection,
and all at low levels. The report continues to harp on Iran’s
non-cooperation over issues and documents brought up by the
US in early 2008 concerning legacy military research and applications."
Iran's IAEA ambassador Ali Asghar Solnanieh reportedly said,
"This report shows that Iran ... has fulfilled its legal
obligation completely. Therefore having further expectation
(from Iran) is illogical and can not be carried out."
Soltanieh insisted that Iran has replied to the documents
that accuse Iran of trying to develop a nuclear warhead, convert
uranium, and test high explosives and a missile re-entry vehicle.
14 November 2008: The political directors from China,
France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United
States and a representative for EU foreign policy chief Javier
Solana met
in Paris to discuss the Iranian nuclear issue. The French
foreign ministry they "reaffirmed their dual-track approach
of dialogue and sanctions with Tehran." The ministry's
statement said, "The meeting allowed the participants
to review the current situation and to discuss the way ahead
on both tracks," adding that the six powers would continue
their talks on the next steps in the coming weeks.
20 October 2008: Russian Deputy Foreign
Minister Sergei Ryabkov said
that Russia sees no political obstacles to the start-up of
the first reactor at Iran's Russian-built nuclear plant at
Bushehr, indicating, "Right now, the final stages of
preparing the station for launch are under way. Among the
[P5+1], there is a full understanding that the work at Bushehr
has no proliferation risks."
19 October 2008: The managing director
of Iran's Management and Construction of Nuclear Plants Company,
Hamid Soltani, said
some Western countries have declared their readiness to cooperate
with Iran on its project for a second nuclear power reactor
in Darkhovin, which is located in the southern province of
Khuzestan. Iran plans to begin the construction of the 360-megawatt
light-water nuclear reactor by 2012. Soltani reportedly
said, "The main part of the project is being done
by local experts, but we will of course also try to use international
experience, and several Western countries have already declared
their readiness to cooperate with us in this project."
He did not disclose the names of the Western countries, but
pointed out Russia would not be involved as the plant was
being built to Western standards.
18 October 2008: The IAEO deputy chief
said
Iran expects Russia to honour its commitments to complete
Bushehr nuclear power plant in southern Iran based on the
previously agreed timetable. Russia is scheduled to deliver
the remaining one thousand ton of equipment within four months.
8 October 2008: A US official said
that representatives from the United States, China, Russia,
Britain, France, and Germany will soon discuss "next
steps in the UN Security Council" regarding Iran's nuclear
programme, via telephone.
2 October 2008: Ali Asghar Soltanieh,
Iran's ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency,
said
Iran would consider suspending uranium enrichment if the country
were guaranteed a supply of nuclear fuel for its power stations.
According to The Guardian, "Western officials
responded cautiously to the remarks, pointing out that Iran
had already been offered a legally binding fuel supply in
a multinational proposal put forward in 2006, and renewed
in June. But the officials said the comments by Ali Asghar
Soltanieh marked a break from Tehran's customary insistence
that it would not negotiate its right to enrich uranium."
Speaking at at the European Policy Centre in Brussels, Soltanieh
said, "We are going to continue as long as there is no
legally binding internationally recognised instrument for
assurance of supply."
When journalists asked whether Iran would end
its uranium enrichment programme if such a guarantee were
in place, Soltanieh reportedly said
it would first have to be shown to be effective: "It
is not only the piece of paper, you have to practise... the
plan. We had a contract with the US and they did not fulfill
their obligations... Germany had a contract and they did not."
27 September 2008: The Security Council
passed another resolution on Iran, 1835,
calling on Iran to comply with the other resolutions it has
passed.
22 September 2008: Addressing the IAEA
35-member board of governors, International Atomic Energy
Agency Director General ElBaradei said,
"The Agency has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion
of declared nuclear material in Iran." However, he also
noted, "the Agency has not been able to make substantive
progress on the alleged studies and associated questions relevant
to possible military dimensions to Iran´s nuclear programme."
Explaining that Iran continues to state that the documentation
alleging Iran's nuclear weapon development is fabricated and
that Iran has reiterated its request to be provided with originals,
or even copies, of the documentation, ElBaradei called upon
Member States which provided the Agency with documentation
related to the alleged studies to authorize the Agency to
share it with Iran. He also called upon Iran to "clarify
the extent to which the documentation is factually correct
and where, as it asserts, such information may have been fabricated
or relates to non-nuclear purposes."
ElBaradei also noted, "the Agency has not
detected the actual use of nuclear material in connection
with the alleged studies, nor does it have information - apart
from the uranium metal document - on the actual design or
manufacture by Iran of nuclear material components of a nuclear
weapon." That said, he also urged Iran to show "full
transparency and to implement all measures required to build
confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of its nuclear
programme at the earliest possible date."
15 September 2008: In a six-page report
distributed to the UN Security Council and its own 35-member
Board of Govenors, the International Atomic Energy Agency
reportedly complained
it was making little headway in investigating allegations
that Iran had, in the past, been involved in studies to make
a nuclear warhead. A senior UN official said, "We've
arrived at a gridlock," describing the document as "a
progress report without progress." He indicated
that "Iran so far has not been forthcoming in replying
to our questions. We seem to be at a dead end there."
Since its last report in May, "the agency ... has not
been able to make any substantive progress," the IAEA
report said, calling the impasse a matter of "serious
concern." Ali-Ashgar Soltanieh, Iran's chief delegate
to the IAEA, asserted there was nothing for the agency to
investigate as far as weapons programs were concerned.
The report also said Iran was now either fully
or partially operating nearly 4,000 centrifuges at its cavernous
underground facility at Natanz. Beyond those machines, which
spin uranium gas into enriched uranium, it was testing 12
more advanced prototypes at its above-ground experimental
site at Natanz.
The report will be taken up by the IAEA board
of governors at a meeting in Vienna next week. See the Iran
Daily Opinion Service for an analysis of the report, which
says, "As with the previous report, it is good news and
bad news. Taking the good news first, the IAEA’s inspections,
including unannounced visits to Iran’s enrichment facilities,
has uncovered no diversion of nuclear material, and that the
enriched uranium remains below 5%, far below bomb-grade. The
bad news: the IAEA concludes that Iran is stonewalling in
its substantive responses to the documentation on potential
military activities presented to it early this year. There
is still virtually no evidence that Iran has anything, other
than a single “uranium metal document” to indicate
it has undertaken the actual design or manufacture of nuclear
weapons components."
11 September 2008: Ambassador Zalmay
Khalilzad, US Permanent Representative to the UN, delivered
a statement
on Iran Sanctions and the 1737 Committee in the Security Council.
Stating, "the United States' objective remains a diplomatic
resolution to this issue," Ambassador Khalilzad emphasized
that the United States "encourage[s] all states to take
actions that are complementary to those explicitly required
by these resolutions to achieve the international community’s
ultimate objective: persuading Iran to make a strategic decision
to abandon its pursuit of a nuclear weapons capability."
He also called "special attention to the need to implement
the provisions of the Council resolutions regarding Iran's
financial institutions. The goals of these provisions are
to ensure that Iran’s financial sector is not used to
fund proscribed nuclear proliferation or missile programs."
He highlighted the list of banks domiciled in Iran that the
US, UK, and France distributed to the Security Council on
1 August 2008 and the briefing the US gave the Council on
10 September 2008 "about our own efforts to implement
the provisions of the Iran sanctions resolutions related to
financial institutions, in particular paragraph 10 of Resolution
1803."
2 September 2008: The Russian company
building Iran's first nuclear power plant at Bushehr, Atomstroiexport,
has renewed
its commitment to complete the project.
28 August 2008: Iran's state news agency
quoted
deputy foreign minister Alireza Sheikh Attar as saying, "There
are nearly 4,000 centrifuges working in the Natanz enrichment
facility ... another 3,000 centrifuges are being installed."
26 August 2008: Iranian Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki said
that Iran is working with EU Foreign Policy Chief Javier Solana
for further talks on the country's nuclear program. Mottaki
indicated that the main issue at present is how to initiate
a fresh round of talks with the P5+1. Mottaki also said Iran's
response to the West's proposals was not on the agenda at
present.
25 August 2008: Iranian Foreign Ministry
Spokesman Hassan Qashqavi said
Iran will have continuous cooperation with the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA): "Iran continues its routine
cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog within the framework
of the Modality (Action) Plan (an agreement between the IAEA
and Iran) in a constructive atmosphere." He added that
Iran remains ready to respond to IAEA questions about Tehran's
nuclear activities based on the Modality.
24 August 2008: Mohammad Saeedi, deputy
head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, said
Iran has chosen the site for and started designing a new,
360-megawatt light-water reactor nuclear power plant in the
southwest. Meanwhile, ISNA news agency reported
that Russia's nuclear power chief, Sergei Kiriyenko, has plans
to visit the nuclear fuel operation of the Bushehr nuclear
power plant in southern Iran. An unnamed nuclear official
told ISNA that Sergei Kiriyenko is also scheduled to visit
Tehran in the first week of September for talks with officials
of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization.
22 August 2008: Tajikistan's first deputy
secretary-general of People's Democratic Party Ali Dolatzadeh
called
on the international community to respect Iran's right to
produce nuclear energy.
20 August 2008: Iran’s permanent
envoy to the IAEA, Ali-Asghar Soltanieh, said
the latest talks between Tehran and the IAEA were held in
a “constructive, scientific, and technical climate”.
Meanwhile, Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Deputy Director,
Mohammad Saeedi, said, “This round of talks was held
over Iran’s current relations with the International
Atomic Energy Agency… the talks will continue in future.”
He said the new round of discussions will be held ahead of
the Board of Governors’ next meeting in mid-September
when IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei will put forward
his latest report on Iran’s nuclear activities.
The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI)
signed
agreements with six local companies to search for locations
to build new nuclear power plants. Ahmad Fayyazbakhsh, the
AEOI deputy director, said the deal is in line with Iran’s
plan to generate 20,000 megawatts of electricity to meet rising
demand. “These six domestic companies have been given
13 months to find appropriate locations to build new atomic
power plants. After finding the locations, construction of
the power plants can begin."
18 August 2008: Olli Heinonen, deputy
chief of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), arrived
in Tehran for his second round of talks this month. State-run
news agency IRNA reported that Mr Heinonen had "travelled
to Tehran to continue previous talks about the trend of co-operation
between Iran and the agency."
In other news, Turkey's energy minister announced
plans to visit Tehran to discuss investment in gas fields
and a pipeline project. Washington said a new energy deal
between Iran and Turkey would send the wrong message while
the West threatens economic sanctions against Tehran because
of its refusal to halt uranium enrichment.
11 August 2008: Iran's chief nuclear
negotiator Saeid Jalili and EU foreign policy chief Javier
Solana agreed
by phone to resume talks on the dispute over Iran's nuclear
programme.
8 August 2008: A senior British official
said
Britain, France, Germany and the United States are considering
imposing additional sanctions on Iran over its nuclear work,
possibly in the energy, reinsurance or financial sectors.
"We are at a fairly early stage of this but ... there
are areas of the Iranian economy that are vulnerable to targeted
sanctions - whether they be in the LNG (liquefied natural
gas) sector, investment in the oil and gas sector, imported
refined products, reinsurance, other financial areas - which
are areas we would look at if we are looking to increase the
pressure on the Iranian leadership," the official said.
Meanwhile, the European Union tightened
trade sanctions against Iran. The new EU restrictions go slightly
beyond existing UN trade sanctions and are designed to deny
public loans or export credits to companies trading with Iran.
France, the current holder of the EU presidency, said European
governments would also carefully watch financial groups doing
business with Iranian banks and step up checks on ships and
airplanes traveling to Iran. The EU called on member nations
to "show restraint when granting new public loans for
trade with Iran ... to also be vigilant on activities taken
by financial institutions with banks based in Iran."
7 August 2008: Olli Heinonen, deputy
head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, held
a new round of talks with the deputy chief of Iran's atomic
organisation, Mohammad Saeedi, and Iran's IAEA representative
Ali Asghar Soltanieh.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice threatened
Iran with more sanctions, saying, "Iran has a way out
if they ever wish, but we will seriously pursue sanctions
if they don't."
6 August 2008: According to the United
States and the United Kingdom, the P5+1 agreed
to consider new sanctions on Iran. US State Department spokesman
Gonzalo Gallegos said, "Given the absence of a clear
positive response from Iran and its failure to meet the deadline
set by the UNSCR 1803, the P5+1 are discussing the nexts steps
in the UNSC and beginning to consider the possible outlines
of another sanction resolution." British junior foreign
minister Kim Howells said the P5+1 "have agreed that,
while informal contacts between Mr Solana and Mr (Iranian
negotiator Saeed) Jalili will continue, we now have no choice
but to pursue further sanctions against Iran, as part of our
dual-track strategy."
Asked whether there was agreement among the
six to proceed to the drafting of a new sanctions resolution,
France's UN deputy ambassador Jean-Pierre Lacroix replied:
"Our objective is not sanctions for the sake of sanctions.
We have to resort to the Security Council (sanctions) if we
don't see there's any possibility to enter into a dialogue,"
he noted. "But we are getting closer to the point where
we will make that determination." German Foreign Minister
Frank-Walter Steinmeier said, "If Iran does not choose
this path, the UN Security Council will be referred to once
again."
The United States said the move enjoyed support
from Moscow and Beijing, but China had no immediate reaction
and Russia's UN ambassador, Vitaly Churkin, said
he was unaware of such consensus: "It may well be that
in the course of those discussions some members of the six
raised the issue of the sanctions. But to the best of my knowledge
there has been no firm agreement or understanding or concerted
work in this regard."
While Gallegos called
Tehran's reply to the package "a stalling tactic,"
Churkin said, "We would have preferred a clear yes. But
it is more complicated than that. We certainly do not believe
that it is a foregone conclusion that it (the dialogue) is
not going to be successful. We think there is some potential
to that dialogue." Churkin said that the G8 would discuss
the issue of whether to seek further sanctions at a ministerial
meeting next month.
5 August 2008: Iran issued
a letter to EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana, which was
also circulated to the P5+1, that requested clarification
on certain points in the "package of incentives."
4 August 2008: US State Department spokesman
Gonzalo Gallegos told
reporters that the P5+1 might seek additional sanctions against
Iran, saying, "We agreed in the absence of a clear, positive
response from Iran (that) we have no choice but to pursue
further measures against Iran." He insisted Iran missed
the two-week deadline set by the US for Iran to respond to
its "package of incentives". A UK Foreign Office
spokesperson said,
"We will be disappointed if there (is) no response to
the E3 proposals by tomorrow.... We will have no choice but
to ask the UN to proceed with further sanctions." The
French foreign ministry echoed that stance, saying the Islamic
republic "will have to face new sanctions" if it
does not respond positively by 5 August to the P5+1's sanctions
freeze-for-enrichment freeze offer. The ministry "expressed
its disappointment at the lack of a clear response from Iran"
in a statement. In New York, France's deputy UN ambassador
Jean-Pierre Lacroix told AFP: "If we don't get an encouraging
response from the Iranians, we will have to show firmness,
resort to sanctions as in the past."
Iran's top nuclear negotiator reportedly
told the European Union's foreign policy head that Iran
will respond on Tuesday, 5 August.
3 August 2008: Israeli Foreign Minister
Tzipi Livni urged
the international community to act quickly on new sanctions
against Iran, saying that Tehran views any hesitation as weakness.
Meanwhile, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told
visiting Syrian president Bashar al-Assad that Tehran is serious
about finding a practical solution to the nuclear crisis:
"We are serious in talks and we want the talks to be
based on the law so it will bear practical results. We hope
that other sides are serious too."
1 August 2008: US State Department acting
spokesman Gonzalo Gallegos said
the US government expects a formal reply from Iran on the
P5+1 "package of incentives" by the weekend. But
an EU diplomat in Brussels said that the European Union is
in no rush for a response from Iran: "There's no real
limit," said the diplomat on condition of anonymity after
Washington set the deadline. "We're in no rush"
to have a response "in the next 24 hours."
31 July 2008: The US government seems
to have not to imposed a strict deadline for Iran to give
world powers a final answer to their incentives package. The
day after the meeting between the P5+1 and Iran, US Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice said Iran had two weeks to give
their official response to the package, but US State Department
spokesman Sean McCormack said there is no indication of deadline.
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki rejected
any deadline, saying, "The language of deadline-setting
is not understandable to us. We gave them our response within
a month as we said we would, now they have to reply to us."
30 July 2008: During a high-level conference,
the Non-Aligned Movement issued
a declaration that "reaffirmed the basic and inalienable
right of all states, to develop research, production and use
of atomic energy for peaceful purposes," supporting Iran's
development of nuclear technology for peaceful uses.
29 July 2008: Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad said
Tehran would continue talks with world powers aimed at resolving
the crisis over its atomic drive provided these are "on
equal footing." Welcoming US participation in the talks,
Ahmadinejad said, "These kinds of talks should continue
until we reach an agreement. Understanding and talks are a
two-way matter but if one side puts forward conditions then
it becomes unfair and it is natural that no nation will accept
this. (They) should not put any illegal conditions on the
talks since this will wreck the negotiation process. Iranians
will not give up even an inch of their rights."
23 July 2008: Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad said
the United States' participation in the latest round of nuclear
talks is a step toward recognizing Tehran's right to acquire
nuclear technology. Ahmadinejad told thousands of supporters
gathered in the southern Iranian town of Yasouj that U.S.
Undersecretary of State William Burns "spoke politely
and in a dignified manner." He also indicated
that Iran will continue its uranium enrichment programme,
saying, "The Iranian people are steadfast and will not
step back an inch against the oppressive powers."
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said
negotiators were hearing "very diverse signals"
from Iran on its intentions but that she still expects a diplomatic
solution. "I am counting on that and nothing else,"
she told reporters. French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner
said he wasn't surprised that Ahmadinejad "declared he
won't budge" because the Iranian president has proved
"quasi-unable to show political flexibility.... It's
always disappointing to see how peace efforts are opposed
by a tenacity ... that doesn't benefit the Iranian people."
He said the slow beginning to the Geneva talks did not mean
a diplomatic solution would not be found. "The Iranian
(negotiators) we are sent are much more flexible than President
Ahmadinejad," he told reporters.
21 July 2008: UK Prime Minister Gordon
Brown warned
he is determined to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons,
during a speech to the Israeli parliament, the Knesset: "Our
country will continue to lead, with the US and our European
partners in our determination to prevent an Iranian nuclear
weapons programme. We stand ready to lead in taking firmer
sanctions and will ask the whole international community to
join us." Mr. Brown stressed: "Iran has a clear
choice to make: suspend its nuclear weapons programme and
accept our offer of negotiations or face growing isolation
and the collective response, not just of one nation, but of
all nations round the world."
Alaeddin Boroujerdi, head of the Iranian Parliament's
National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, said
the presence of a top US diplomat in recent nuclear talks
in Geneva was a success for Iran and that "decisions
made at the Geneva meeting were a step forward."
White House spokeswoman Dana Perino indicated
the White House expects Iran to reject US-backed incentives
package to end sensitive nuclear work and warned Tehran may
therefore face additional sanctions. US Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice "agreed with the other members to allow
Iran to have two more weeks but after that I think that Iran
could be looking at, is possibly looking at, additional sanctions."
Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan said
Turkey would continue to try to ease tensions over Iran's
nuclear programme in an informal "consolidation and facilitation
role". Mr. Babacan indicated the request for Turkey to
play this role came from all sides because of the "deep
confidence gap" between the sides and said Turkey was
trying "to rectify any misunderstandings and ensure that
they better understand their mutual concerns."
19 July 2008: After talks with the P5+1
and Iran, European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana
said,
"there is always progress in these talks, but insufficient,"
adding the one-day meeting was "constructive." However,
US spokesman Sean McCormack warned after the talks that Iran
should either accept the incentives, or face "further
isolation."
Detailing the proposals on the table, Solana
said the P5+1 proposed
that "we refrain from (further) Security Council resolutions
and for Iran to refrain from nuclear activity including the
installations of new centrifuges" for processing uranium.
Solana said they are "looking forward to an answer from
Iran in this question... in a couple of weeks." Russia's
deputy foreign minister Sergei Kisliak said, "We hope
that the two weeks we agreed on with the Iranians will help
Iran to specify its stance on our proposals."
18 July 2008: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev held
their first telephone talks. Ahmadinejad reportedly said,
"In the Geneva negotiations... we can examine ways to
make decisions in different fields and help resolve the existing
issues," while Medvedev urged Iran "to cooperate
fully with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to
clarify questions remaining about the Iranian nuclear programme."
17 July 2008: Iran's Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki said
he hoped upcoming talks would produce "positive developments"
and voiced satisfaction at US involvement, saying, "The
presence of an American delegate in Geneva will help the United
States be informed directly."
16 July 2008: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
said
Iran was ready for negotiations over the nuclear crisis but
warned it would not step over any "red lines" in
the search for a deal. His comments came days ahead of a key
meeting between Iran's top nuclear negotiator and the EU foreign
policy chief, which will also be attended by a US envoy for
the first time. William Burns, the third-ranking US diplomat,
is due
to meet Iran's nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili in Geneva on
19 July.
11 July 2008: UN Secretary-General Ban
Ki-moon urged
Iran to suspend its nuclear enrichment programme, saying "I
have been calling on Iranian authorities to fully comply with
all relevant Security Council resolutions and continue their
negotiations with European Union and concerned parties."
A spokesman of Iran's National Security Council
said
that talks between the European Union and Iran would begin
on 19 July in Geneva and will be led by chief nuclear negotiator
Saeid Jalili and EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana.
9 July 2008: The Chair's
Summary from the G8 Summit in Hokkaido Toyako included
text on Iran:
We expressed serious concern over Iran's failure
to comply with its international obligations under successive
UNSCRs, in particular to suspend all enrichment-related
activities. We remain committed to a diplomatic solution
to the issue through the dual track approach. We support
the efforts of China, France, Germany, Russia, the United
Kingdom and the United States as well as the high-level
dialogue by the Presidency with Iran. We call on Iran to
respond to the updated incentives package in a constructive
manner. We also urge Iran to act in a more responsible and
constructive manner in the region, particularly in the context
of the Middle East Peace Process and the stability of Iraq
and Afghanistan.
8 July 2008: The US Department of the
Treasury imposed
new financial sanctions on Iranian individuals and companies
suspected of involvement in the country's nuclear programme,
including a senior defence ministry scientist and several
companies thought to be linked to Iran's arms industry. The
sanctions will ban US companies from trading with those on
the list, who will also have US assets frozen.
Also, French President Nicolas Sarkozy announced
that EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana will travel to
Iran to hold talks over its nuclear programme, though he did
not say when Mr. Solana will make the trip.
A Summit
Document on political issues from the G8 Summit in Hokkaido
Toyako included text on Iran:
59. We express our serious concern at the
proliferation risks posed by Iran's nuclear programme and
Iran's continued failure to meet its international obligations.
We urge Iran to fully comply with UNSCRs 1696, 1737, 1747
and 1803 without further delay, and in particular to suspend
all enrichment-related activities. We also urge Iran to
fully cooperate with the IAEA, including by providing clarification
of the issues contained in the latest report of the IAEA
Director General. We firmly support and cooperate with the
efforts by China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom
and the United States supported by the High Representative
of the EU to resolve the issue innovatively through negotiation,
and urge Iran to respond positively to their offer delivered
on 14 June 2008. We also commend the efforts by other G8
members, particularly the high-level dialogue by Japan,
towards a peaceful and diplomatic resolution of the issue.
We welcome the work of the Financial Action Task Force to
assist states in implementing their financial obligations
under the relevant UNSCRs.
7 July 2008: US State Department spokesman
Sean McCormack said
Iran is sending mixed messages to a package of incentives
from Germany and the P5: It appears that "from ...the
varying public responses from various parts of the Iranian
government that there is clearly a debate, or at least a discussion,
going on within the Iranian government on how to respond."
McCormack said that William Burns, a senior State Department
official, would hold a conference call later Monday with his
counterparts from the P5+1 to discuss "the current state
of play" with Iran.
5 July 2008: Iranian government spokesman
Gholamhossein Elham said,
"Iran will not go back on its rights on the nuclear issue...
Iran insists on negotiations (with world powers) while respecting
its rights and avoiding any loss of international rights."
The government offered to negotiate on its nuclear drive but
without giving up uranium enrichment. White House spokeswoman
Dana Perino said the United States would consult with the
other P5+1 membersbefore commenting on Tehran's response to
the package.
4 July 2008: Iran's top nuclear negotiator
Saeed Jalili said his country submitted a "constructive
and creative" response to the package of incentives from
the P5+1 for it to halt the enrichment of uranium with "a
focus on common ground," but he did not elaborate on
the contents.
2 July 2008: White House spokeswoman
Dana Perino said
the US government is skeptical about Mottaki' comments welcoming
a US-backed reward package aimed at ending the dispute over
Tehran's nuclear program: "If they were serious about
wanting to take us up on that offer, then that would be welcome.
But I think we have every reason to be skeptical since we
get mixed messages from them quite often."
1 July 2008: Iranian Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki told
US journalists that Tehran was "seriously and carefully
examining" the incentives package and would respond formally
in the next "couple of weeks". The Washington
Post quoted him as saying, "We believe that talks
are a good foundation for continuing our conversation in this
field," calling the diplomatic efforts by six major powers
a "constructive" approach. According to the state-run
IRNA news agency, Mottaki told US reporters in New York that
"a process is underway and it started with the package
delivered by Iran.... This package presented tackled important
questions and then on the other side the world powers offered
their own package."
30 June 2008: In Iran's Supreme National
Security Council, which looks after negotiations with the
West in the nuclear crisis, the deputy head in charge of international
affairs, Javad Vaeedi, has been replaced
by Ali Bagheri, who was previously the foreign ministry's
director general for North and Central European affairs. Vaeedi
will become an advisor to the council's head Saeed Jalili,
a close ally of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
27 June 2008: Foreign ministers from
the Group of Eight nations, meeting to set their agenda for
the annual G8 meeting scheduled for next month, suggested
more talks to coax Iran into opening its nuclear program to
inspectors. The ministers said, "We remain committed
to a diplomatic solution to the issue through the dual-track
approach and urge Iran to respond to the calls by the international
community to engage in negotiations." They urged
Iran to respond positively to the latest "package of
incentives".
18 June 2008: International Atomic Energy
Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei said
he will step down if major powers launch a military strike
against Iran over its nuclear program. According to Al Ahram,
in an interview
with Al Arabiya television, the Director General, said, "A
military invasion against Iran would pose great danger to
the Middle East and the world."
Excerpts:
Mohamed ElBaradei: "If Iran wants to turn
to the production of nuclear weapons, it must leave the NPT,
expel the IAEA inspectors, and then it would need at least...
Considering the number of centrifuges and the quantity of
uranium Iran has..."
Interviewer: "How much time would it need?"
ElBaradei: "It would need at least six months to one
year. Therefore, Iran will not be able to reach the point
where we would wake up one morning to an Iran with a nuclear
weapon."
Interviewer: "Excuse me, I would like to clarify this
for our viewers. If Iran decides today to expel the IAEA from
the country, it will need six months..."
ElBaradei: "Or one year, at least..."
Interviewer:"... to produce [nuclear] weapons?"
ElBaradei: "It would need this period to produce a weapon,
and to obtain highly-enriched uranium in sufficient quantities
for a single nuclear weapon."
[...]
ElBaradei: "In my view, a military strike would be the
worst thing possible. It would turn the Middle East into a
ball of fire."
Interviewer: "It would be worse than sanctions?"
ElBaradei: "Much worse, because a military strike would
mean, first and foremost, that even if Iran does not produce
nuclear weapons today, it would implement a so-called 'crash
course,' or an accelerated plan to produce a nuclear weapon,
with the agreement and blessing of all the Iranians - even
the Iranians living in the West."
[...]
Interviewer: "Dr. ElBaradei, what do the Iranian officials
tell you when you confront them about the need for more transparency?"
ElBaradei: "They say there will be more transparency,
but at the end of the day, I'd rather wait to see this transparency.
[...]
"I always think of resigning in the event of a military
strike."
Interviewer: "You will resign in the event that..."
ElBaradei: "If military force is used, I would conclude
that there is no mechanism left for me to defend."
Interviewer: "This is a threat directed at the Americans
- if you strike, I will resign."
ElBaradei: "I am not doing this for material profit.
If I was working in the private sector, I would... I am doing
this out of the conviction that I am defending shared values.
If we deviate from these shared values..."
Interviewer: "So there is no justification for an attack..."
ElBaradei: "The day I believe that the international
system has begun to collapse is the day I will resign."
[...]
Interviewer: "If the world reaches a consensus that
there is no solution but to attack Iran, would you still resign?
What if Europe, America, and the entire West agree that the
only resolution is a military one?"
ElBaradei: "I don't think that what we are seeing today
in Iran poses a clear, imminent, and immediate danger."
Interviewer: "But in a year or two, it could become..."
ElBaradei: "If this happens, it will be a different
story, but if a military strike is launched against Iran now,
in my opinion, I will have no choice but to..."
Interviewer: "So there is no justification for a strike
against Iran today."
ElBaradei: "None whatsoever. There will be no point
in my continuing my work if military force is used at present."
17 June 2008: Reports in the mass media
alleged
that Abdul Qadeer Khan of Pakistan may have shared blueprints
for a miniature nuclear weapon with countries such as Iran
and North Korea. The reports were based on a study by the
Institute for Science and International Security's David Albright,
a former inspector for the International Atomic Energy Agency.
He states that a Swiss family accused of working with Khan
had the designs on their computers, and asks, "Why did
these smugglers associated with the notorious Pakistani nuclear
engineer A. Q. Khan have these designs, unless they had sold
or intended to sell them for Khan?" The media also reports
that US officials are "downplaying" this report,
indicating the transfer would be hard to prove and arguing
that bomb design is the easy part of acquiring nuclear weapons
compared with acquiring or developing the fissile material.
In an interview with the Associated Press, Khan rejected
the allegations.
16 June 2008: EU foreign policy chief
Javier Solana said
that EU nations postponed a decision about imposing new sanctions
on Iran, contradicting remarks from White House national security
advisor Stephen Hadley. Reportedly, the EU decided to "wait
a bit" to know Tehran's response to cooperation offer
that Solana presented on Saturday in the Iranian capital.
14 June 2008: After talks with EU foreign
policy chief Javier Solana, during which Solana presented
the 5+1 (China, France Russia, United States, United Kingdom,
and Germany) "new package of incentives" to the
Iranian government, Iran's foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki
said
he is waiting to "receive the precise points of view
of the 5+1 world powers" on Iran's package that the government
submitted to the international community about a month ago.
Mottaki said, "The response of Iran to the package of
the 5+1 world powers will be given taking into account a constructive
and logical response of the world powers to Iran's own package."
13 June 2008: The US ambassador the UN,
Zalmay Khalilzad, delivered a statement
on Iran in the Security Council:
Mr. President,
Three months ago, this Council adopted Resolution to impose
additional sanctions on Iran. These sanctions, as well as
those adopted by the Council in Resolutions 1737 and 1747,
are designed to discourage and halt Iran's pursuit of technologies
that would provide it with a nuclear weapons capability.
With that in mind, I would like to make five points.
First, we welcome the report of the Committee Chairman
and are pleased to note the important activities being pursued
by the Committee. We welcome the fact that many states have
submitted the reports required by those resolutions and
we encourage all states that have not yet done so to provide
their reports to the Committee as soon as possible. We also
reiterate this Council's call upon all states to exercise
vigilance over the activities of financial institutions
in their territories with all banks domiciled in Iran, in
particular with Bank Melli and Bank Saderat, and their branches
and subsidiaries abroad.
Second, we note with great concern the 26 May 2008 report
of the Director General of the International Atomic Energy
Agency concerning Iran's continuing non-compliance with
Resolutions 1737, 1747 and 1803. Most disturbing is that
Iran continues to defy the Security Council and has not
suspended its uranium enrichment- and heavy water-related
activities. Instead, Iran has expanded its installation
and operation of new centrifuges and is testing advanced
centrifuge designs using nuclear material. Iran has also
continued the construction of a new IR-40 reactor.
Third, long-outstanding questions about Iran's past nuclear
activities, including those that indicate Iran's effort
to develop a nuclear warhead, remain unanswered. IAEA Director
General El Baradei stated clearly that Iran must provide
"substantive explanations" for these activities,
and that it is essential that Iran provide all requested
information, clarifications, and access outlined in the
report without further delay.
Fourth, we expect Iran to comply with its international
obligations concerning its nuclear activities, including
the full and verifiable suspension of its proliferation-sensitive
nuclear activities and full cooperation with the International
Atomic Energy Agency, and to implement the Additional Protocol.
Only through all of these steps can Iran begin to establish
confidence that the nature of its nuclear program is exclusively
peaceful.. Iran must provide to the IAEA full disclosure
of any weapons-related work and allow the IAEA to verify
that any such work has ceased.
Fifth, we affirm the dual track strategy on this issue,
which is reinforced by the updated P5+1 package that will
be delivered to Iran in the near term and reiterate our
belief that a mutually satisfactory, negotiated solution
remains open to Iran. At the same time, all Member States
must implement robustly their obligations under UN Security
Council Resolutions 1737, 1747 and 1803, as well as other
pertinent resolutions. This Council should stand ready,
in accordance with its stated intention in Resolution 1803,
to supplement those sanctions with additional measures.
11 June 2008: US President George Bush
warned
that "all options are on the table" when dealing
with the Iranian nuclear issue. He expressed support for a
European package of diplomatic and economic rewards -- put
together by Berlin, London, and Paris -- if Iran's leaders
halt uranium enrichment, but indicated diplomacy was not necessarily
the only avenue. Responding to the EU package of proposals,
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said, "We will
not trade our dignity with anything ... If they want to give
us something, then they should sell it and we will buy it."
EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana is to
visit Tehran 14-15 June in an effort to convince Iran to suspend
its uranium enrichment activities.
At the Security Council stakeout, the US ambassador
the UN, Zalmay Khalilzad, responded
to questions about Iran:
Well, we have put on the agenda with the agreement
of our colleagues in the Council the issue of non-proliferation
which is a substitute for Iran and as I said to you before
we have got the IAEA which gave a very negative report.
We have got the deadline of the last resolution, 90 days,
that has passed and there is no cooperation, no compliance,
with that resolution. We’ve had discussions of the
kind that you are talking about taking place and also Mr.
Solana’s visit to Iran and in the aftermath of all
those, we’ll consult with colleagues as to the appropriate
response. This is a very important issue, I don’t
need to repeat that but I’ll say this is a very important
issue, again I am speak for the United States, for the future
of that critical region of the world and therefore for the
future of the world and for the credibility of the Council
because the Council has expressed itself so clearly and
repeatedly. And I also want to emphasize that there is no
– let us not be confused by the Iranian propaganda
that this is denying Iran the right to have a peaceful nuclear
program. We recognize Iran’s right to have a civil
nuclear program, reactors, to have fuel for those reactors
and we have said once Iran suspends its enrichment program,
suspends its enrichment program, we’ll be willing
to sit down and deal with the issue – the legitimate
issues of fuel security and peaceful nuclear program. So
a nuclear weapons program or the capability to produce nuclear
weapons by access to fissile material - that’s something
different and given this regime’s record, policies,
affiliations , statements, the world is obviously particularly
concerned.
When a reporter asked, "President Bush
obviously spoke of isolation of Iran and of specific measures
against Iran including sanctions and so forth. Are those sanctions
going to be only unilateral or U.S. with the EU and so forth
but not at the Security Council? Is the Security Council track
on this dead?" Khalilzad responded:
We do not believe so. We don’t consider these things
to be mutually exclusive, that there is unilateral measures
that member states want to take, a group of states such
as EU, or the U.S. coming to some agreement with the EU,
at the same time multilateral through the Security Council.
So all those things are on the menu that we look at and
we support and so I believe it is perfectly appropriate
and we believe the Council needs to take another look because
decisions have been ignored and the Council cannot remain
indifferent to the defiance.
10 June 2008: During his final tour of
Europe as President, mass media reported
that George Bush launched a "final push to stop Iran
from enriching uranium by joining European leaders to threaten
more sanctions against Teheran." He secured agreement
on a joint European Union-American declaration, which says,
"We expect Iran to comply with its international obligations
concerning its nuclear activities, including the full and
verifiable suspension of enrichment" and pledged to "fully
and effectively implement" existing sanctions imposed
by three Security Council Resolutions. The declaration also
"paved the way for future penalties," noting, "We
are ready to supplement those sanctions with additional measures....
We will continue to work together, including through the Financial
Action Task Force, to take steps to ensure Iranian banks cannot
abuse the international banking system to support proliferation
and terrorism."
Aljazeera.net reported,
"It remains unclear how far the Europeans, who rarely
echo Bush's harsh rhetoric against Iran and have sometimes
been reluctant to get tougher, would be willing to go. Washington
has been pressing the EU to deny some Iranian banks access
to the world financial system. Speaking at the summit, Benita
Ferrero-Waldner, the European external relations commissioner,
said: 'We want to indeed show to Iranians that we mean it
very seriously... [We are] particularly thinking of asset
freezes.'"
5 June 2008: South Africa's ambassador
to the IAEA, Abdul Samad Minty, said,
"As a country, that remains committed to elimination
of all weapons of mass destruction, South Africa does not
wish to see a nuclear weaponised Iran. At the same time, we
don't want to see denial of the right of any State party to
the NPT to exploit nuclear energy for peaceful purposes."
He added that a refusal to allow any signatory to the NPT
to develop atomic energy for civilian use would mean a negation
of the pact's fundamental principle. ''The call on Iran to
suspend its enrichment activities is related to the issue
of building confidence, and may therefore under no circumstances
become a goal in itself. If we allow this to happen, we will
unravel the very basis of the fundamental bargain of the NPT."
4 June 2008: Media reports on the current
IAEA Board of Govenors meeting in Vienna primarily highlight
criticisms of Iran by western countries "for failing
to answer allegations that it had been trying to build a nuclear
bomb until a few years ago." The Board of Governors is
unlikely to take any action on the Iran situation - it hasn't
passed a resolution on the subject since it was transferred
to the UN Security Council. Thus, the political posturing
demonstrated in government statements is largely for media
consumption.
According to Reuters,
"The United States, European and other Western nations
bemoaned what they saw as Iranian evasions and lined up behind
IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei's call for "full disclosure"
to resolve what aides have called consistent intelligence
reports." Gregory L. Schulte, the chief US delegate to
the IAEA, demanded
Iran "abandon forever the pursuit of nuclear weapons,"
arguing,"The questions that remain unanswered strongly
suggest that Iran has undertaken a significant state-sponsored
effort to develop nuclear weapons, an effort that agency inspectors
are not in a position to verify has halted."
Schulte's comments do not address the subject
under consideration at the board meeting, which is the IAEA
Director General's most recent report,
which covers Iran's past activities not any potential future
endeavours. Nor are they consistent with the report
of US intelligence agencies released December 2007, which
proclaimed that Iran is not currently seeking nuclear weapons,
nor will it be capable of producing enough highly enriched
uranium for a nuclear weapon until at least 2010. The report
"concludes that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program
in 2003 and that the program remains on hold, contradicting
an assessment two years ago that Tehran was working inexorably
toward building a bomb." (For more information about
this report, see the entry for 4
December 2007.)
The European Union told the board that Iran's
rejection of evidence it tried to make such arms as faked
"is neither credible nor acceptable, given the quality
of and quantity of the documents presented by the agency to
Iran" - without mentioning as the IAEA Director General's
most recent report does that
Iran has not be shown many of these documents.
Most media coverage insists that the 35-member
Board of Govenors is more unified than ever before on the
Iran issue, demonstrating
a "rare sign of convergence." Yet the Russian delegation
insisted
that "objective and verified information" should
be used in IAEA investigations of Iran and argued that Iran
must have the chance to "carefully analyze the information"
accusing it of a weaponization programme.
On behalf of the Non-Aligned Movement, Cuban
representative Norma Goicochea-Estenoz said,
"In dealing with issues related to the 'alleged studies'
(nuclear weaponization), there could be concerns that this
is not a core competency of the agency.... But NAM believes
that in clarifying the 'alleged studies', including issues
such as high-explosive testing and a missile re-entry vehicle,
the agency would act in accordance with its statute."
2 June 2008: Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad said
there is no need to review its cooperation with the IAEA,
adding that parliament's "warning was an appropriate
one. The Majles (parliament) is standing firmly on the defence
of the nation's right."
Meanwhile, at the opening of the IAEA Board
of Govenors meeting in Vienna, Director General ElBaradei
said,
"it is regrettable that we have not made the progress
we had hoped for with respect to the one remaining major issue,
namely clarification of the cluster of allegations and Secretariat
questions relevant to possible military dimensions to Iran´s
nuclear programme. The so-called alleged [weaponization] studies
remain a matter of serious concern." He then stated that
over the last half-decade of verification activities, substantial
progress has been made, but also called on Iran to "demonstrate
the necessary transparency and provide full disclosure"
to allow the IAEA to reach a conclusion on the nature of the
Iranian programme as soon as possible.
1 June 2008: Iran's Foreign Ministry
spokesman suggested
Iran might have to limit its cooperation with the IAEA, criticising
a report released by the agency last week. Last week, Iran's
new parliament speaker Ali Larijani, the country's former
chief nuclear negotiator, said the current levels of cooperation
with the IAEA were in jeopardy if major powers continued to
"kick around" Iran's disputed nuclear case.
26 May 2008: The IAEA Director General
released a new report
on the implementation of NPT safeguards and relevant provisions
of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007),
and 1803 (2008) in Iran. The report provides an update on
progress made in resolving outstanding questions related to
Iran’s past nuclear activities and alleged weaponization
work, in addition to providing an overview of Iran's current
enrichment, reprocessing, and heavy water-related activities.
As in past reports, the IAEA continues to certify that there
has been no diversion of nuclear materials to weapons. Iran,
however, continues to operate its uranium enrichment and heavy
water-related facilities, in contravention of UN Security
Council resolutions, and continues to deploy and test two
new types of centrifuges (dubbed IR-2 and IR-3) at its pilot-scale
enrichment facility.
The IAEA reports that it has been unable to make much progress
in resolving outstanding issues. In its report, it greatly
elaborates on the information that other states have provided
about Iran's nuclear programme. It also outlines the specific
questions it feels Iran must answer for it to have a full
understanding of Iran's past nuclear program, including: resolving
questions related to the alleged studies; provide more information
on the circumstances of the acquisition of the uranium metal
document; clarify procurement and R&D activities of military
related institutes and companies that could be nuclear related;
and clarify the production of nuclear equipment and components
by companies belonging to defence industries.
Michael Spies of the Arms
Control Reporter outlines the report's updates on
issues and evidence. He notes that past weaponization allegations
continue to center around four issues:
a) Uranium metal document: In paragraph 24, the IAEA
notes it has been shown an identical document in Pakistan,
thus providing support for Iran's claim that it was supplied
by the Khan network. The IAEA has previously noted there is
no evidence Iran has pursued any of the steps provided in
the document. Iran claimed the document was provided at the
initiative of the Khan network.
b) Missile reentry vehicle modifications: The IAEA
now states with more confidence that the studies relating
to this issue involved modifying a Shahab-3 to fit a nuclear
warhead. The annex lists 13 documents said to have originated
in Iran regarding these studies. Iran continues to deny the
authenticity of these reports. It should also be noted that
the IAEA has not been able to provide Iran with all the documents
it has seen regarding this, making it unclear how Iran is
supposed to respond to information it cannot review.
c) Green salt project: Iran continues to deny the existence
of this project, pointing to its operational full-scale uranium
conversion facility.
d) High explosive testing: Iran claims that some of
these documents relate to conventional military applications
and that they do not have any connection to Iran (one
of the three related documents provided by the IAEA to Iran
is in English only).
Assessing the report, Spies argues that there are two different
but interrelated axes that need to be understood in order
to assess the meaning of the report. In its investigation,
it can be argued that the IAEA is operating beyond both its
legal mandate and technical competence. Given the highly political
nature of the debate around Iran, these legal and technical
points take on a special significance, especially in the context
of maintaining international confidence in the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT) regime.
1. Legal: The IAEA states the purpose of its investigation
is to be able to provide assurances regarding Iran's nuclear
program. However, as the IAEA continues to certify the lack
of diversion of nuclear materials, these assurances seem unconnected
to Iran's safeguards obligations or the Additional Protocol.
Under the NPT, the IAEA is tasked with ensuring nuclear materials
are not diverted to use in weapons. Problematic for cases
of suspected compliance, however, the NPT does not provide
for any international inspection of possible weaponization
activities, some of which need not have any direct nuclear
connection (e.g. modification of a missile reentry vehicle).
While the satisfactory resolution of these issues may naturally
lead to greater international confidence in Iran’s nuclear
activities, it has not been made clear what would be required
of Iran for the IAEA to be able provide such assurances. This
could entail conclusion of the investigation, or the full
implementation of the UN Security Council resolutions, or
something else altogether. Additionally, it is not clear what
the legal significance or practical effect of these assurances
would be, as Iran is presently in compliance with its NPT
safeguards obligations and in light of the fact that the matter
of sanctions and negotiations are primarily linked to issue
of Iran’s uranium enrichment program.
2. Competence: Following from the IAEA’s mandate
under the NPT and related to its ability to provide assurances,
it is unclear to what extent the IAEA has technical expertise
to assess weaponization issues. This is highly relevant in
the present situation, because the IAEA must draw a very general
conclusion on whether or not Iran has pursued nuclear weapons,
based on fragments of information. While there seems to be
a strong circumstantial case for past Iranian nuclear weapons-related
activities—mostly limited to component design studies—
as the IAEA notes in paragraph 24 of the report, it has not
seen evidence of other activities that would be required for
the design and construction of a nuclear weapon. Many of these
activities may not involve any direct nexus nuclear materials,
and thus fall outside the technical capacity of the Agency.
As such, it is unlikely the IAEA would ever be able to provide
a truly full picture on weaponization issues. This ultimately
poses a problem, as any weight the IAEA gives to circumstantial
evidence, without the technical ability to provide a balanced
and comprehensive portrait, serves as a cause for heightening
international escalation on the Iran issue.
According to most mainstream media coverage of the report,
including from Agence
France-Presse, the IAEA used “far stronger language
than the past,” expressing “'serious concern'
that Iran is still hiding information about alleged studies
into making nuclear warheads and defying UN demands to suspend
uranium enrichment.” The media also quoted several “non-proliferation
experts,” including Mark Fitzpatrick of the International
Institute for Strategic Studies, who said there was no “'sugar-coated
suggestion that Iran has been forthcoming' in addressing the
outstanding issues. Instead, the report 'clearly refutes Iran's
claims that it has done everything it needs to do with regard
to the action plan.'”
However, Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, Ali-Asghar Soltanieh,
said
the report was an acknowledgement of the peaceful nature of
Iran's nuclear programme. According to the Tehran Times,
he argued that the report emphasized that the remaining issues
have been investigated and solved and that the alleged studies
are not among the remaining issues, adding “that documents
related to the subject were not put at Iran’s disposal
on time.” He went on to explain, “The documents
on which the Americans spoke were not offered to the IAEA
in the right manner and the director general too has for the
first time expressed regret over the failure.” The report
does note, in paragraph 16, that much of the information related
to the alleged studies on the green salt project, high explosives
testing, and the missile re-entry vehicle project provided
to the IAEA “by several Member States” was sent
to the Agency “only in electronic form” and that
the IAEA “was not authorized to provide copies to Iran.”
20 May 2008: Iran's Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki said
the government has agreed to a visit by EU foreign policy
chief Javier Solana to submit an upgraded package of incentives
aimed at coaxing the country into halting uranium enrichment.
19 May 2008: Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Hosseini
said
recent talks between the IAEA and Iran were "held within
the framework of reciprocal cooperation.The IAEA Director
General Mohamed ElBaradei will present a report ahead of the
next session of the agency's Board of Governors on the outcome
of the talks."
17 May 2008: A Russian foreign ministry official said
his country is reviewing the package of incentives proposed
by Iran.
16 May 2008: Iran submitted
its package of proposals to Chinese foreign ministry officials
by Iran's Ambassador to China Javad Mansouri.
14 May 2008: Iran submitted
its own package
of proposals, which covers
"broad suggestions ... to settle security, political
and economic concerns in the world as well as Iran's nuclear
issue" to the UN Secretary General and EU foreign policy
chief Javier Solana. It will also be submitted to several
foreign ministries. The package reportedly
includes a proposal for an international consortium to
enrich uranium in Iran. An Iranian official told
Reuters the aim of Iran's proposal was to kick start negotiations
with world powers rather than offering a specific solution
to the nuclear dispute. One Iranian official said
the Iranian package could potentially be mixed with the EU3+3
package, as long as the EU3+3 drop their precondition of Iran
halting uranium enrichment. On 19 May, Iran's Foreign Ministry
Spokesman Hosseini emphasized
that Iran did not raise the issue of security guarantees in
its package.
US State Department Spokesman McCormack said
Washington expects little from Iran's proposals, arguing that
the Iranians "know what the requirements are". In
response, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad-Ali Hosseini
said
the United States has "jumped to conclusions" about
its proposals, and "advised the United States not to
consider the Iranian proposal only on its own merits, stressing
that the proposals were prepared after consultation with different
countries."
2 May 2008: The EU3+3 (United Kingdom,
France, Germany, China, Russia, and the United States) met
in London to offer an updated "package of incentives"
to Iran. The package reportedly
contains "promises of trade, technology, and even
peaceful nuclear cooperation." Iran rejected the 2006
version of the package Reportedly, the United States opted
not to send a delegate along with other delegates of the five
nations to Tehran to hand deliver the package, and refused
to include firm security guarantees as part of the package.
29 April 2008: Iranian President Ahmadinejad
visited
the Natanz fuel enrichment plant, which resulted in the release
of 48 photographs
of the new P-2 centrifuges, providing the first significant
look into the plant.
28 April 2008: Iranian and Russian officials
discussed
the outlines of a package of proposals developed by Iran aimed
at assuring the international community that Tehran's nuclear
program is peaceful. Top Iranian nuclear negotiator Saeed
Jalili said the proposals address "what to do to reduce
threats resulting from the nuclear issue to the minimum."
Gholam Reza Aghazadeh, head of the Atomic Energy Organization
of Iran, said the proposals are "not addressed to one
specific country. It is a comprehensive plan with broad proposals.
The spirit of the plan is that Iran is prepared to cooperate
with all its capacity to resolve the remaining issues."
28 April 2008: The deputy chief of the
IAEA arrived
in Tehran to discuss Iran's nuclear programme.
23 April 2008: Mohamed ElBaradei, director
general of the IAEA, announced
that Iran has agreed to answer intelligence allegations that
it studied how to design nuclear bombs, which it has previously
denied the reports but declined to address them in detail.
ElBaradei said, "(This agreement) is a certain milestone
and hopefully by the end of May we'll be in position to get
the explanation and clarification from Iran as to these alleged
studies." ElBaradei's spokeswomansaid the deal was struck
during meetings in Tehran on Monday and Tuesday (21 and 22
April) between Iranian leaders and Olli Heinonen, the IAEA's
safeguards chief and top investigator.
13 April 2008: Iranian Foreign Ministry
spokesperson Mohammad Ali Husseini said
Iran is ready to resume talks with Europe on its nuclear programme,
adding that Iran considers the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) to be the only authority that has the right
to examine Tehran’s nuclear dossier. Husseini also said
that the head of Iran’s nuclear energy organization,
Gholam Reza Aghazadeh, and his his deputy Mohammad Saeedi
will travel to Vienna on 14 April to carry on talks with the
IAEA chief Mohammad ElBaradei.
10 April 2008: Gregory Schulte, US ambassador
to the International Atomic Energy Agency, told
reporters they should take Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's
announcement on 8 April "with a grain of salt".
He called the speech, in which Ahmadinejad said Iran is installing
6000 new centrifuges to enrich uranium, a "political
stunt," arguing, "Ahmadinejad has a record of making
bold political announcements not necessarily supported by
technical facts."
9 April 2008: German Foreign Minister
Frank-Walter Steinmeier expressed
"deep concern" at Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's
announcement that of 8 April that Iran had started work to
install 6000 new centrifuges to enrich uranium. He said in
a statement, "Tehran's move is clearly against the demands
of the UN Security Council. Such a step would make the solution
to the conflict more difficult."
8 April 2008: Speaking at a plenary meeting
of the United
Nations Disarmament Commission's 2008 session on behalf
of the European Union, Ambassador Sanja Štiglic of Slovenia
said,
“Iran's nuclear programme poses a major challenge to
the non-proliferation regime,” asserting that Iran has
hidden “clandestine nuclear activities,” is pursuing
uranium enrichment and heavy water related activities, is
developing a ballistic missile programme, and “has cooperated
with the IAEA only when pressed, and in piecemeal fashion.”
Iran's representative to the Commission issued a right of
reply to this statement, arguing that it did not acknowledge
the information the IAEA has given about the non-divergence
of Iran's nuclear material to weapon programmes or that Iran's
cooperation with the IAEA has been “far beyond its Treaty
obligations.”
Outside of the UN, Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad announced
that Iran is installing 6000 new centrifuges at the Natanz
enrichment plant. Deputy Head of the Atomic Energy Organization
of Iran for International Affairs, Mohammad Saeedi, said
the 6000 new centrifuges being installed are first generation
P1 centrifuges. Ahmadinejad also said
that testing of the new advanced centrifuges, which can enrich
uranium five times faster than the current machines, will
be finished in the next three months.
7 April 2008: Speaking at a plenary meeting
of the United
Nations Disarmament Commission's 2008 session, China's
Permament Representative to the United Nations, Ambassador
Hu Xiaodi, said
diplomatic negotiation is the best way to solve the issue
of Iran's nuclear programme, and called for all parties to
“intensify diplomatic efforts in reaching agreement
on possible ways to resume negotiations at an early date,
with a view to seeking a long-term, comprehensive and appropriate
solution to the Iranian nuclear issue.”
4 April 2008: Paragraph 41 of a communique
released by NATO at its Bucharest Summit stated:
We remain deeply concerned about the proliferation
risks of the Iranian nuclear and ballistic missile programmes.
We call on Iran to fully comply with UNSCRs 1696, 1737,
1747 and 1803. ... Allies reaffirm their support for existing
multi-lateral non-proliferation agreements, such as the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and call for universal
compliance with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and
universal adherence to the Additional Protocol to the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Safeguard Agreement and full
compliance with UNSCR 1540. Allies agree to redouble their
efforts to fully implement the non-proliferation agreements
and relevant UNSCRs to which Allies reaffirm their support
and by which they are bound.
1 April 2008: Russia's ambassador to
the UN, Vitaly Churkin, urged
the Iranian government to engage in talk with the P5+1 (US,
UK, France, Russia, China, and Germany) about its nuclear
programme. Iran has reportedly refused to enter talks with
the six countries, criticizing the third
sanctions resolution adopted against Iran on 3 March.
Iran says it will deal only with the International Atomic
Energy Agency. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad
Ali Hosseini called the Security Council's demand "worthless
and unacceptable" and said it was "based on political
motivations." Churkin reportedly argued that talks with
the six countries are the only way to resolve the standoff,
saying, "We expect negotiations between the six and Iran,
and their statements of a negative nature toward the negotiations
are certainly not helpful and not constructive."
11 March 2008: The Washington Post
reported
that documents from "two countries other than the United
States" provided to the IAEA recently "partly match
information" from a stolen Iranian laptop given to the
IAEA by the United States. The United States recently briefed
the IAEA about "evidence" on Iran's alleged pre-2003
nuclear weapons programme gathered from the so-called "laptop
of death" (see 2 March entry). According
to the Post, "IAEA officials say these documents
identify [Iranian nuclear engineer Mohsen] Fakhrizadeh and
other civilian scientists as central figures in a secret nuclear
research program that operated as recently as 2003."
The documents also
purport to show advanced research into a variety of nuclear-related
technologies, including uranium ore processing, warhead
modification and the precision-firing of high explosives
of the type used to detonate a nuclear device. Other documents
point to attempts by civilian scientists to purchase sensitive
equipment of the kind Iran would eventually use in its uranium
enrichment plants.
The article notes that none of the documents "specifically
include the word 'nuclear,' and IAEA officials say there is
no evidence that any of the plans advanced beyond the paper
stage."
Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy emphasizes that all of this
"in itself does not demonstrate a determined effort to
acquire and deploy nuclear weapons." He points out,
even if we were to accept all this "evidence"
as true, the IAEA Secretariat has clearly stated that Iran
does not appear to have ever undertaken any work using nuclear
material on the basis of the documents or laptop. On its
face, it is troubling if Iran is pursuing secret studies
to build knowledge on nuclear weapons, as this might suggest
it intends to develop them in the future. But the scale
and scope of the "evidence" that has been released
so far still doesn't seem to reflect a major, serious, and
concerted attempt to acquire and deploy nuclear weapons.
A handful of scientists conducting paper studies over a
period of a decade doesn't seem to fit very well with efforts
to acquire nuclear weapons in other states, most of which
did not have IAEA inspectors roving around their territories
trying to piece all aspects of their past nuclear work together.
The IAEA has been careful to caution that this sort of evidence
has more to do with judging Iran's intentions, rather than
determining the state of Iran's compliance with its non-proliferation
obligations. The Weapons
of Mass Destruction Commission noted in its final
report,
As it is very difficult to prove a negative, it is unlikely
that the IAEA would ever be able to conclude with absolute
certainty that Iran - or at least key elements within its
governing system - have not had the intention to use an
enrichment capability for weapon purposes. In any case,
even if such intentions never existed, there could be a
change of mind once Iran's enrichment technology was fully
operational. Accordingly, the question of intention is not
decisive.
Spies says, "Following from this, one can conclude that
the conversation about intentions is a distraction from what
some of the real issues are: the role of the US and Iran in
the greater Middle East and bilateral relations."
10 March 2008: Iranian Foreign Ministry
spokesman Mohammad-Ali Hosseini told
Press TV that Iran would continue its cooperation with the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Hosseini said Iran
"will continue to work with the IAEA and to conduct its
nuclear activities within the framework of the Nonproliferation
Treaty (NPT) and international regulations." He also
expressed Iran's readiness to hold talks with the P5+1 on
issues agreed to by both sides.
The European Union's foreign policy chief, Javier
Solana, said
the EU wants "to continue on the negotiating track."
Solana said he has not been approached by Iran's top nuclear
negotiator, Saeed Jalili, to resume talks.
9 March 2008: Iran's Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki said
his country is ready to negotiate with the European Union
if there could be "meaningful and effective" results.
He said,
"We are still supporters of negotiations that have a
precise objective, a defined programme and are assured of
providing us with results."
7 March 2008: During a media briefing
in Cape Town, South African Foreign Affairs Chief Director
of the UN Xolisa Mabhongo explained
why South Africa voted in favour of the new sanctions resolution
against Iran on 3 March. He said South Africa managed to make
interventions in the resolution and introduced amendments
which helped to address some of its concerns. He said some
of the interventions included:
- The specific recognition of the latest report by the Director-General
of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA); South
Africa wanted the resolution to acknowledge an IAEA report
stating that some progress had been made in Iranian cooperation
with the nuclear watchdog.
- The understanding that once Iran had established the peaceful
nature of its nuclear activities, there would be no discrimination
against it and that it should be treated as any other member
of the non-proliferation treaty.
Two other factors reportedly played a part in "swaying"
South Africa:
- The call by Libya for the need to establish a Nuclear
Free Zone in the Middle East, which was included in the
resolution.
- A call by Vietnam for recognition of International Law
and Civil Aviation Law, which was included in resolution.
Mr. Mabhongo argued that South Africa was not persuaded by
the major powers or the visit by French President Nicolas
Sarkozy last week.
3 March 2008: The UN Security Council
voted
14-0 (with one abstention, Indonesia) in favour of a new sanctions
resolution against Iran's nuclear programme, Resolution
1803 (2008). Acting under Article 41 of Chapter VII of
the United Nations Charter - regarding binding measures not
involving armed force - the Council affirmed its earlier decision
that Iran should, without delay, suspend its uranium enrichment
and heavy-water-related projects, as previously stipulated
in resolutions 1696 (2006), 1737 (2006), and 1747 (2007).
For the resolution text and summary of statements,
please see the UN
Press Release.
The IAEA Board of Govenors met
in Vienna ahead of the Security Council vote. According to
AP, "depending on what was decided there, the IAEA's
board was considering tabling a resolution of its own, pressing
Tehran to come clean on its disputed nuclear activities."
A diplomat said, "a resolution by the IAEA board -- the
first in two years -- would make it very clear that the Iranian
nuclear dossier was far from being closed." US envoy
to the IAEA, Gregory Schulte, said, "despite some progress
in addressing past issues, troubling questions remain about
Iranian activities that strongly suggest a clandestine weapons-related
programme. I anticipate that the board will be supporting
the Security Council in calling for Iran to suspend its enrichment-related
activities."
However, AP also reported
that the Russian delegation to the Security Council "set
conditions" for its approval of new sanctions against
Iran, which were for European nations to drop plans for an
IAEA resolution. Anonymous diplomats said Russia was upset
that it was not told earlier about such plans, while Grigory
Berdennikov, chief Russian delegate to the IAEA, told the
AP that he was not happy about the planned resolution.
2 March 2008: Jeffrey
Lewis posted
some information on ArmsControlWonk.com
on the briefing that the United States gave the IAEA about
"evidence" on alleged Iran's pre-2003 nuclear weapons
programme from the so-called "laptop of death",
pointing out that the details available in various media reports
indicate that nothing new was presented - that the details
were first reported in 2005.
29 February 2008: US National Security
Council spokesperson Gordon Johndroe said
the United States expects the UN Security Council will vote
on more sanctions against Iran "relatively soon."
He argued, "I think that everyone's in agreement that
Iran should not be enriching uranium, so let's let the vote
take place." Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said
another sanctions resolution will not stop Iran from enriching
uranium.
28 February 2008: The UK and France introduced
a draft resolution against Iran's uranium enrichment at the
Security Council. Non-permanent members South Africa, Indonesia,
Libya and Vietnam expressed reservations about the proposed
resolution. South Africa's ambassador to the IAEA, Abdul Minty,
said
the new
IAEA report showed "increasing confidence" that
Iran did not intend to use its nuclear program for military
purposes and that Iran was cooperating with the IAEA.
According to the Reuters
article, Minty "conceded that declassified Western
intelligence indicating Iran conducted high-explosives tests
and design work on a missile warhead as part of a covert nuclear
arms program was a serious concern that needed to be addressed
by Tehran." Mike Veiluva of DisarmamentActivist.org
pointed out on 26
February,
The “one remaining issue” relevant
to the programme is “the alleged studies (by Iran)
on the green salt project, high explosives testing and the
missile re-entry vehicle.” (”Green salt”
is an alleged uranium conversion process.) The report
references discussions in late January; however, Iran was
only given access to US information pertinent to these matters
in February. The timing is not explained; Iran was given
literally days to address this purported new evidence. The
UK is now contending that this evidence indicates Iran was
conducting weapons work after
2003, but the larger question is why we are only
hearing of this now - perhaps the proximity of a new UN
Security Council meeting has something to do about it.
25 February 2008: The P5+1 (China, France,
Russia, the US, the UK, and Germany) discussed
the new International Atomic Energy Agency report on Iran's
nuclear activities and the next steps to be taken.
22 February 2008: The text of the IAEA
Director General's report on Iran has been posted on the
ISIS website. See Mike Veiluva's comments on 22
February and 26
February at DisarmamentActivist.org.
14 February 2008: French President Nicolas
Sarkozy and other senior French officials met
in Paris with Mohamed ElBaradei, director general of the International
Atomic Energy Agency, in an effort to "smooth over"
differences between France and the Agency over Iran’s
nuclear program. A statement issued by the Élysée
Palace after Mr. Sarkozy’s meeting with Dr. ElBaradei
said that the French president encouraged him to investigate
Iran’s nuclear activities “at length and with
determination.” Three French officials familiar with
the meetings said that the conversations with Dr. ElBaradei
were cordial. ElBaradei reportedly reiterated that Iran would
never agree to suspend uranium enrichment and that the world
powers must negotiate with Iran with no preconditions.
The New York Times reported, "Much
to the frustration of his hosts, he had no specific proposal
on how such negotiations could take place, the officials said."
One should note that, as Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy says,
there have been various offers by Iran to
negotiate directly with the United States on a variety of
issues of mutual concern, and that the US government, after
years of dismissing such offers out of hand, instead opted
to engage in talks as part of the EU3+3 process, where it
put nothing more concrete than spare aircraft parts on the
table in exchange for verifiable suspension of Iran's nuclear
fuel cycle program. And of course, the onus is on the parties
to the dispute to set the time, place, and conditions for
negotiations, not Dr. ElBaradei.
13 February 2008: A European diplomat
told Reuters
that the UN Security Council will probably not vote on a third
sanctions resolution against Iran's nuclear programme until
after the next IAEA report is released. The unidentified diplomat
said "the vote is not specifically tied to the IAEA report,
but it just so happens that by the time we get around to voting
on it, it will most likely be after the report is out."
According to the article, South Africa has been's Security
Council delegation has been pressing the five permanent members
to wait for the report: "South Africa and other members
of the Non-Aligned Movement say the IAEA's investigation is
relevant and want the Council to wait until it has as much
information as possible."
A US official reportedly said the vote could
come any day: "There is nothing holding this up other
than trying to get agreement.... As soon as that happens,
we will vote." Other diplomats repotedly indicated that
"waiting for the IAEA report will help them by ensuring
they get a 'yes' vote from South Africa." Diplomats said
concerns from Libya and Viet Nam were also holding up the
vote. Apparently, Libya, which until recently was the target
of UN sanctions, opposes sanctions in general while Viet Nam
is unwilling to interfere in other countries' affairs.
In other news, Russian Foreign Minister Segei
Lavrov said
it would be better for Iran to "to refrain from actions
that raise tensions and create the impression Iran is ignoring
the international community," referring to Iran's continued
uranium enrichment and missile developments.
Meanwhile, unidentified diplomats told
the Associated Press that Iran has begun processing minute
quantities of gas in its new generation of advanced centrifuges.
One diplomat said Iran had set up only 10 of the machines
— far too few to make enriched uranium in the quantities
needed for an industrial-scale energy or weapons program.
One diplomat said that the centrifuges were set up on 20 January
and began processing minute amounts of the uranium gas soon
afterward to test the machines.
12 February 2008: David Albright and
Jacqueline Shire of the Institute
for Science and International Security wrote an article
containing some basic background information about the P-2
(IR-2) centrifuges and a brief history of Iran’s research
and development of them to date. They say that "Iran's
decision to move ahead with installation of modified P-2 centrifuges
at the Natanz pilot fuel enrichment plant ... appears to reflect
Iran’s commitment to expanding and improving its enrichment
capabilities beyond those of the P-1 centrifuge, of which
3,000 are currently operating at the larger Natanz fuel enrichment
plant."
Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy says the Iranian decision
isn't really news, but
What's notable is that they are doing this
at the same time the Security Council is talking about a
new sanctions package. This tends to reveal a little bit
of the Iranian calculus - that no conceivable sanctions
can impose a high enough cost to compel them to reconsider
their enrichment program. Of course, in the absence of any
package, such as that offered to North Korea, Iran also
has no incentive to discontinue the program either.
11 February 2008: The next IAEA report
on Iran's nuclear programme, expected to be published on or
around 20 February, may be delayed
by a few days because of "disagreements between ElBaradei
and his technical staff. ElBaradei is pushing for one thing,
while the people who went on a technical visit to Iran during
January disagree. It should now be published maybe one week
later, so in the last week of February." The report will
then be put to the IAEA Board of Govenors at its meeting on
3-7 March.
5 February 2008: Russian deputy foreign
minister Sergei Kislyak said
Iran should freeze enrichment activity until all of its nuclear
program's "complicated points have been worked out."
4 February 2008: Mohammed ElBaradei,
director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency,
said
Iran has made "good progress" in addressing outstanding
issues surrounding its nuclear program. ElBaradei said his
final report on the Iranian nuclear program will provide information
on the development of centrifuges and enrichment activity
at the Natanz nuclear facility. In an interview with Egyptian
TV, he warned
against military action against Iran, arguing a military strike
to settle the Iranian nuclear issue would complicate the situation
and send the Middle East region into a vicious cycle of violence.
ElBaradei is expected to issue a report to the IAEA Board
of Govenors around 20 February.
2 February 2008: Speaking on the sidelines
of the African Union summit in Ethiopia, Iran's Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki urged
the P5+1 to wait for a report from the IAEA before finalizing
the decision on new sanctions against Iran.
30 January 2008: US ambassador to the
UN, Zalmay Khalilzad, joined
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and Iranian presidential
advisor Mojtaba Samare Hashemi in a debate during the World
Economic Forum in Switzerland. The appearance was unscheduled
- and unauthorized by the Bush administration. He reportedly
"broke rules that permit Bush administration officials
to discuss issues with Iranians only under limited circumstances
and with advance approval." In response to questions
about his participation in the debate, Khalilzad argued that
while "the panel was not instigated by the State Department....
It was a multilateral setting - in which we mad our points
and they made their points. There were no handshakes, no side
meetings. We do it in [the UN General Assembly] and other
multilateral settings. No change in policy." The debate
has been posted on YouTube.
28 January 2008: The UK, US, and France
began
a campaign to persuade the 10 non-permanent members of
the Security Council to agree to a third round of economic
and trade sanctions against Iran. According to the Financial
Times, "The western sponsors say they are seeking
unanimity in the 15-member Security Council in order to persuade
the Iranian public that the pursuit of an illicit nuclear
programme is not worth the economic cost in terms of trade
relations with the rest of the world."
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki
said
his country would show "serious and logical" reaction
if the UN Security Council adopts more sanctions against it.
The top Iranian diplomat urged that the UN Security Council
should wait until International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei presents his report to
the Board of Governors in February.
Also on 28 January, Iran received
the eighth and final shipment of nuclear fuel from Russia
for its Bushehr power plant. The total consignment was 82
tonnes.
25 January 2008: The P5+1, negotiating
a new Security Council sanctions resolution against Iran,
revealed
a package of measures described by a senior European diplomat
as "another turn of the screw". The proposed measures
would impose a travel ban and asset freeze on Iranians most
closely involved with the nuclear programme. Member states
would also be urged to monitor more closely the activities
of all Iranian banks, including Bank Melli and Bank Saderat.
Member states would be encouraged to inspect suspicious cargoes
to and from Iran and avoid granting export credits that could
be used to promote Iran's nuclear activities. It calls
"upon states to exercise vigilance in entering into new
commitments for public provided financial support for trade
with Iran, including the granting of export credits, guarantees
or insurance to their nationals involved in such trade."
It also directs IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei to
report within 90 days whether Iran has fully suspended all
sensitive nuclear fuel activities as demanded in previous
council resolutions. See more elements
of the resolution.
22 January 2008: The Foreign Ministers
of the six states involved in negotiating new UN Security
Council action against Iran are
are to meet in Berlin today, but agreed they have "some
way to go" before agreeing on a third sanctions resolution.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said the political
directors had been making progress, but noted there are "still
some gaps to close." Germany's Foreign Minister Frank-Walter
Steinmeier said he took Russia and China's involvement as
a positive sign, but also noted, "I can't promise we
will come out of this meeting with an agreement on how to
proceed in the U.N Security Council, that we will agree on
the text of a resolution and I can't tell you what new sanctions
will look like."
Iran received
the fifth shipment of nuclear fuel from Russia for its nuclear
powerplant at Bushehr. The consignment contained 11 tons of
enriched uranium, and the rest of the nuclear fuel will be
received in three separate shipments in coming week. Iran
has thus received 55 tons of fuel from Russia for Bushehr.
It needs a total of 82 tons for its primary stages of commissioning.
20 January 2008: Iran received the fourth
shipment of nuclear fuel from Russia for its nuclear powerplant
at Bushehr.
18 January 2008: Iran received the third
shipment of nuclear fuel from Russia for its nuclear powerplant
at Bushehr.
16 January 2008: A spokesman for the
German Foreign Ministry announced
that Germany believes a new UN resolution imposing sanctions
against Iran is necessary, and has invited the Foreign Ministers
of the five permament members of the Security Council to a
meeting next Tuesday in Berlin to discuss the matter. German
Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier plans to meet with
IAEA Director General ElBaradei tomorrow. The IAEA has confirmed
the meeting; a senior IAEA representative said ElBaradei was
likely to convey "his positive assessment" that
Iran was helping resolve lingering issues.
14 January 2008: During talks
between IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei and Iranian
government officials, Iran gave ElBaradei new information
on Iran's "new generation of centrifuges," and agreed
to answer questions about "secret nuclear activities"
within one month. The IAEA reported that "Agreement was
reached on the timeline for implementation of all remaining
verification issues specified in the work plan. According
to the agreed schedule, implementation ... should be completed
in the next four weeks." IAEA spokeswoman Melissa Fleming
also said
the two sides discussed the importance of the implementation
of the Additional Protocol and other confidence-building measures
called for by the Security Council.
11 January 2008: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei met
with Iranian Vice President Gholam Reza Aghazadeh (also head
of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization) to discuss how the IAEA
and the Iranian government can work together to accelerate
the pace of our cooperation to clarify all outstanding issues
before [the next IAEA] report in March." ElBaradei characterized
the session as a "frank and open exchange of views,"
explaining, "I asked Mr. Aghazadeh to give us maximum
transparency and provide assurances about all present nuclear
activities about Iran. ... My mission here is to overcome
the difficulties between IAEA and Iran." Tomorrow, ElBaradei
is scheduled to meet with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, top
nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili, and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
After the meeting, Aqazadeh said,
"We have entered a new phase of cooperation with the
IAEA in which grounds would be prepared for fully settling
all outstanding issues regarding our nuclear program."
9 January 2008: US President Bush, at
the start of his Middle East tour, denounced
Iran as a threat to world peace. Meanwhile, IAEA Director
General ElBaradei is headed to Iran to talk with President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki.
He is expected
to push for the resumption of UN inspections and for a rapid
conclusion of the investigation into Iran's past activities.
7 January 2008: A confrontation between
the United States and Iran occurred in the Strait of Hormuz,
wherein three US warships nearly opened fire on up to five
Iranian motor boats, which, according to the US, approached
them "in a threatening manner," but according to
Iran, simply asked the US ships to identify themselves. See
DisarmamentActivist.org's posts on 8
January and 10
January for a good overview of the incident, and analysis
of the Western and Iranian media reactions. See Kaveh L Afrasiabi's
article
from 15 January for some interesting legal perspectives
on the incident. And check out the videos of the incident
on the BBC website.
7 January 2008: IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei will
go to Iran at the end of the week for two days"with
a view of resolving all remaining outstanding issues and enabling
the agency to provide assurance about Iran's past and present
activities." An IAEA spokeswomen said ElBaradei would
meet some senior Iranian officials, but didn't give details.
28 December 2007: Russia delivered
the second batch of nuclear fuel to Iran for the Bushehr Nuclear
Power Plant. Its weight was equal to that of the first batch,
delivered on 17 December. A total of 82 tons of fuel is to
be delivered.
21 December 2007: US Permament Representative
to the UN Zalmay Khalilzad commented on Russia's supply of
reactor fuel to Iran in response to a reporter's question
of whether it will hamper movement towards further sanctions
on Iran:
Well, I have said, you have heard me before
that we have asked the Iranians to suspend their enrichment
program because once they are able to enrich uranium in
the name of their power reactor that they can enrich it
for weapon purposes too because the same technology that
enriches to - uranium to 5% can be used to enrich it to
70, 80, 90% which are usable and necessary and is two thirds
of the way for a weapons program. What’s important
about this issue is that if Iran suspended, we have said
we understand the need for the fuel and there has to be
a way to provide that fuel in a reliable way that doesn’t
yet contribute to proliferation. So the Russian offer makes
it unnecessary for Iran to have its own enrichment because
the Russians have said they will provide the fuel that is
needed for the power reactor. We were open minded in terms
of other alternatives to discuss post suspension but at
least the Russian offer undermines the logic that we need
to have enrichment because we need fuel for our reactor
and of course there is the back end which we will come to,
what happens with the spent fuel of the reactor is an issue
with regard to reprocessing the plutonium that will be in
the spent fuel. That’s an issue that’s also
critical for proliferation in terms of proliferation. Thank
you.
20 December 2007: A spokeswoman for the
Russian contractor Atomstroiexport announced
that it would take at least a year (until the end of 2008)
for the Bushehr power plant to become operational. Iranian
officials have previously thought Bushehr could be partially
operational within three months, and be completely online
in six to nine months.
18 December 2007: In his statement to
the Security Council, US Permament Representative to the UN
Zalmay Khalilzad said Iran must:
1) Suspend its proliferation sensitive nuclear
activities without delay, which would then allow negotiations
within the framework of the P5+1; and
2) Give the IAEA its full cooperation in implementing the
Work Plan.
The United States remains deeply troubled by Iran's noncompliance.
The P5+1 continue their consultations in capitals, and we
hope to have a text of a new sanctions resolution before
the full Council as soon as possible.
In closing, Mr. President, let me say a few words about
the recent announcement by the Russian Federation to send
Iran enriched uranium for use in the nuclear power plant
being constructed at Bushehr.
Resolution 1737, while prohibiting states from assisting
Iran with sensitive elements of the nuclear fuel cycle,
makes an exception for providing Iran with assistance and
fuel for light water reactors such as Bushehr. As President
Bush has noted, while he supports Russia's decision, Russia's
arrangement to supply nuclear fuel for the entire period
of Bushehr's operation demonstrates one thing: Iran does
not need to pursue uranium enrichment and other sensitive
aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle to have access to nuclear
power.
We have joined Russia and other members of the P5+1 in
offering Iran, if it complies with the requirements of the
Council, cooperation in the development of a civil nuclear
power program. This includes active international support
in building state-of-the art light water power reactors
and reliable access to fuel cycle, to nuclear fuel. If Iran
is, in fact, serious about using nuclear power to meet its
energy needs, the best way for it to proceed is to suspend
its proliferation sensitive nuclear activities and accept
the P5+1 offer. We await Iran's answer.
17 December 2007: Russia delivered
its first nuclear fuel shipment to the Iranian nuclear plant
at Bushehr. The Russian foreign ministry said in a statement
that Tehran had given assurances the 80 tonnes of fuel would
not be used for other purposes, and that the fuel was delivered
under the control and guarantees of the UN's nuclear watchdog,
the International Atomic Energy Agency, which has approved
the shipments.
Gholam Reza Aghazadeh, the Iranian vice-president and head
of Iran's nuclear programme, told Iran's state news agency
that the plant would begin generating electricity within the
next six months.
16 December 2007: Russia and Iran have
agreed to a timeframe to complete the Bushehr nuclear
power plant in southern Iran, according to Atomstroyexport,
the Russian contractor building the plant.
13 December 2007: China's Ambassador
to the UN, Wang Guangya, urged
for a "two-track approach in trying to resolve the dispute
with Iran over its nuclear program - a revitalized diplomatic
initiative along with a new U.N. resolution on sanctions."
Wang explained the NIE report "changed China's views
on a new sanction resolution." He also reported that
the political directors of the P5+1 agreed to either meet
or talk by telephone after the new year. However, US Ambassador
Khalilzad continued to insist "there was a proposal for
a new discussion among the political directors in the coming
days and the possibility of higher level talks at a donors
conference for Palestinians in Paris on Monday."
According to the AP, US officials in Washington
"said that a preliminary sanctions plan drafted by France
would punish the Quds Force, part of Iran's powerful Revolutionary
Guard Corps, for exporting banned weapons, and Bank Melli,
one of Iran's largest banks, which the United States included
in its own sweeping sanctions program in October."
12 December 2007: Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad,
US Permanent Representative to the UN, explained to reporters
outside of the Security Council, "The NIE wasn’t
helpful, has not been helpful in speeding us to get to a resolution
– agreement on a resolution but we are talking with
Germany and other P5 members, it’s still discussions
that are being held at the political directors level and there
was, as you heard, a discussion yesterday and there will be
additional discussion. I don’t expect at the present
time for action to be transferred, the negotiations to be
transferred to me - or to us here in the UN Security Council
for some days still." When a reporter asked if the Security
Council will discuss the issue in December, Khalilzad said,
"That’s our expectations but it’s contingent
on agreement among the political directors and there is another
engagement planned – another conversation among the
political directors."
However, British Ambassador John Sawers said
he feels it is unlikely that the P5+1 government officials
will be able to reach enough agreement in their talks on a
new Iran sanctions resolution by the end of the year to start
taking action at the United Nations. Before the issue can
be taken up by the Security Council, political directors in
capitals negotiate the outline of the resolution; these directors
have not yet been able to agree on final elements of the resolution.
Sawers argued, "I think there's still wide differences
between, on the one hand, Britain, France, Germany and the
United States, on the other Russia and China."
12 December 2007: The chief American
official in talks on Iran’s nuclear program, Under Secretary
of State R. Nicholas Burns, has been in discussion with the
rest of the P5+1 about a third sanctions resolution against
Iran, though US administration officials have said a vote
on new sanctions, originally scheduled for this month, would
most likely be deferred until next year. The New York Times
reported
that one official said "the new sanctions might include
economic strictures and a ban on foreign travel by senior
Iranian officials involved in the nuclear program or suspected
of supporting terrorism. Such sanctions would be somewhat
similar to those the United States unilaterally imposed on
the Quds division of Iran’s Republican Guard Corps,
although apparently they would not go nearly as far."
Meanwhile, Scott McCormack, the State Department's spokesperson,
said the administration would like to have a final Security
Council resolution that can be voted on in the coming weeks,
adding, "what is very interesting about this is that
we’re not talking about whether or not there’s
going to be a resolution, but we’re talking about what
are the elements to a new Security Council resolution."
8 December 2007: Gulf Arab countries
vocally
disagreed with Defense Secretary Robert Gates on US policies
toward Iran and Israel. During his speech at a regional security
conference in Bahrain, Gates stressed the danger of Iran's
nuclear program and urged the Gulf states to force Tehran
to stop uranium enrichment. Several Gulf state delegates said
the US was hypocritical for supporting Israeli nuclear weapons,
and questioned Washington's refusal to meet with Iran to discuss
the Islamic state's nuclear activities. Bahraini Minister
of Labor Majeed al-Alawi asked whether Gates thought that
Israeli nuclear weapons are a threat to the region. Gates
said no - and that he does not perceive that as being a double-standard.
6 December 2007: The Tehran Times pointed
out several problems with the NIE report released on 3
December, arguing that despite positive responses by some
Iranian officials, the report is actually not something to
celebrate:
While the nuclear watchdog states that it
has not observed any non-peaceful nuclear activities, the
U.S. intelligence agencies have evaluated Iran’s nuclear
program to be of a military nature, so that, unlike a technical
approach, this political evaluation would influence public
opinion.
[The report states:] “The halt, and Tehran’s
announcement of its decision to suspend its declared uranium
enrichment program and sign an Additional Protocol to its
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Safeguards Agreement, was
directed primarily in response to increasing international
scrutiny and pressure…”
In this way they are trying to justify their decision to
pressure Iran and implying that the country is not committed
to the agreements.
[The report states:] “Until fall 2003, Iranian military
entities were working under government direction to develop
nuclear weapons.”
This big lie is not mentioned in any of the IAEA reports
and is only an allegation made by the United States.
[The report states:] “Since fall 2003, Iran has been
conducting research and development projects with commercial
and conventional military applications”; “Iran’s
civilian uranium enrichment program is continuing”;
“Iran will not be technically capable of producing
and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about
2015”; and “Iran has the scientific, technical
and industrial capacity eventually to produce nuclear weapons
if it decides to do so.”
These sentences suggest that the pressure that was put
on Iran, under the leadership of the U.S. government, has
been successful in halting the country’s efforts to
produce nuclear weapons and thus should be continued.
The article goes on to argue, "China, Russia, and even
other permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany
have made it very clear to the United States that they adamantly
believe that only diplomatic methods should be used in the
nuclear standoff. However, it is also important to examine
their definition of diplomacy. We suppose that diplomacy means
interaction through dialogue in order to reach an understanding,
but in the conception of diplomacy of some members of the
5+1 group, any tool can be utilized to exert pressure except
Article 42 of the United Nations Charter and the military
option."
5 December 2007: Recovering from the
intelligence report that seemed to undermine the US administration's
push for further sanctions against Iran, and undeterred in
its push to escalate international pressure on Iran, President
Bush said
the report shows Iran still has many questions to answer about
its past nuclear work, arguing that Iran had to come clean
on the work it had done on its nuclear program prior to 2003
and suspend uranium enrichment, or risk international isolation.
This statement avoids admitting that the IAEA and Iran have
been correctly asserting that Iran has no nuclear weapons
programme, and disregards the work plan developed by the IAEA
and Iran to settle all outstanding issues related to the IAEA
investigation into Iran's past nuclear activities. Furthermore,
as Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy adds, it "deliberately
distorts the historical-political context and makes clear
that Iran's nuclear programme is not the issue that is driving
[the US'] policies" toward Iran.
However, French Ambassador Jean-Maurice Ripert
indicated
that the Security Council would be moving forward with another
set of sanctions against Iran, saying "there was 'growing
consensus' among world powers including China and Russia on
moving talks on Iran's nuclear program to New York,"
because "Iran was still in defiance of two Security Council
resolutions demanding it halt uranium enrichment." The
Reuters article further points out that "Washington has
said it will continue pressing for a third round of sanctions
unless Iran halts uranium enrichment."
Al Jazeera, on the other hand, argued
that now that the NIE report has been released, there will
be international pressure against a pre-emptive strike and
opposition in the Security Council against further sanctions.
Marwan Bishara, Al Jazeera's senior political analyst, also
believes the report "might pave the way to bilateral
negotiations between the US and Iran without stiff preconditions
in order to relax the tensions in the Gulf with the participation
of Iran's Arab neighbours, as well as its European allies,"
and that "Washington will find it ever more necessary
and ever more enticing to talk to Iran about a 'helpful' and
perhaps beneficial role for itself and Iraq in the Gulf."
4 December
2007: Al Jazeera noted
that despite the report, the White House has urged global
powers to "turn up the pressure" on Iran. Stephen
Hadley, the national security adviser, argued, "The intelligence
... tells us that the risk of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon
remains a very serious problem," and insisted, "The
bottom line is this: for that strategy to succeed, the international
community has to turn up the pressure on Iran - with diplomatic
isolation, United Nations sanctions, and with other financial
pressure - and Iran has to decide it wants to negotiate a
solution." Al Jazeera also noted that the UK government
seems to favour "increasing the pressure on Iran over
its nuclear programme despite the latest NIE report,"
quoting a British foreign ministry spokesperson saying, "The
report's conclusions justify the action already taken by the
international community to get to the bottom of Iran's nuclear
programme and to increase pressure on the regime to stop its
enrichment and reprocessing activities." Meanwhile, US
President Bush said
the report was a "warning signal" and his view that
a nuclear Iran would be a danger "hasn't changed,"
adding: "Iran was dangerous, Iran is dangerous and Iran
will be dangerous if they have the know-how to make a nuclear
weapon."
The report has further confused
EU officials, who are "struggling to understand why the
United States chose to issue the report just two days after
the six powers involved in negotiating with Iran — the
United States, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany
— had decided to press ahead with a new Security Council
resolution." One diplomat reportedly said, “Officially,
we will study the document carefully; unofficially, our efforts
to build up momentum for another resolution are gone.”
Meanwhile, Vitaly Churkin, the Russian ambassador to the United
Nations, praised the report, arguing, “We have always
been saying there is no proof they are pursuing nuclear weapons.”
He explained he wasn't sure what impact the report would have
on the new initiative for more sanctions. A senior official
at the IAEA said, “Despite repeated smear campaigns,
the I.A.E.A. has stood its ground and concluded time and again
that since 2002 there was no evidence of an undeclared nuclear
weapons program in Iran,” adding that “[i]t also
validates the assessment of the director general that what
the I.A.E.A. inspectors have seen in Iran represented no imminent
danger.”
Meanwhile, in remarks to reporters outside the
Security Council, US Permanent Representative to the UN, Ambassador
Zalmay Khalilzad, said, "the NIE says that there was
a covert military dedicated nuclear weapons program."
However, this assertion of the report should
not be accepted without investigation. As Michael Spies of
the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy points out, "Scant evidence
exists in the public domain to back up the administration's
assertion that Iran had a nuclear weapons program." Iran's
nuclear-related activities prior to 2003 do not indisputably
indicate a "covert military dedicated nuclear weapons
program". For example, Spies says, "Iranian opposition
groups have made a number of claims, mostly discredited, regarding
clandestine military nuclear sites in Iran, including the
Parchin Military Complex and the Lavizan-Shian Technical Research
Center. IAEA samples of the soil found no evidence of nuclear
materials at either site, consistent with Iran's declarations."
Furthermore, "[i]n 2006, the IAEA continued to investigate
the import of dual use equipment by PHRC [Physics Research
Center, located at the Lavizan-Shian site], which could be
used in uranium enrichment and conversion activities. The
IAEA detected particles of natural and highly enriched uranium
on some equipment and materials related to the center,"
not to military activities. In regards to the 15-page document
given to Iran by the A.Q. Khan network that described "the
procedures for the reduction of UF6 to uranium metal in small
quantities, and for the casting of enriched and depleted uranium
metal into hemispheres, related to fabrication of nuclear
weapons components," Iran turned this document over to
the IAEA in 2006. Spies explains, the IAEA "noted the
document did not contain specification or dimensions for machined
components. Iran claimed the document was provided at the
initiative of the network. The IAEA noted that Iran had not
made use of the procedures described in the document."
Spies further argues, "The important question
that doesn't get asked isn't so much whether Iran had
a nuclear weapon program but what does the NIE mean
by Iran had a nuclear weapons program. Obviously we aren't
taking about the Manhattan project here. The bottom line is
that there's no evidence in the public domain to suggest much
beyond paper studies in Iran related to possible weaponization
of nuclear materials."
Ambassador Khalilzad went on to argue that the NIE report
says Iran stopped its "covert military dedicated nuclear
weapons program" in 2003 "because of international
pressure, because of revelations about the program that did
not come as a result of Iran producing that information, but
otherwise in the context of U.S. activities in the region,
including developments in Iraq at that time."
However, sanctions were not applied against
Iran in 2003. The US pushed for the IAEA to report Iran to
the UN Security Council in 2003, but instead, three EU states
- France, Germany, and the UK - offered Iran technical cooperation
with its nuclear program in exchange for full transparency.
Talks between Iran and the EU3 and the IAEA continued on-and-off
August 2005; the matter was not referred to the Security Council
until February 2006.
Mike Veiluva writing for DisarmamentActivist.org
argues, "while sanctions were not responsible for terminating
Iran’s alleged weapons research activities, they certainly
could induce the Iranian government to reconsider its suspension.
We already have the example of 2006 when the US push for new
sanctions drove Iran to terminate the Paris Agreement and
resume uranium enrichment."
3 December 2007: A new National
Intelligence Estimate, representing the consensus view
of all 16 US spy agencies, says
that Iran is not currently seeking nuclear weapons, nor will
it be capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium
for a nuclear weapon until at least 2010. The report "concludes
that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and that
the program remains on hold, contradicting an assessment two
years ago that Tehran was working inexorably toward building
a bomb." Mainstream media has either presented this report
as undermining neoconservative arguments for war with Iran,
or, as Fox News spun
it, "The intelligence community has high confidence
that Iran had a covert nuclear weapons program that it never
acknowledged and continues to deny, National Security Adviser
Stephen Hadley said Monday, but the program is currently halted
although perhaps not indefinitely." Some also insinuated
or pointed out that the report's contradictions to the 2005
NIE report, as well as the NIE's errors about Iraq's posession
of WMD, render this new report meaningless. Michael Spies
of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy argues the report adds nothing
new or substantive to the debate.
30 November 2007: EU foreign policy chief
Javier Solana said
he is disappointed after talks with Iran on its nuclear programme,
but top Iranian nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili said the discussions
were positive and more would be held. Solana was reportedly
"looking for signs that the Iranians were prepared to
suspend uranium enrichment work," while Jalili argued
"it was unacceptable to pressure Iran into abandoning
uranium enrichment, as it was allowed to do so under the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty."
25 November 2007: Iran's Foreign Ministry
spokesman reported
that Iran is working on the "completion of a new idea"
for settling the dispute over its nuclear programme. "The
new idea is currently discussed and to be completed and presented
at the next round of talks with (European Union foreign policy
chief Javier) Solana," Mohammad-Ali Hosseini told reporters
at a press conference. He did not disclose the contents of
the new idea, but confirmed that chief nuclear negotiator
Saeid Jalili would meet Solana in London on November 30.
25 November 2007: Iran's Foreign Ministry
spokesman, Mohammad-Ali Hosseini, said
Iranian officials will resume talks with their counterparts
from the UN nuclear watchdog over outstanding issues on Iran's
peaceful nuclear activities on December 11. The remaining
issues include the Polonium 210, source of the contamination,
and Gachin mine.
24 November 2007: The European Union's
foreign policy chief Javier Solana suggested
the discussion of establishing international enrichment centres
under multilateral supervision should be enhanced as an effort
to defuse tensions over Iran's nuclear enrichment programme.
However, Iran's response to previous suggestions of relying
on an international fuel supply rather than a domestic supply
has not been favourable. Iranian media said on Wednesday Solana
would meet Iranian chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili in
London on 30 November. Solana said he would "probably"
meet Jalili on that date.
22 November 2007: Disregarding the IAEA
Director General's recent report,
the US, the UK, France, and Germany told
the IAEA Board of Governors that "a wait-and-see approach
is not an option." They argued that Iran had not done
enough to win their trust, and the UN should now consider
tougher sanctions: "We recognize Iran has taken some
steps in the right direction but we are disappointed that
cooperation is of a partial and reactive nature ... all in
all, the results are not encouraging." US envoy Gregory
Schulte agreed, saying, "Iran's consistent policy of
selective cooperation and delay tactics suggest that Iran
means only to distract the world" from their nuclear
weapon ambitions. Meanwhile, Russia and China agree Iran's
cooperation with the IAEA is a positive step forward, and
neither seems ready to intensify sanctions. The Non-Aligned
Movement emphasized Iran's substantive cooperation, and warned
against "undue interference" with the process.
21 November 2007: Iran's deputy chief
nuclear negotiator Javad Vaeidi announced
that preliminary nuclear talks between Iran and the European
Union are to be held "within the next few days,"
after the initial schedule had to be postponed for "technical
reasons." Vaeidi said that after technical evaluation
of the Iranian nuclear programme by the International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA), Tehran was also ready to discuss with
the EU the political aspects of the issue.
19 November 2007: UN Ambassador Wang
Guangya of China said
his government is ready for six-nation talks to begin in early
December to try to resolve the dispute over Iran's nuclear
programme, but expressed caution about the possibility of
new sanctions. He said the United States "should not
forget" that the International Atomic Energy Agency is
the UN nuclear "watchdog," and when the six nations
decided on the two sanctions resolutions adopted by the UN
Security Council, "it [was] to reinforce the role of
IAEA." Ambassador Wang also denied that the cancellation
of its attendance at the most recent P5+1 meeting was a move
to block further sanctions, arguing that the Chinese delegation
faced scheduling problems.
19 November 2007: Iranian lawyer and
Nobel laureate Shirin Ebadi called
on Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment program, arguing
it is not worth war. She explained, "Using nuclear energy
is every nation's right, but we have obvious other rights
including security, peace and welfare." She also urged
the United States to work within international law when addressing
the Iranian nuclear programme: "What we want is that
the two sides should respect international law," Ebadi
said during her interview with Radio Farda. "The United
States cannot have the right to deal with Iran outside the
framework of international law, and Iran cannot build a wall
around itself and say, ‘I have nothing to do with international
law,’ and pay no attention to Security Council resolutions."
15 November 2007: The IAEA Director General
released a new report on the
implementation of the NPT Safeguards
Agreement and relevant Security Council provisions in Iran.
Media spin on the issue undermines several key points of the
report. As noted by Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy, "the charge
that Iran's cooperation has been reactive rather than proactive
could be interpreted as a criticism of the IAEA itself, which
after all agreed to the formula contained in the work plan.
In addition, the IAEA's 'diminishing'
knowledge of Iran's nuclear program requires a lot of
qualification - under the Safeguards, the IAEA is obligated
only to verify that information declared to it by governments
matches physical inventories. So in normal circumstances when
safeguards are applied, the IAEA doesn't compile "knowledge"
about a state's nuclear program - it makes findings regarding
the accuracy of a state's declarations. Of course, these two
points are easily taken out of context in order to show Iran
has not been cooperating, in spite of the very clear conclusion
of the report to the contrary." He further points out
several items in the report worth noting, including "the
expanded chronology of Iran's acquisition of nuclear fuel
cycle technology, placing the development of Iran's nuclear
program in the context of the program started by the Shah,"
and, more importantly, "the revised history of the 1987
offer from the Khan network and the civilian origin of the
decision to pursue uranium enrichment in paras 10 and 11 (emphasis
mine):
10. According to Iran, the decision to acquire centrifuge
technology was taken by the President of the AEOI and endorsed
by the Prime Minister of Iran. In response to its enquiries
about possible additional documentation relevant to the
1987 offer, the Agency was provided on 8 November 2007 with
a copy of a confidential communication from the President
of the AEOI to the Prime Minister, dated 28 February 1987,
which also carried the Prime Minister's endorsement, dated
5 March 1987. In his communication, the AEOI President indicated
that the activities "should be treated fully confidentially."
In response to the Agency's enquiry as to whether there
was any military involvement in the programme, Iran has
stated that no institution other than the AEOI was involved
in the decision-making process or in the implementation
of the centrifuge enrichment programme.
11. Based on interviews with available Iranian officials
and members of the supply network, limited documentation
provided by Iran and procurement information collected through
the Agency's independent investigations, the Agency has
concluded that Iran's statements are consistent with other
information available to the Agency concerning Iran's acquisition
of declared P-1 centrifuge enrichment technology in 1987.
Also important, Iran's explanation for the development (or
lack thereof) of the P-2 centrifuge also seems to check out,
and as always, 'The Agency has been able to verify the non-diversion
of declared nuclear material in Iran.'"
The P5+1 have been waiting for the release of this report,
the first one since the IAEA and Iran developed a work
plan to settle their outstanding issues, to decide whether
or not to press further sanctions against Iran (see 21
August entry for more details).
After the release of the report, Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad,
US Permanent Representative to the UN, argued that "it
is clear that Iran has not fully cooperated," and pressed
for "another resolution in the Security Council under
Chapter 7 to impose additional sanctions on Iran." He
further said, "only a strong resolution with new and
biting sanctions will give diplomacy a chance to succeed ...
I think it’s in everyone’s interest for this world
defining issue to be resolved diplomatically and for diplomacy
to work, for diplomacy to succeed it needs widely supported
broad and biting sanctions to effect the calculations of the
regime in Iran." He also hinted that China's "dragging
feet" on the issue would be responsible for the failure
of diplomacy "by not cooperating with the effort at additional
sanctions."
Khalilzad also insisted this is one of the most important
issues the international community faces, "because Iran
is seeking regional hegemony, because Iran has ties terrorist
organizations, because Iran’s support for insurgent
groups in Iraq and in Afghanistan, because of the rhetoric
of the Iranian leaders. Given all that, it is a defining issue
and therefore the international community as a state, the
international community as a whole as a state in doing all
that we can diplomatically to prevent Iran from acquiring
a nuclear weapons capability."
October 2007: The "Iran issue" at the General
Assembly First Committee on Disarmament and International
Security
Extracted from the Nuclear Proliferation reports written
by Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy in the First Committee Monitor:
Week 1: 8-12 October 2007
Contrary to exhortations of unity of the international community
on the issue of Iran’s nuclear programme, the discussion
in the General Debate revealed a high degree of divergence.
Divergences were readily apparent in the approach of the
P5 on the issue of Iran, despite the 28 September P5+2
statement in which the major powers agreed to seek a third
sanctions resolution in the UN Security Council unless reports
from the IAEA and the EU High Representative show progress
in November. The United
States again adopted the hardest line against Iran and
called outright for the UN Security Council to “move
forward as soon as possible to adopt a third resolution under
Chapter VII imposing additional sanctions measures.”
Although the EU's
delegation called upon Iran to “respond positively
and swiftly to the demands of the international community
… in particular by suspending its enrichment related
and reprocessing activities,” and endorsed the 28 September
P5+2 statement, it more positively expressed hope “that
the discussions between the IAEA and Iran on outstanding issues
will, at least by November, meet the targets laid down by
the 'work plan'.” The EU made no reference to an additional
sanctions resolution, however, it expressed “resolve
not to allow Iran to acquire military nuclear capabilities
and to see to all consequences of its nuclear programme, in
terms of proliferation, resolved,” without further specification
as to what such “resolution” might entail.
The Russian
Federation and China's
delegations both placed emphasis on diplomatic and political
solutions to addressing the Iran nuclear situation, without
reference to the imposition of additional sanctions or the
28 September P5+2 statement, perhaps an indication of lukewarm
support for continued escalation of the situation. Russia's
Ambassador Antonov called for a “comprehensive approach
… to the situation around the Iranian nuclear program.”
He further called for a “comprehensive political and
diplomatic solution” and “for intensifying contacts
between the Six Parties and Iran in order to elaborate the
models that would allow to launch such purpose-oriented full-scale
negotiations process.” China's Ambassador Cheng Jingye
implored all parties to “show flexibility, exercise
patience and stick to the course of peaceful resolution in
seeking a comprehensive, long-term and appropriate solution”
to the Iran situation.
Other Western delegations that spoke out on Iran tended to
take an approach closer to that of the EU. Canada
and New
Zealand emphasized a need for Iran to comply fully with
UN Security Council resolutions 1737
(2006) and 1747
(2007), a reference to Iran’s refusal to suspend
its uranium enrichment programme. Delegations affiliated with
the Non-Aligned
Movement, of which Iran is a member, universally adopted
a softer tone, welcoming the agreement between Iran and the
IAEA to resolve outstanding issues. Additionally, without
direct reference to Iran, Non-Aligned delegates generally
called for balanced and comprehensive pursuit of non-proliferation
objectives and reaffirmed the right expressed in Article IV
of the NPT to peaceful development and use of nuclear energy.
Ambassador Aziz of Egypt
observed the international community was witnessing “efforts
aimed at preventing the non-nuclear-weapon-States from their
inalienable right in the peaceful applications of nuclear
technology.” Indonesia’s
Ambassador Asmady stated, “We believe that the international
community should not be skeptical of the activities of certain
states—which are parties—in building peaceful
nuclear programs as long as they will not be diverted into
military purposes.”
Week 2: 15-19 October 2007
The dispute over Iran’s nuclear programme was again
the near-exclusive focus of discussion over matters concerning
nuclear proliferation in the second week of First Committee.
Despite the large amount of floor time devoted to the issue,
delegations generally failed to add any points of substance
to the discussion beyond those covered already in the General
Debate (see Nuclear Proliferation week one). In the Thematic
Debate, the European
Union statement did little more than expand on its position
on Iran incorporated in its general statement. Japan
and Australia
both expressed approval of the work plan between Iran and
the International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) to resolve outstanding issues, but
also called on Iran to fully comply with relevant IAEA Board
and UN Security Council resolutions without delay, including
the suspension of uranium enrichment.
Given the active engagement and ownership of this issue by
some major powers, who are also permanent members of the Security
Council, the role of the General Assembly on this matter is
certain to remain limited to repeated reassertion of national
positions in prepared remarks during the general and themed
discussions. The only, very minor, exception to this might
be if some states continue to raise objections to the annual
resolution sponsored by the League of Arab States, A/C.1/62/L.2,
entitled “The risk of nuclear proliferation in the Middle
East.” Despite its title the resolution exclusively
singles out Israel without reference to other concerns relevant
to nuclear proliferation in the Middle East (i.e. Iran), which
has led some delegations to question its balance.
First Committee also heard both the Iranian and Israeli viewpoints
on this issue in their general remarks. Reiterating familiar
rhetorical points, Iranian
Ambassador Khazaee defended Iran’s nuclear programme
as peaceful, touted the 21 August work plan to resolve all
outstanding issues with the IAEA, which the ambassador noted
had been well received by the international community, and
denounced UN Security Council resolutions adopted on the nuclear
issue as “unwarranted … unlawful, unnecessary
and unjustifiable.” Israeli
Ambassador Ziv, also delivering general remarks from the viewpoint
of her country’s unique perspective on matters of global
security, urged states to regard Iran “as a threat well
beyond the geographical limits of the Middle East” and
also as “a threat not just to the regional stability
but also to the global strategic situation.” Ambassador
Ziv’s statements were in part based on her argument
that weapons of mass destruction “in the hands of reckless
and irresponsible actors” is singularly the problem.
These hyperbolic statements are particularly notable because
Israel possesses the only nuclear arsenal in the region. Such
positions were flatly rejected by the Hans Blix-led Weapons
of Mass Destruction Commission, which pointedly discarded
the notion that nuclear weapons in the hands of some are safe,
but in the hands of others place the world in mortal jeopardy.
Taking a large step back from the narrow and overtly self-interested
views expressed by the regional antagonists, Ambassador Khan
of Pakistan
observed that in the context of Iran’s nuclear programme,
“resort[ing] to further coercion or worse, the use of
force, will be counter-productive and lead to further and
grave instability and insecurity in the Middle East and beyond.
It could also jeopardize the bright economic prospects of
the entire region.” He emphasized the need to “safeguard
the security and independence” of all states in the
region, noting that “[a]symmetry, imbalance and discrimination
will ultimately propel proliferation of weapons of mass destruction
in this region,” rather than facilitating the goal of
a nuclear weapon free zone in the Middle East.
24 September 2007: In an interview
with 60 Minutes, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
who is in New York to address the UN General Assembly
on Tuesday, denied
Iran has an interest in acquiring a nuclear weapon. "If
it (a nuclear bomb) was useful, it would have prevented the
downfall of the Soviet Union," he said. "If it was
useful, it would resolved the problem the Americans have in
Iraq. The time of the bomb is passed."
20 September 2007: The Middle
Powers Initiative issued an appeal
for a diplomatic and peaceful resolution of the Iran crisis.
In a statement widely released to governments around the world,
MPI appealed for their help in influencing the United States
not to launch a military attack on Iran.
14 September 2007: Germany
suggested a delay in pressing for new sanctions against Iran,
announced foreign ministry spokes-person
Martin Jaeger at a news conference. Although Jaeger stated,
"Germany is ready, if necessary, to take the necessary
steps against Iran," he added, "As a member of the
IAEA, we are also dealing with the so-called open questions
and giving Iran a chance to recover the international community's
lost confidence in its nuclear program… If Iran is ready
to do this ... then I think we can spare ourselves future
sanctions debates." Germany would now like to await the
release of a regular IAEA report on Iran in November, which
would provide an update on the progress of the work plan,
before proceeding with any further discussion of sanctions.
The announcement represented a shift in the unity of the EU-3
as France and the UK reportedly remain ready to push for new
sanctions.
13 September 2007: The Isreali
Foreign Minister, Tzipi Livni, said that the UN Security
Council should impose tougher sanctions against Iran, and
that private businesses should stop doing businesss with Tehran
despite financial losses that might result. US diplomats are
expected to press for stronger sanctions at meetings to be
held next week.
12 September 2007: Iran will
not stop uranium enrichment, chief nuclear negotiator
Ali Larijani said on Wednesday, despite a call by the European
Union and U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon to halt sensitive
nuclear work. The European Union said earlier that the failure
to include a provision for Iran to halt uranium enrichment
in a transparency deal Tehran agreed in August with the IAEA
was unacceptable.
12 September 2007: Iran warned
that a new round of UN sanctions could
"destroy" its willingness to cooperate with
investigations into its past nuclear activities. The US said
it would still push for penalties if Iran did not suspend
its uranium enrichment program that at projected rates could
produce enough material for a bomb in one year.
11 September 2007: The Non-Aligned Movement
(NAM) strongly
backed the IAEA-Iran work plan at an IAEA Board of Govenors
meeting, countering criticism of the deal by Western states.
Ambassador Norma Goicochea Estenoz of Cuba, speaking on behalf
of NAM, said the bloc "strongly rejects any undue pressure
or interference in the agency's activities ... which could
jeopardize its efficiency and credibility," in a diplomatic
rebuke to Western states that have expressed skepticism about
the work plan. NAM further stated it "believes this work
plan is a significant step forward, as (ElBaradei) said himself,"
further adding that "NAM believes it will facilitate
negotiations between Iran and other concerned parties toward
a peaceful settlement of Iran's nuclear issues. NAM also expects
all concerned parties to avoid taking any measures which put
at risk the recent constructive process between Iran and the
Agency." The EU statement to the Board "took note"
of the work plan, but stopped short of endorsing it or expressing
approval. Diplomats reported that IAEA Director General Mohamed
ElBaradei walked out of the meeting following the EU statement.
10 September 2007: UN Secretary
General Ban Ki-moon said that Iran must cooperate with all
UN
Security Council demands including the suspension of uranium
enrichment. "In addition to what IAEA has been negotiating
and discussing with the Iranian government, the Iranian government
should fully comply with the Security Council resolutions
-- that is the core," Ban said.
4 September 2007: Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's statement that Iran
has 3,000 centrifuges running is not backed up by evidence,
diplomats familiar with U.N. inspections said. 2,000 have
been operating, but well below capacity, with another several
hundred in various stages of installation and testing.
30 August 2007: IAEA Deputy Director
general of safeguards Olli Heinonen underlined
the importance of the work plan, recently agreed to between
Iran and the IAEA "to resolve the outstanding issues
that triggered all the Security Council procedures sometime
ago." He emphasized, "When you read the plan you
see this is not an open-ended timeline: there are certain
linkages in this approach, but it's important that it is not
open-ended…. The key now is that Iran adheres to this
timeline, provides us with the information that we need and
access to the information." He further noted that "All
these measures which you see there for resolving our outstanding
issues go beyond the requirements of the Additional Protocol."
Regarding concerns that Iran was manipulating the IAEA investigation
and that the deal rules out further inquiries, Heinonen stated,
"If the answers are not satisfactory, we are making new
questions until we are satisfied with the answers and we can
conclude technically that the matter is resolved—it
is for us to judge when we think we have enough information.
Once the matter is resolved, then the file is closed."
30 August 2007: The IAEA Director General
described the 21 August work plan as a significant step forward,
in a report
on the implementation of safeguards in Iran submitted to the
IAEA Board. The report also indicated that "Iran
has not suspended its enrichment related activities"
and "is also continuing with its construction of the
IR-40 reactor and operation of the Heavy Water Production
Plant" contrary to the decisions of the UN Security Council.
As of 19 August, Iran was simultaneously operating 12 164-machine
cascades with uranium feedstock at its Fuel Enrichment Plant,
with one cascade operating without uranium, one operating
under vacuum, and two more under construction. Despite Iran's
claims that it has enriched up to 4.8 percent U-235, the IAEA
reported a maximum enrichment level of 3.7%. The IAEA noted,
"Since February 2007, Iran has fed approximately 690
kg of UF6 into the cascades at the Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP),
which is well below the expected quantity for a facility of
this design."
22 August 2007: The US ambassador to
the IAEA accused
Iran of manipulating the IAEA in response to the 21 August
work plan for resolving outstanding issues related to Iran's
past nuclear activities. The US ambassador, Gregory Schulte,
described the package as containing "real limitations,"
further stating that "Cooperation that is partial, conditional,
and only promised in the future is not enough. Cooperation
that allows Iran to proceed developing the capacity to build
nuclear weapons is also not enough. If Iran's leaders truly
want the world's trust, they would stop trying to manipulate
the IAEA, start to cooperate fully and unconditionally, and
suspend activities of concern."
21 August 2007: The
IAEA and Iran finalized a work plan to resolve all outstanding
issues, after further meetings between Iranian and IAEA officials
in Vienna on 24 July and in Tehran 20-21 August. The document
entitled, "Understandings
of The Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities
of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues," was prepared
following a series of discussions in Tehran by IAEA and Iranian
officials starting on 12 July and contains a schedule for
resolving all outstanding issues related to the IAEA investigation
into Iran's past nuclear activities. According to the document,
the issue of Iran's past plutonium experiments was satisfactorily
resolved on 20 August. The document further states Iran's
understanding that once all presently identified issues have
been resolved, there will be no further remaining issues or
ambiguities pertaining to Iran's nuclear program. Under the
plan, the IAEA will provide its remaining questions to Iran
regarding the origin of the P-1 and P-2 centrifuge programs
by 31 August, and schedules a series of meetings intended
to close the matter by November 2007. Two weeks following
the closure of the P-1 and P-2 centrifuge issue, Iran and
the IAEA will work to resolve the remaining uranium contamination
issues. Iran agreed on 12 July 2007 to cooperation with the
IAEA in examination of a document found in Iran describing
the casting of uranium metal into hemispheric shapes. Two
weeks following the resolution of the uranium metal and contamination
issues, Iran agreed to provide explanation to the IAEA's questions
regarding Iran's PO-210 experiments, to be provided in writing
to Iran by 15 September 2007. The IAEA agreed to provide Iran
will all documentation it possesses pertaining to the alleged
Green Salt Project, the existence of which Iran denies, which
involves alleged studies pertaining to conversion of uranium
to UF4, high explosives, and missile reentry vehicles. Iran
agreed to review this evidence as a sign of cooperation. Diplomats
from Western states criticized the deal for failing to secure
Iran's adherence to the Additional Protocol and as for seemingly
precluding the IAEA from making further inquiries to Iran
on nuclear issues.
20 August 2007: IAEA and Iranian officials
met in Tehran to discuss the 12 July work plan to resolve
all out-standing issues, and "which includes understandings
between the Secretariat and Iran on the modalities, procedures
and timelines for resolving these matters."
6 August 2007: IAEA officials,
led by Michiro
Hosaya, arrived in Iran today, and will meet with a group
headed by Mohammad Saeedi, deputy head of Iran's atomic energy
organization. Plans for future inspections of Iran's uranium
enrichment facilities at Natanz will be discussed.
30 July 2007: International
Atomic Energy Agency inspectors visited
the heavy water nuclear reactor under construction at Arak
for a routine design information verification inspection.
The IAEA noted that construction of the reactor was ongoing.
Additionally, the IAEA further noted that according to satellite
imagery, operation of the adjacent heavy water plant was also
ongoing. It is the first such visit since Iran in April blocked
access to the plant. Meanwhile, Iranian nuclear negotiator
Ali Larijani and European Union negotiator Javier Solana are
to continue talks on Iran's nuclear program this week.
25 July 2007: Iran and the
IAEA wrapped
up talks and agreed to meet again on August 20th in Tehran.
In the meantime, an IAEA team will head to Tehran next week
to inspect the Iranian heavy water reactor in the city of
Arak. In addition, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki
said
Iranian officials would meet with representative of the Group
5+1 in the near future after fixing an exact date for the
event.
24 July 2007: IAEA and Iranian
officials met to further discuss the work plan for resolving
all outstanding issues. IAEA Deputy Director General for Safeguards
Olli Heinonen and Iran's Undersecretary of the Supreme National
Security Council for International Affairs, Javad Vaeedi,
met in Vienna to follow up on the 12 July meeting in which
both sides agreed to a draft
plan to resolve all outstanding issues.
23 July 2007:
It was reported
that on Tuesday, July 24th, Iran and the IAEA would hold a
second round of talks in Vienna on Iran’s nuclear program. Also
on Tuesday, Iran is expected
to engage in bilateral meetings with the United States, in
Baghdad. The topic of the Baghdad meetings is expected
to be the situation in Iraq, not Iran’s nuclear program.
23 July 2007: British
Prime Minister Gordon Brown said
he would not rule out military action against Iran, but believed
a policy of sanctions could still persuade Tehran to drop
its disputed nuclear program.
22 July 2007: British
Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to meet with President
Bush and discuss the “looming crisis” over Iran’s
nuclear program. The US is said to be pushing for a
third sanctions resolution in the UN Security Council; support
from the UK and opposition from China and Russia are expected.
19 July 2007: IAEA Director
General ElBaradei said
Iran still has to clarify some outstanding issues before the
IAEA can confirm its nuclear programme is only for peaceful
purposes. Iran has agreed to discuss these issues with the
IAEA.
12 July 2007: Iran and the IAEA agreed
to the modalities for resolving all outstanding issues related
to the agency's investigation of iran's past nuclear activities.
The draft plan entitled, "Understandings
of The Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities
of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues," consists
of a 60-day work plan and schedule for Iran and the IAEA to
resolve all outstanding issues.
11 July 2007: IAEA Deputy Director General
for Safeguards Olli Heinonen arrived in Tehran to prepare
a "modality plan" for resolving all outstanding
issues. Heinonen and his team met with Iran's Undersecretary
of the Supreme National Security Council for International
Affairs, Javad Vaeedi, who stated
the purpose of devising the plan at the present time is to
"resolve the issue in Vienna instead of New York."
9 July 2007: IAEA Director
General Mohamed ElBaradei reported
that Iran has slowed down the expansion of its uranium enrichment
program. ElBaradei said IAEA agency inspectors who just revisited
Iran's vast underground enrichment plant at Natanz also noticed
a "fairly slow" pace of feeding uranium into the centrifuges
for enrichment. "We saw a slowing in the process of commissioning
new cascades," he told reporters, referring to interlinked
networks of centrifuges that spin at high speeds to refine
uranium into nuclear fuel. "It is not a full-size freeze,
but it is a fairly marked slowdown... I hope at this delicate
stage Iran will even freeze what they have (running)," he
said after an IAEA meeting. He said the slowdown was a step
in the right direction and he likened it to an Iranian pledge
to him last month to start producing answers to IAEA investigations
meant to verify whether its program is wholly peaceful or
military in nature. "I welcome this since Iran at this stage
needs to do everything to cool things down", ElBaradei added.
This could be cause for restraint in the Security Council,
he suggested.
The US, however, is not convinced that the slow
down is a diplomatic decision, and has suggested that perhaps
technical difficulties are the real reason behind this latest
change.
On 23 May 2007,
the IAEA Director General's report
on the implementation of safeguards in Iran was released.
Jeffrey
Lewis and Paul
Kerr respond.
On 9 April
2007, Reuters reported
that Iran announced it has begun industrial-scale nuclear
fuel production, marking a shift from experimental atomic
fuel work involving a few hundred centrifuges used for enriching
uranium to a process that will involve thousands of machines.
However, Dr. Jeffrey Lewis of Harvard University argues
that while Iran has installed additional 164-machine cascades—maybe
more than 1,000 centrifuges in total—at the Fuel Enrichment
Plant at Natanz, there are many technical aspects that will
prevent this "shift" from being as immediate as the media
is making it out to be.
On 8 April
2007, Iran said
it would not discuss its obvious right to master the
nuclear fuel cycle but was open to talks that could reassure
the West that its atomic plans were not aimed at producing
bombs.
On 4 April
2007, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced
that his government would release the detained 15 British
sailors and marines as an "Easter gift" to the British people.
On 3 April
2007, Iran suggested
a diplomatic resolution to the ongoing 'hostage' crisis is
possible, providing the UK admits it entered into Iranian
waters. UKPrime Minister Tony Blair said
the next two days will be "fairly critical" to resolving the
dispute.
On 2 April
2007, ABC News reported
that "Iran has more than tripled its ability to produce enriched
uranium in the last three months, adding some 1,000 centrifuges
which are used to separate radioactive particles from the
raw material. The development means Iran could have enough
material for a nuclear bomb by 2009..." Dr. Jeffrey Lewis
of Harvard University responded
with a calculation showing how this proclaimation could
be very misleading.
On 29 March
2007, the United States and key allies began pressing
the International Atomic Energy Agency to find Iran in violation
of its commitment to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
over Tehran's refusal to allow remote monitoring of its underground
uranium enrichment plant. However, IAEA officials are withholding
judgment, pending examination of Iran's agreements to see
if its refusal to allow installation of extra cameras giving
a full overview of its Natanz operations is a violation of
the treaty.
On 25 March
2007, Iran responded to Resolution
1747, saying
the country would partially suspend cooperation with the International
Atomic Energy Agency and called the sanctions illegal. Ahmadinejad
also said
Iran would continue its nuclear program.
On 24 March
2007, the UN Security Council unanimously voted
in favour of Resolution
1747 for further sanctions against Iran. The P5+1
also released a Joint
Statement on the resolution.
On 23 March
2007, the top UK diplomat at the UN said
a new Security Council resolution on Iran has been agreed
upon and is expected to go to a vote on Saturday. However,
Qatar, Indonesia and South Africa, members of the Security
Council, have concerns.
Qatar and Indonesia want the resolution to call for a nuclear-free
Middle East - meaning Israel should get rid of its nuclear
weapons. South Africa has called for major changes, most of
which have been rejected.
Meanwhile, Iranian authorities arrested
15 British sailors and Marines, accusing them of trespassing
in Iranian waters. The British government and the crew
claim they were inside Iraq waters.
On 20 March
2007, South Africa surprised major powers by proposing
a softening of the document's wording. South Africa, the current
chair of the Security Council, has called for all key sanctions
proposed by major powers, including an arms embargo and financial
bans on an Iranian state bank and the Revolutionary Guard,
to be dropped. Although the original draft could probably
be adopted by the Security Council without South Africa's
backing, the major powers had wanted it to be passed unanimously.
Diplomats at the Security Council now say they do not expect
a vote on the draft resolution on Iran until next week. Adoption
requires a minimum of nine votes on the 15-member council
and no veto. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad plans to
address the council on the day of the vote.
Meanwhile, Iranian nuclear negotiator Ali Hosseini Tash denied
a report
that said Russia had told Tehran it would withhold fuel for
its Bushehr nuclear power plant unless it suspend uranium enrichment.
Russian negotiator Sergey Lavrov also denied
the report.
US Ambassador Alejandro D. Wolff also made some remarks
on Iran and the draft resolution.
On 19 March
2007, the US approved
a visa for Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to address
the UN Security Council when it votes on extra sanctions against
Iran. The Security Council is to meet on Wednesday to discuss
the sanctions.
On 16 March
2007, the Security Council circulated a draft
resolution on Iran.
On 15 March
2007, the P5+Germany agreed
on a sanctions package against Iran. The proposal still
has to be approved by their governments, then it is to be
presented to the rest of the Security Council and voted on.
It is considered unlikely that the proposal would meet strong
opposition from the other 10 members on the Security Council.
On 13 March
2007, the P5+Germany moved
closer to agreement over a sanctions package against Iran.
The Security Council may vote on the proposed sanctions by
the end of the week. The negotiating parties have ruled out
a ban on international travel by Iranian officials involved
in nuclear and missile development. They also are unlikely
to ban arms imports or export credit guarantees for companies
doing business in Iran. But diplomats say the new sanctions
resolution is expected to include an embargo on arms exports,
a ban on government loans to Iran, and an asset freeze on
more individuals and companies linked to Tehran’s nuclear
and missile programs. Iran shrugged
offthe threat of further UN sanctions over its nuclear
program, saying that more punitive action would hurt neither
the development of the nuclear fuel process nor the country's
economy. Meanwhile, the president of the UN Security Council,
South African Ambassador Dumisani Kumalo, complained
that other council members were not informed of negotiations
on the draft. "It's been 10 days and the feeling is that,
whether they have agreed or not, we need to see what they
were talking about," Kumalo said. "In the end it's about the
whole council that will decide."
On 11 March
2007, government spokesman Gholam Hossein Elham said
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wants to address the UN Security
Council to defend his country's controversial nuclear programme.
Ahmadinejad has not yet made a formal request to the Security
Council. Meanwhile, the P5+Germany failed
to agree on new sanctions against Iran.
On 9 March
2007, Iran's foreign minister warned
that the latest punitive move by the IAEA - the suspension
of 22 nuclear aid programs - could affect Tehran's cooperation
with the agency. None of the aid programs that were cut directly
applied to Iran's uranium enrichment program. Instead, the
projects are meant to support the peaceful use of nuclear
energy in medicine, agriculture, waste management, management
training or power generation. They are provided to dozens
of countries, mostly developing nations.
On 8 March
2007, the IAEA approved
a 40% cut in its technical assistance to Iran, in line with
Security Council sanctions. Iran's ambassador to the IAEA,
Ali Asghar Soltanieh, criticised the decision and said it
would not affect its uranium enrichment work: "None of these
projects are related to the enrichment programme. The enrichment
programme will continue as planned." Meanwhile, the six powers
(P5+Germany) negotiating further sanctions against Iran continue
struggling
to reach agreement. Under discussion is a mandatory
travel ban on Iraqi officials connected with the nuclear program,
an arms embargo, restrictions on export credits and an expansion
of an earlier list of Iranian officials, groups and companies
whose assets would be frozen.
On 6 March
2007, Iran's foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki denied
IAEA Director General ElBaradie's remark that his country
has temporarily slowed its nuclear program, insisting that
Iran's enrichment of uranium was continuing unabated. Mottaki
also recommended
the IAEA Board of Governors defend the agency's findings
on Iran's nuclear program, arguing that Iran is committed
to criteria of the IAEA and Iranian nuclear program should
be examined by the specialized agency of the United Nations
rather than the Security Council.
On 5 March
2007, the EU announced
it will back further sanctions against Iran, though disagreement
between the major powers remains on certain issues. Meanwhile,
board member nations of the IAEA gathered
for a session on approving the suspension of dozens of technical
aid programs to Iran as part of Security Council sanctions
meant to punish Tehran for its nuclear defiance. IAEA Director
General ElBaradei commented
that Iran's failure to clear up concerns about its nuclear
activities after concealing them for almost 20 years sets
it apart from all other nations: "We have not seen concrete
proof of diversion of nuclear material, nor the industrial
capacity to produce weapons-usable nuclear material, which
is an important consideration in assessing the risk," said
ElBaradei. "But quite a few uncertainties remain about experiments,
procurements and other activities ... This renders the agency
unable to provide the required assurance about the peaceful
nature of Iran's nuclear programme." He also said
that Iran appeared to have at least temporarily paused on
the development of its uranium enrichment program.
On 2 March
2007, the US reported
progress in talks with major powers on imposing further sanctions
against Iran over its refusal to halt uranium enrichment.
US state department officials said most of the issues had
been resolved during a conference call between the US, UK,
Germany, China, Russia and France. Ambassadors plan to start
drafting a new UN resolution next week.
On 27 February
2007, Iran's foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki reiterated
that his country will never again suspend uranium enrichment,
dismissing the threat of further United Nations sanctions.
"Demands that Iran halt enrichment are illegal and illegitimate
and based on an incorrect political strategy. This (suspension)
will never materialize," the official Islamic Republic News
Agency quoted Mottaki as saying. Mottaki added, however, that
Iran is prepared to negotiate about its nuclear program "without
any preconditions." Meanwhile, China said
that a new United Nations Security Council resolution against
Iran over its nuclear programme must be conducive towards
diplomatic and peaceful negotiations. Foreign Ministry spokesman
Qin Gang said sanctions were not the ultimate purpose.
On 26 February
2007, the United States, France, Russia, China, the
UK, and Germany agreed
to begin work on a new UN Security Council resolution on Iran
over its nuclear programme. "We had a productive first discussion
of the next steps ... We began work on a new Security Council
Resolution," said John Sawers, political director of Britain's
Foreign Office. "We also considered how best to re-engage
with Iran. We are all committed to seeking a negotiated solution,"
he said in a statement. In Washington, State Department spokesman
Sean McCormack said"I
would expect the nature of the resolution to be incremental
. . . This is designed to proportionally increase pressure
on Tehran." Pparticipants are expected to consider trimming
export credits for companies that trade with Iran and restricting
arms exports to Iran. Meanwhile, during a conference
on international security, Hans Blix, the former head of the
IAEA, said
the world's approach to Iran's nuclear ambitions humiliated
Tehran by insisting it stop research without giving any security
guarantees: "We haven't heard anything about offers on guarantees
for security in case they will go along with a renunciation
of enrichment. It's the United States that can deliver assurances
about security. It's U.S. that can deliver recognition or
normalization of relations."
On 25 February
2007, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said
Iran would proceed with its disputed nuclear program, comparing
its nuclear drive to a train that has no reverse gear or brakes.
Ahmadinejad also repeated his call for negotiations, saying
the time for ''bullying'' had expired. US Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice responded
by saying that Iran doesn't need a reverse gear but a stop
button, and calling on Iran to halt weapons-related activities.
Rice has said, "I am prepared to meet my counterpart or the
Iranian representative at any time, if Iran will suspend its
enrichment and reprocessing activities."
On 22 February
2007, the IAEA reported
that Iran is steadily expanding its efforts to enrich uranium.
In a mild surprise to outside experts, the nuclear agency
reported that Iran was now operating or about to switch on
roughly 1,000 centrifuges, the high-speed devices that enrich
uranium, at its nuclear facility at Natanz. In response, the
Bush administration immediately pressed for more severe sanctions
against the country. Permanent members of the UN Security
Council and Germany will meet
in London on Monday to discuss further sanctions against Iran.
On 21 February
2007, the UN deadline for Iran to suspend its uranium
enrichment activities passed with Ahmadinejad declaring
Iran will try to achieve nuclear capabilities as quickly as
possible. The IAEA is scheduled
to report to the Security Council by the end of this week
on whether Iran is complying with demands to stop producing
nuclear fuel.
On 20 February
2007, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said
Iran wants to resume negotiations over its nuclear programme
but rejected demands that Tehran suspend its uranium enrichment
programme first. He announced
that Iran would only halt its uranium enrichment program and
return to negotiations if other Western nations do the same.
The UN security council has set tomorrow as
a deadline for Iran to avoid further economic sanctions by
ceasing its work on enrichment.
On 19 February 2007,
ElBaradei argued
Western powers need to reassure Iran over its security rather
than just ratchet up sanctions if they want to resolve a nuclear
standoff. Meanwhile, Russia announced
the delay of its building Iran's first nuclear power plant,
saying Tehran is behind with payments. Iran denies
this delay.
On 12 February
2007, Iranian nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani announced
that Iran’s nuclear program is not a threat to Israel
and that Iran is prepared to settle all outstanding issues
with the International Atomic Energy Agency within three weeks.
Meanwhile, the Belgian official who has overseen IAEA inspections
in Iran has been removed
from his post nine months after Tehran banned him from entering
the country.
On 9 February
2007, Tehran's chief nuclear negotiator and the
head of the IAEA have planned
to meet, just hours before the agency is scheduled to issue
recommendations on withdrawing technical aid for some nuclear
projects run by Iran.
Both US Secretary of Defense Bill Gates and Iran's national
security chief, Ali Larijani, will attend
the global security conference to be held in Munich this
weekend. Larijani has stated that one of the purposes of his
participation at the conference is to "negotiate" on the issue
ofIran's nuclear program, thus raising expectations in some
European quarters about a potential breakthrough, given the
timing coincidence of the conference with Iran's annual celebration
of the 1979 Islamic Revolution and the much-anticipated news
of Iran's technological breakthrough heralding its entry to
the "nuclear club".
On 3 February
2007, a group of ambassadors from the Non-Aligned
Movement, Group of 77 and League of Arab States, and IAEA
representatives from Algeria, Cuba, Egypt and Malaysia (none
of whom were official inspectors), were taken
on a tour of the Isfahan Uranium Conversion Facility in central
Iran with nearly 100 reporters, on what is being billed as
a transparency visit. It is the first such trip since the
UN imposed limited sanctions on Iran in December. Reporters
on Saturday passed the Natanz enrichment facility but were
not permitted to tour the site, where Iran recently said it
was installing 3,000 centrifuges.
On 2 February
2007, diplmats revealed
that Iran has been setting up piping, control panels and electric
cables for Tehran's underground uranium enrichment plant -
the final step before installing equipment that countries
fear could be used to make nuclear arms. The move marks an
escalation of the confrontation between Tehran and the world's
major powers over the Islamic republic's nuclear program and
will likely spur U.S. efforts to sharpen existing U.N. sanctions
slapped on Iran for its defiance of a Security Council demand
that it freeze enrichment efforts. A top Iranian nuclear
official said U.N. inspectors have set up cameras in Natanz
to monitor the activity. The official, speaking on condition
anonymity because he was not authorized to give statements
to media, said the cameras were put in place over the past
few days, ending Thursday.
On 30 January
2007, the US ambassador to the UN rejected
ElBaradei's proposal of a "timeout" in the sanctions against
Iran, arguing the sanctions already being applied against
Iran are not open to reinterpretation. In addition,
President Bush said
the United States "will respond firmly" if Iran escalates
military action in Iraq and endangers American forces. But
he also emphasized he has no intention of invading Iran. Meanwhile,
European governments are resisting
Bush administration demands that they curtail support for
exports to Iran and that they block transactions and freeze
assets of some Iranian companies, officials on both sides
say. The resistance threatens to open a new rift between Europe
and the United States over Iran.
On 29 January
2007, IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei proposed
a simultaneous "time-out" plan during the World Economic
Forum in Switzerland, in which it will hold off on imposing
sanctions if Tehran suspends uranium enrichment. ElBaradei
said,
"I still believe that the only solution to the Iranian issue
- which is in our hands right now - is dialogue, is negotiation,
is engagement by the neighbors and by all the relevant parties,"
he said. "The Arab countries have to be engaged, the US has
to be engaged. We need to try that. We need to invest in peace
because the alternative is not there, and the alternatives
could be 10 times worse."
On 26 January
2007, Iran demanded
the removal of Belgian Chris Charlier, the UN official overseeing
nuclear inspections in the country. Iran accused Charlier
of breach of trust, and barred all inspectors from nations
behind the sanctions recently imposed on Iran. Iran's
official news agency IRNA quoted an unnamed Iranian diplomat
as saying "both Iran and the (IAEA) are informed that this
inspector has passed confidential Iranian nuclear information,
which was supposed to be kept between Iran and the IAEA, to
inappropriate countries and their media."
On 25 January
2007, Washington and Iran continued their "diplomatic
jousting", with the US accusing
Iran of interfering with Iraq while Iran downplayed
its rejection of IAEA inspectors on Monday, calling on the
media not to be "oversensitive on the issue." The US has also
sent
a second aircraft carrier strike group to the Persian Gulf,
which is "Washington's way of warning Iran to back down in
its attempts to dominate the region."
On 24 January
2007, newspapers began reporting
that European defense officials have said North Korea is sharing
its nuclear data on last year's test explosion with Iran.
Meanwhile, speculation
over the possibility of a US or Israeli attack against Iran
heats
up.
On 23 January
2007, US Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns urged
Iran to return to negotiations or face harsher sanctions,
reminding Iran that "a package of incentives offered by world
powers to Iran in June in return for suspending uranium enrichment
remained on the table." Meanwhile, Russia "completed in full
the delivery of Tor M-1 missiles to Iran," fulfilling their
$700 million contract. Russian officials say
that the missiles are purely defensive weapons with a limited
range and argue that the Tor-M1 deal, involving conventional
weapons, does not violate any international agreements. In
other news, the US introduced
a resolution at the UN General Assembly to condemn Holocaust
denial, largely seen as aimed at increasing Iran's diplomatic
isolation.
On 22 January
2007, Iran barred
38 UN inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA), from entering the country. The agency said the move
was a “first step” in limiting cooperation with
the IAEA, in line with a demand made by parliament after UN
Sanctions were imposed on Iran a month ago over its disputed
nuclear program. Meanwhile, Iran's Revolutionary Guards launched
war-games in central Iran on Monday and said they would test
two models of home-made missiles. The war-games have been
seen by military experts as muscle flexing, aimed at showing
off Iran's capabilities in the face of pressure from the United
States.
On 21 January
2007, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad
Ali Hosseini said
Iran is "ready to talk" about regional issues if the US makes
a formal request for negotiations; however, he reiterated
that a suspension of uranium enrichment is "not acceptable."
On 18 January
2007, IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei called
for a resumption of negotiations with Iran. "Only applying
pressure, he suggested, could prompt the Islamic republic
to follow the path of North Korea, which kicked out U.N. inspectors,
pulled out of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty in 2003
and then conducted its first-ever nuclear test last October.
. . . My priority is to keep Iran inside the system." He continued,
"any effort by anybody to get the Iranians and the Europeans
— and the Americans in particular — engaged would
be something I welcome." Meanwhile, the IAEA halted
some of its technical aid to Iran following United Nations'
sanctions guidelines. Confusion
over the US Administration's intentions toward Iran continues.
On 17 January
2007, Russia's defense minister said
Moscow has sold air defense missiles to Iran, the first high-level
confirmation that their delivery took place despite U.S. complaints.
On 16 January
2007, both conservatives and reformists in Iran are
openly challenging
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's hard-line nuclear diplomacy,
an unusual agreement across Iran's political spectrum, with
many saying his provocative remarks have increasingly isolated
their country. Meanwhile, Iranian officials reported
that Iran is pressing on with nuclear enrichment.
On 12 January
2007, speculation
arose regarding Bush's intentions to go to war with Iran and/or
Syria based on his address to the nation two days earlier.
Some sources
wondered aloud if Bush had issued an executive order to commence
military action against Iran and Syria. However, White House
spokesman Tony Snow stated
that Bush has no preperations underway to go to war against
Iran or Syria: "I want to address kind of a rumor and
urban legend that is going around, and it comes from language
in the President's Wednesday night address to the nation;
that in talking about Iran and Syria, that he was trying to
prepare the way for war with either country, and that there
were war preparations under way. There are not."
Meanwhile, talk of staging a special IAEA meeting
in January, two months ahead of the next scheduled session,
to increase pressure on Iran has abated
because of Iran's moderate response to new UN sanctions. The
IAEA also recognized that such a meeting could wreck the board's
current cohesion.
On 11 January
2007, two IAEA inspectors arrived
in Iran to conduct routine inspections of the country's nuclear
facilities in Isfahan and Natanz. The inspectors will
also review the trend of cooperation with Iranian nuclear
officials. Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice said
she was "prepared to reverse 27 years of policy" and meet
"any time, anywhere" with Iran's leadership if it suspended
its enrichment of uranium.
On 4 January
2007, Iran's top nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani went
to China to engage in talks. During talks with Larijani, Chinese
President Hu Jintao expressed
the hope that Iran would make a "serious response" to Resolution
1737.
On 3 January
2007, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed
Iran will step up its atomic programme despite UN sanctions,
predicting Tehran would soon produce nuclear fuel for industrial
uses.
On 2 January
2007, Iranian government Spokesman Gholam-Hussein Elham
said
3000 centrifuges currently being installed at the Iranian
nuclear reactor in Natanz will be operational by March of
this year. Meanwhile, Israel will test
an underground installation in the Negev desert designed to
monitor any attempt by Iran to test nuclear devices.
On 1 January
2007, the US and its European allies, believing UN
sanctions against Iran to be too weak, began planning
to use the language of the resolution to help persuade foreign
governments and financial institutions to cut ties with Iranian
businesses, individuals in its nuclear and missile programs
and, by extension, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.
On 24 December
2006, President Ahmadinejad rejected
UN Security Council sanctions against Iran, insisting his
country would press ahead with its nuclear programme. The
Iranian Foreign Ministry released
a statement condeming the adoption of the resolution.
On 23 December
2006, the UN Security Council unanimously
adopted Resolution
1737, imposing sanctions on Iran for failing to halt uranium
enrichment. The United
States issued an explanation of vote.
On 8 December
2006, Europeans gave
a revised draft resolution aimed at curbing Iran's nuclear
ambitions to Russia and China and intend to circulate it to
the full U.N. Security Council on Friday in hopes of a vote
next week.
On 6 December
2006, France's foreign ministry said
six-nations talks on a UN resolution to punish Iran for its
nuclear programme have failed to reach an agreement. The diplomats
said they would move their negotiations back to the United
Nations headquarters in New York in a bid to reach a deal.
On 29 November 2006,
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made
an unprecedented and direct appeal to the US people, urging
them to reject US foreign policy. In a letter to "Noble Americans"
Iran's president said the US administration's use of "coercion,
force and injustice" weakened its global position.
On 23 November 2006,
The IAEA announced
that Iran will give inspectors access to records and equipment
from two of its nuclear sites.
On 14 November
2006, President Ahmadinejad said
Iran would soon complete its nuclear fuel program.
On 7 November
2006, the meeting of
six states (China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom,
and the United States) at the United Nations working on a
resolution to curb Iran’s suspected nuclear ambitions
broke up, with the ambassadors reporting widening disagreements
and lessening prospects of a swift accord.
On 2 November
2006, Iran fired
several missiles with a range of more than 1,000 miles during
a military maneuver, apparently to send a message to the United
States and several of its allies in the Persian Gulf after
they conducted naval exercises in the same area this week.
On 26 October
2006, Iran announced
it has installed a second centrifuge cascade for uranium enrichment.
Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice urged
the UN Security Council to adopt a resolution imposing sanctions
on Iran.
On 13 October
2006, Iran vowed to
continue to defy international demands to stop its nuclear
activities and refused to condemn North Korea for its reported
test of small nuclear device.
On 6 October
2006 the United States said
it had "won" agreement from the other four permanent members
of the United Nations Security Council and Germany to seek
sanctions against Iran over its refusal to shut down its nuclear
enrichment programme.
On 5 October
2006 European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana
said
Iran has not agreed to suspend its most sensitive nuclear
activities, despite four months of intensive talks.
On 3 October
2006 a senior US official said
the United States will give European negotiators until the
end of the week to convince Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment
program, and then pursue sanctions if Tehran fails to comply.
Britain and France are also prepared to call for sanctions.
On 26 September
2006 Russian announced
it will ship fuel to a controversial atomic power plant it
is building in Iran by March under an agreement signed Tuesday.
On 24 September
2006 France announced
that EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana and Iran had weeks
rather than months to agree an agenda for talks on Tehran's
nuclear program before world powers unite against Iran.
On 31 August 2006, the International
Atomic Energy Agency's Director General released its report,
"Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic
Republic of Iran", in response to the July 31 Security Council
Resolution 1696 requ
On 27 August 2006, US Ambassador
to the UN John Bolton said the US may try another route to
sanctions if it is unable to get agreement on a follow-up
Security Council resolution.
On 27 August 2006, Iran said
it would not stop enriching uranium, one of the key aspects
of the P5+1 package proposal.
On 22 August 2006, Iran's chief
nuclear negotiator, Ari Larijani, delivered Iran's response
to the P5+1 package proposal. Details are not public, but
some of the detailed response is discussed in this
article.
On 31 July 2006, the Security
Council passed Resolution 1696,
demanding Iran suspend all enrichment and reprocessing activities
by August 31 or face economic and diplomatic sanctions. It
also calls on Iran to take the other confidence-building measures
from the International Atomic Energy Agency Board of Governors'
Resolution (GOV/2006/14).
The resolution takes action under Article 40 of Chapter VII
of the UN Charter and calls on all states to prevent the transfer
of any nuclear or missile-related items, materials, goods
or technology to Iran. The resolution passed 14 to 1, with
Qatar as the sole vote against.
On 20 July 2006, the EU3 (Britain,
France and Germany) introduced a draft
text of a Security Council resolution telling Iran to
suspend uranium enrichment, endorsing the package proposal
and threatening further measures if Iran does not comply.
Russia has proposed amendments to tone down the draft, which
currently acts under Articles 39 and 40 of Chapter VII of
the UN Charter.
On 16 July 2006, Iran said
the package proposal was an "acceptable basis" on which to
begin negotiations. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid
Reza Asefi said Iran and Europe should begin negotiating.
On 13 July 2006, Iranian President
Ahmadinejad threatened to leave the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty.
On 12 July 2006, the permanent
five members of the Security Council, with Germany, (P5+1)
agreed to bring Iran back into the Security Council after
Iran did not respond to the most recent package deal by the
July 12 deadline, which followed already passed July 5 and
June 29th deadlines. Iran has said it will reply by August
6 (negotiator Ari Larijani) and August 22 (President Ahmadinejad).
On 11 July 2006, the European
Union met with Iran to discuss the package proposal but they
did not agree on anything.
On 3 July 2006, the US navy
said it would ensure oil's safe passage through the Strait
of Hormuz, responding to concerns that Iran might block such
passage and disrupt international oil trade.
On 27 June 2006, Iran's supreme
religious leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said there was "no
use" negotiating with the United States unless the US recognizes
its inalienable right to nuclear technology. If the US did
recognize Iran's right to nuclear power, Iran would be willing
to negotiate over "controls, inspections and international
guarantees."
On 27 June 2006 Mohammad Mehdi
Zahedi, Iran's minister of science, research and technology
told Indonesia's vice president that nuclear weapons are against
Islamic law, therefore Iran has no intention of developing
them.
On 25 June 2006, Iran's oil
minister said Iran would use oil as a weapon in the confrontation
over its nuclear program, followed by a statement the next
day that it would only do so as a last resort.
On 23 June 2006, the Guardian
newspaper quotes Iran's chief negotiator, Ari Larijani, saying
US is using the nuclear disagreement as a pretext to change
the Iranian goverment.
On 15 June 2006, the United
States Senate voted 99-0 to support multilateral negotiations
on Iran’s nuclear program in an amendment to the fiscal
2007 defense authorization bill. Earlier it rejected a bill
to strengthen sanctions against Iran.
On 8 June 2006, the IAEA Director
General's report
to the Board of Governors was released.
From 6-8 June 2006, the new
Nobel Women's Initiative, formed by Nobel Laureates Jody Williams,
Shirin Ebadi, Wangari Mathai and Betty Williams, met in Vienna
to oppose conflict between Iran and the United States. Read
the statement, "We Two Women,"
urging the US and Iran to renounce violence and focus on ensuring
human rights and security, by Iranian Nobel Peace Prize laureate
Shirin Ebadi and American Nobel Prize winner Jody Williams.
On 6 June 2006, the permanent
five members of the Security Council, with Germany, (P5+1)
offered Iran a new package deal. The United States would join
the negotiations, but Iran must suspend uranium enrichment
before negotiationsl begin. The offer includes a light water
reactor.
On 30 May 2006, the Ministerial
Meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement released a statement
on Iran supporting a nuclear weapon free zone in the Middle
East and resolution through diplomacy and dialogue.
On 23 May 2006, Iran tested
a Shihab-3 missile with a range of between 900 and 1,200 miles.
On 10 May 2006, Indonesian
President Yudhoyono proposed establishing a larger negotiating
group, including Indonesia, under UN coordination to resolve
the Iranian issue. Indonesia has coordinated the Non-Aligned
Movement Disarmament Working Group for the last 12 years,
and has good relations with Iran and the West. It is also
the most populous Muslim nation.
On 9 May 2006, the permanent
five members (P5) of the Security Council, plus Germany, decided
to offer Iran a package of incentives and consequences for
suspending uranium enrichment. They plan to take a few weeks
to negotiate the specifics of the package among them, but
have agreed in theory on a package hinged on no more uranium
enrichment.
On 9 May 2006, Chief Iranian
negotiator Ari Larijani said Iran has no intention of withdrawing
from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
On 8 May 2006, President Ahmadinejad
said he would not hesitate to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty. The Iranian Parliament threatened to withdraw its
signiture from the Additional Protocol (which allows intrusive
and short-notice inspections, signed by Iran in December 2004)
and to consider withdrawal from the Treaty in a letter to
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan read on state television.
On 4 May 2006, UN Secretary
General Kofi Annan called for the United States to negotiate
directly with Iran, and offer something in return for any
re-suspension of uranium enrichment, such as technology or
security assurances. "It would also be good if the U.S. were
to be at the table with the Europeans, the Iranians, the Russians,
to try and work this out," Annan said on "The NewsHour with
Jim Lehrer" on PBS.
On 3 May 2006, the Security
Council met and discussed a draft
resolution on Iran. The current form of the resolution
is acting under Chapter VII, which includes the possibility
of sanctions and the use of force. See an initial reaction
to the draft here
and more productive solutions to the problem here
and in more detail here.
On 2 May 2006, the Permanent
Five (P5) Members of the Security Council and Germany met
in Paris to discuss the most recent International Atomic Energy
Agency report on Iran and a draft resolution on the matter.
On 28 April 2006, Dr. ElBaradei,
Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency,
sent his report on the Implementation of the NPT Safeguards
Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Security
Council. This report was a response to the March 29 Security
Council Presidential Statement's request for such a report.
On 26 April 2006, US Congressional
Rep Peter DeFazio (D-OR) introduced a resolution (H.
Con. Res. 391) in the House of Representatives declaring
that the House, with the Senate concurring, "strongly and
unequivocally believes that seeking congressional authority
prior to taking military action against Iran is not discretionary,
but is a legal and constitutional requirement." DeFazio and
61 members of the House also wrote
to President Bush to say the same.
On 23 April 2006, government
officials in Iran announced
that its nuclear programme is irreversible. Foreign Ministry
spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi also stated that suspension of
unranium enrichment and nuclear research are not on Iran's
agenda.
On 18 April 2006, Mikhail Kamynin
of Russia's foreign ministry said that Russia had ruled out
sanctions against Iran unless there was concrete proof that
Iran's nuclear programme was not peaceful. While there isn't
any concrete evidence that shows whether or not Iran is pursuing
nuclear weapons, Mr. Kamynin noted
that "sanctions can be discussed only when there are concrete
facts showing that Tehran's nuclear activity is not exclusively
peaceful."
On 17 April 2006, Iran's top
nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, said that demands to stop
uranium enrichment were "irrational."
Larijani also stated that US demands for stronger UN action
were not new and would neither affect Iran's determination
nor deter it from continuing efforts to develop nuclear energy.
Despite being out of line with Bush administration policy,
US Senator Richard Lugar, Republican chairman of the Senate
foreign relations committee, called for direct talks between
Washington and Tehran. Senator Luger also urged caution in
pressing for sanctions despite Secretary of State Condoleeza
Rice already outlining sanctions during the week of 10 April.
The Security Council is scheduled to discuss Iran on 28 April,
the deadline given to Iran to address the SC's concerns.
On 16 April 2006, during his
Easter message, Pope
Benedict XVI called upon all parties involved to find
a peaceful, diplomatic solution to conflict over Iran's nuclear
programme. The Pope stated: "May an honourable solution be
found for all parties, through honest and serious negotiations."
He also called upon international leaders and organizations
to find greater will to "achieve peaceful co-existence among
different races, cultures and religions."
On 11 April 2006, Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that Iran had "joined the nations
with nuclear technology," by successfully enriching low grade
uranium. Although Iran continues to claim that its nuclear
programme is solely for peaceful purposes, the United States
is urging Iran to halt enrichment. Russia has also joined
the the call of the US by calling the enrichment "a
step in the wrong direction." Responding to these criticisms,
President Ahmadinejad urged the West to respect Iran's right
to develop peaceful atomic technology, and called on scientists
to push ahead with full scale industrial enrichment. Despite
concerns that Iran plans on developing nuclear weapons, Iran
has informed the IAEA of its plans
to install more centrifuges and IAEA Director General
ElBaradei will visit Tehran on 12 April.
On 30 March 2006 foreign ministers
from the Security Council permanent member countries and Germany
met
in Berlin to discuss solutions to the Iran nuclear question.
The leaders warned that if Iran does not return to the negotiation
table it will face isolation and possible sanctions.
On 29 March 2006, the Security
Council released a Presidential
Statement calling on Iran to implement confidence building
measures, particularly stopping uranium enrichment, with regard
to its nuclear program.
On 20 March 2006 the permanent
members of the UN Security Council along with Germany met
to discuss the Iranian nuclear issue. Britain, France
and the United States backed a statement calling for full
suspensing of all Iranian nuclear activities. The statement
would require the IAEA to report back on Iran's compliance
within a few weeks. China and Russia, however, are concerned
that the deadline for IAEA reporting was too soon, and are
believed to be concerned that Security Council action regarding
Iran's nuclear programme will overshadow the role of the IAEA.
On 13 March 2006 British Foreign
Secretary, Jack Straw, appealed
to Iranian people saying they deserve better than their current
government. Mr. Straw called upon international agencies to
publish more reports in Farsi in order to make the internet
more accessible to Iranians. Although the Iranian issue has
been referred to the Security Council, Straw said military
action is inconceivable.
On 12 March 2006 Iranian officials
announced that Russia's compromise proposal was "off
the agenda" after Iran was reported to the UN Security
Council. Foreign Ministry spokeman Hamid Reza Asefi said that
circumstances have changed and Iran will wait for Security
Council action before proceeding with further negotiations
on a compromise deal. Mr. Asefi also noted that Iran is still
open to a joint enrichment deal as long as Iran's right to
conduct nuclear fuel research on its own soil is recognized.
On 8 March 2006 the IAEA referred
Iran to the UN Security Council, which has the power to impose
sanctions. The IAEA
report said that it could not "conclude that there are
no undeclared nuclear materials or activities in Iran". With
the Iran issue now in the hands of the Security Council, France,
the UK and the USA are trying to muster support for sanctions.
However, China, with a US$100 billion energy deal in negotiations
with Iran, is reluctant to impose sanctions. Russia is also
reluctant to see sanctions applied.
On 4 March 2006 Indian Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh and Russian President Vladimir Putin
discussed
the Iran issue and upcoming IAEA Board meeting over the phone.
During the conversation initiated by India, Prime Minsiter
Singh praised Russian efforts to address the issue through
direct dialogue and consultations with Iran. In light of the
recent accord
between the US and India in which India agreed to separate
its civilian and military nuclear facilities, Preseident Putin
and Prime Minister Singh also discussed the potential for
cooperation in the field of civilian nuclear energy.
On 27 February 2006 in a meeting
of EU foreign ministers, France, Britain, and Germany dismissed
Iran's claims that it had reached a basic agreement with Russia
on joint uranium enrichment. Both the French and German foreign
ministers claimed that the agreement between Iran and Russia
is merely technical and will fail to meet international concerns
over Iran's nuclear activities.
On 26 February 2006 Iran agreed
"in principle" to a joint venture with Russia to enrich
uranium. According to the head of Iran's nuclear agency, Gholamreza
Aghazadeh, more talks are needed to agree upon the details
of a potential agreement, but the proposed Russian compromise
would move enrichment activites that could lead to development
of nuclear weapons to Russian soil in order to allay Western
concerns about an Iranian nuclear programme. While the Russian
proposal is seen as a last chance for Iran to compromise with
the IAEA, Mr. Aghazadeh claimed that such a compromise would
have to be part of a larger package that would allow Iran
to to keep its nuclear research programme.
On 13 February 2006 Iran resumed
uranium enrichment. After the IAEA Board of Governors concluded
its emergency meeting with the adoption of a resolution referring
Iran to the UN Security Council, Iran's government announced
the end of its voluntary freeze on uranium enrichment and
permanently suspended talks with Russia over a joint-enrichment
programme that were scheduled for Thursday, 16 February 2006.
IAEA inspectors are scheduled to visit Iran's nuclear facilities
later in the week, but with Iran vowing to stop all UN inspections
of its sites and threatening to withdraw from the NPT, the
situation is tenuous.
On 4 February 2006 the IAEA
Board of Governors adopted a resolution entitled "Implementation
of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of
Iran" asking that IAEA Director General El Baradei to
report to the UN Security Council all IAEA reports and resolutions,
as adopted, relating to the implementation of safeguards in
Iran. The Resolution was adopted by vote of 27 in favour,
3 against and 5 abstentions. Although previously hesitant
about referring Iran to the Security Council, Russia and China
voted for the resolution with the understanding that their
votes provided no warrant for possible sanctions. As one of
the group of 6 nations calling for the emergency IAEA Board
meeting and Security Council referral, the United States,
in a statement
given to the IAEA Board, noted that it was pleased to join
"an overwhelming majority" in signaling to Iran that it "must
meet its nonproliferation obligations." Although the Security
Council will not decide on a course of action against Iran
until March 6, when Director General El Baradei will issue
his official report on Iran, because the Security Council
has the authority to impose sanctions, their is great potential
for escalation.
On 2 February 2006 the IAEA
Board of Governors held an emergency meeting to discuss a
possible referral of Iran to the Security Council. Regarding
the emergency meeting, Iran's top nuclear negotiator Dr. Ali
Larijani issued a statement
to the IAEA Board, pointing out that a referral to the Security
Council has no technical or legal basis and that Iran's peaceful
nuclear activties are within the IAEA legal framework.
On 1 February 2006 Iran's President,
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, stated
in a television broadcast that Iran would not submit to bullying
over its nuclear programme and that Iran will never give up
its "right" to development of peaceful nuclear energy. President
Ahmadinejad's speech came in response to harsh criticisms
of Iran's "nuclear amibitions" by both US President George
W. Bush and British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw. In addition,
Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, said
that Iran will likely strike back and use its influence in
the Middle East if the P5 and EU member states continue to
exert pressure on Iran to halt development of its nuclear
programme.
On 31 January 2006 the IAEA
released
a preliminary report to member countries suggesting it has
evidence linking Iran's ostensibly peaceful uranium enrichment
programme and its military work on high explosives and missiles.
The four page report, based paritally on US intelligence,
refers to a secretive Iranian entity called the Green Salt
Project, which worked on uranium processing, high explosives
and a missile warhead design. If the nuclear-military links
illustrated in the report are true, they would refute Iran's
claims that its nuclear programme is solely aimed at producing
nuclear energy. The report will be debated during an emergency
meeting of the IAEA Board of Governors on February 2.
On 30 January 2006 the United
States, EU3, China and Russia met in London and agreed
that the IAEA should report Iran to the UN Security Council.
However, the foreign ministers from the Security Council permanent
member states settled
on waiting to take up the Iran issue until the IAEA releases
its formal report on Iran's nuclear programme in March. In
their statement,
representatives from the six nations and the High Representative
of the European Union emphasized their commitment to non-proliferation
and expressed serious concerns over Irans' nuclear programme,
but confirmed their resolve to settle the Iran issue diplomatically.
On 25 January 2006 Dr. Hans
Blix, former head of the IAEA and the UN Monitoring, Verification,
and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC),
addressed the Arms
Control Association indicating that an IAEA Board referral
of Iran to the UN Security Council would not be the most productive
course of action in dealing with Iran's nuclear programme.
In his speech, Dr. Blix noted that regardless of the forum,
a better offer is needed to induce Iran to drop its uranium
enrichment program. Lacking thus far, he stressed, have been
security guarantees of the kind offered to North
Korea. For further information please see
LCNP's analysis and the full
transcript of the Dr. Blix's speech.
On 23 January 2006 Iran threatened
that it would immediately begin a full-scale uranium enrichment
programme if referred to the UN Security Council.
On 12 January 2006 the EU3
(United Kingdom, France, and Germany) issued a statement saying
that negotiations with Iran are dead and called for Iran's
referral to the UN Security Council. US Secretary of State
Condoleeza Rice issued a statement in support of the EU3.
Russia and China were hesitant about a Security Coucil referral.
On 10 January 2006 Iran began
removal of seals from its facilities under IAEA supervision,
and resumed research and development in Natanz,
Pars Trash, and Farayand Technique. IAEA Director General
Mohamed ElBaradei expressed
serious concern about Iran´s decision to resume enrichment-related
activities before the IAEA Board of Governors has clarified
the nature of Iran´s nuclear programme.
On 7-8 January 2006 Russia
and Iran conducted three rounds of talks on joint Russian-Iranian
uranium enrichment. Under the Russian proposal uranium enrichment
would take place in Russia, making it more difficult for Iran
to develop nuclear weapons. Iranian officials called the progress
of the bilateral talks "satisfactory
and suitable." Russia and Iran are still discussing a
compromise proposal to jointly enrich unranium he next round
of negotiations between the two countries is scheduled to
take place 16 February 2006.
On 3 January 2006 the Iranian
government sent a letter to the IAEA board stating that it
planned to resume "nuclear research and requested that the
IAEA remove seals on its equipment.
On 11 December 2005, The
Sunday Times reported
that Sharon has ordered Israeli armed forces "to be ready
by the end of March for possible strikes on secret uranium
enrichment sites in Iran." According to this report, "defence
sources in Israel believe the end of March to be the 'point
of no return' after which Iran will have the technical expertise
to enrich uranium in sufficient quantities to build a nuclear
warhead in two to four years." However, many sources have
reported that Amos Gilad, chief of strategic and security
planning in the Israeli Defence Ministry, along with Foreign
Minister Silvan Shalom and others in Sharon's office, deny
that a plan to attack Iran is in place, though they say a
military option against Iran could eventually be considered.
On 10 December 2005, the Globe
and Mail reported
that Gholamreza Aghazadeh, head of the Atomic Organization
of Iran, declared that Iran will produce nuclear fuel domestically,
regardless of the international community's attempt to stop
it. Aghazadeh "also described a European offer to shift Iran's
contentious nuclear enrichment program to Russia as 'flawed,'
adding that Moscow has not even approached Tehran about the
idea. Talks with Europe are currently scheduled to resume
21 December 2005.
On 5 December 2005, Director
General ElBaradei suggested
"that the main hope of resuming EU negotiations lay with comprise
proposals, which is offering to allow Iran to develop uranium
conversion at Isfahan but for enrichment outside its territory
at a jointly owned plant." Meanwhile, the BBC reported
that Iran is planning to build a second nuclear power plant.
From 1-6 December 2005, aggressive
rhetoric between Iran and Israel erupted. Haaretz.com
reported
Netanyahu's declaration "that Israel should take 'bold and
daring' action to thwart Iran's plans for nuclear armament,
citing Israel's 1981 air strike on the Iraqi nuclear facility."
In response, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid-Reza
Assefi "reiterated its warning from the day before that Israel
would pay a heavy price for any attempt to wipe out its nuclear
program," saying, "the Zionist regime is well aware that if
it made such a grave mistake, the Iranian reaction would be
devastating." Meanwhile, "Israeli security experts warn that
Israel and Iran are engaged in an unprecedented arms race
on a defensive level, Yedioth Ahronoth, a well-known Israeli
newspaper, said on Sunday, citing experts, who've been closely
following military development schemes in both states. With
Israel's recent test launch of the Arrow missile, and Iran's
latest deal with Russia to buy anti-ballistic missiles, experts
say that the two states are in an armament face off" (Islam
Online). Iranian President Ahmadinejad has inflamed
the situation further by hinting at Holocaust denial and suggesting
Israel should be moved to Europe.
On 3 December 2005, "Iran’s
hard-line constitutional watchdog approved a bill Saturday
blocking international inspections of atomic facilities if
the nation is referred to the U.N. Security Council for possible
sanctions . . . The ratification by the Guardian Council means
the bill - overwhelmingly approved by parliament last month
- now needs just a presidential signature to become law. It
was not clear when that would take place. The bill will strengthen
the government’s hand in resisting international pressure
to permanently abandon uranium enrichment, a process that
can produce fuel for either nuclear reactors or atomic bombs"
(Associated
Press).
On 2 December 2005, Russia
agreed to sell "more than $1 billion worth of missiles and
other defense systems to Iran," Guardian Unlimited
reported.
"While the conventional weapons deal would not violate international
agreements, it was likely to elicit an adverse reaction from
the United States." The New York Times reported
that "the missiles, known by the NATO designation SA-15 Gauntlet,
are deployed on tracked vehicles and designed to strike aircraft
or cruise missiles flying at altitudes of an estimated 30
to 20,000 feet at a range of 7 miles, according to the Federation
of American Scientists Web site."
On 1 December 2005, Iran
Mania reported
that the EU and Iran are having difficulty arranging their
next series of talks, "as the two sides are bickering over
substance and form." While the talks had been tentatively
scheduled for the week of December 5th, it now appears that
they will not be held until later in December or early January.
The two sides appear to have different agendas for the upcoming
meetings - while the EU wants to "talk about talks," Iran
would like to see some respect from the EU in high-level meetings.
Iran's suspension of uranium enrichment continues, though
they are engaged in the conversion process.
On 28 November 2005, Iran rejected
the Russian-European proposal that it move its enrichment
facilities to Russia. Iran Focus reported
that Hossein Entezami, the spokesman for Iran's Supreme National
Security Council (SNSC), told the state news agency IRNA that
the "entire process of uranium enrichment must be conducted
inside Iran". Iranian
Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki asserted that Iran's nuclear
programme was solely to produce energy, not arms: "We are
against producing and storing nuclear weapons. Atomic weapons
in the whole world should be destroyed."
On 27 November 2005 the European
Union dropped its precondition (suspension of Iran's uranium
conversion activities) for resumption of talks with Tehran
over its suspected nuclear weapons program. Meanwhile, Iran's
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed to continue the nuclear
programme, and Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid-Reza
Asefi set new terms for the resumption of talks with the EU,
saying
that the issue for discussion during a meeting in December
must focus on "the creation of nuclear fuel on Iranian soil,"
must "not create any special rules for Iran and must not act
in a discriminatory way."
On 24 November 2005 the IAEA
Board met to review the Iran case. As anticipated, Iran was
not referred to the Security Council. Please see Director
General Dr. Mohamed ElBaradei's introductory
statement to the Board and his statement
to the press, as well as the Board's report
for more information.
On 21 November 2005, the Associated
Press reported
that “Washington and its European allies will forgo
pushing for Iran's referral to the UN Security Council later
this week, giving Russia more time to persuade Tehran to give
up technology that could make nuclear arms, diplomats and
officials told The Associated Press on Monday.” The
move is intended to garner support for the West’s desire
to refer to refer Iran to the Security Council: “If
the Russians fail to win over the Iranians, Washington and
the Europeans hope Moscow and other key board members of the
International Atomic Energy Agency now opposed to Security
Council referral will alter their opposition.” Europe
is also hoping the decision will give Iran more time to resume
negotiations with the E3 (France, Germany, UK).
On 20 November 2005, days before
the IAEA Board Meeting was scheduled to decide if Iran would
be referred to the Security Council, the Associated Press
reported
that “Iran's parliament approved a bill Sunday requiring
the government to block international inspections of its nuclear
facilities if the nation is referred to the Security Council
for possible sanctions. . . . When the bill becomes law, as
is expected, it will strengthen the government's hand in resisting
international pressure to abandon uranium enrichment, a process
that can be used to produce fuel for nuclear reactors or an
atomic bomb.”
On 19 November 2005, the Guardian
reported
“International suspicion of Iran's nuclear programme
heightened yesterday when it was revealed that Tehran had
obtained a blueprint showing how to build the core of a nuclear
warhead. . . . Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International
Atomic Energy Agency, told diplomats that his inspectors had
recently obtained documents from Tehran showing that the Iranians
had been given various instructions on processing uranium
hexafluoride gas and casting and enriching uranium. These
had been obtained via the black market in nuclear technology
headed by the disgraced Pakistani scientist, Abdul Qadeer
Khan.” Iran, voluntarily submitting the blueprints to
the IAEA, insisted it did not ask for the designs but were
given them anyway. The IAEA is still investigating this claim.
On 18 November 2005, the New
York Times reported
that by the plan proposed by Russia and endorsed by the E3,
“Tehran would be permitted to continue to convert raw
uranium into a gas form, called UF6. That gas can be enriched
if poured into high-speed centrifuges . . .” However,
while Iran would retain its right to enrichment and reprocessing,
an enrichment facility would be built in Russia, “in
which Iran would have management and financial interest, but
not a technical interest. In other words, Iran would have
no control over the level to which the uranium is enriched,
preventing it from making bomb fuel.
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