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Nuclear
Iran?
Key Issues
There are several key issues that make the Iran nuclear issue so
complex.
(1) The "inalienable right" to produce nuclear energy
Under the Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT), all countries are allowed to develop nuclear power
for peaceful uses, under the inspection of the IAEA. This is discussed
in the preamble of the NPT, wherein the States Parties to the Treaty
commit to:
"Affirming the principle that the benefits of peaceful applications
of nuclear technology, including any technological by-products which
may be derived by nuclear-weapon States from the development of
nuclear explosive devices, should be available for peaceful purposes
to all Parties of the Treaty, whether nuclear-weapon or non-nuclear
weapon States,"
and are
"Convinced that, in furtherance of this principle, all Parties
to the Treaty are entitled to participate in the fullest possible
exchange of scientific information for, and to contribute alone
or in cooperation with other States to, the further development
of the applications of atomic energy for peaceful purposes."
This right is further entrenched in Article IV of the Treaty, which
states that:
1. Nothing in this Treaty shall be interpreted as affecting
the inalienable right of all the Parties to the Treaty to develop
research, production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes
without discrimination and in conformity with articles I and II
of this Treaty.
2. All the Parties to the Treaty undertake to facilitate, and have
the right to participate in, the fullest possible exchange of equipment,
materials and scientific and technological information for the peaceful
uses of nuclear energy. Parties to the Treaty in a position to do
so shall also cooperate in contributing alone or together with other
States or international organizations to the further development
of the applications of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, especially
in the territories of non-nuclear-weapon States Party to the Treaty,
with due consideration for the needs of the developing areas of
the world.
All States Parties are also allowed to enrich uranium to the level
needed to make fuel for nuclear power, again under the IAEA's monitoring
regime. Most states get such fuel from a few supplier countries
under strict regulations. Iran has indicated that it needs to be
able to develop this process itself because it cannot trust outside
suppliers. Please see Iran’s working paper on “Peaceful
use of nuclear energy,” submitted to the Main Committee
III of the 2005 NPT Review Conference, 19 May 2005.
(2) Nuclear energy processes are dual-use technologies
The same technology used in nuclear power reactors for
peaceful energy purposes can be used to enrich uranium further in
order to make nuclear weapons. In additon, the heavy-water reactor
in Arak could provide plutonium, which is an alternative source
of fuel to highly-enriched uranium for a nuclear explosion. For
an explanation of how uranium and plutonium can be converted from
a peaceful energy source to a nuclear weapon, please see RCW's nuclear
fuel cycle.
(3) Legal discrepencies
The NPT entered into force in Iran in 1974, followed by
the Safeguards
Agreement. After the Islamic Revolution in 1979, Iran sustained
its membership with the NPT. States Parties to the NPT agree to
several verification and safeguard measures to ensure compliance.
In Article III,
"Each non-nuclear-weapon State party to the Treaty undertakes
to accept safeguards, as set forth in agreement to be negotiated
and concluded with the International Atomic Energy Agency in accordance
with the Statute of the International Atomic Energy Agency and the
Agency's safeguards system, for the exclusive purpose of verification
of the fulfillment of its obligations assumed under this Treaty
with a view to preventing diversion of nuclear energy from peaceful
uses to nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices. Procedures
for the safeguards required by this Article shall be followed with
respect to source or special fissionable material whether it is
being produced, processed or used in any principal nuclear facility
or is outside any such facility. The safeguards required by this
Article shall be applied on all source or special fissionable material
in all peaceful nuclear activities within the territory of such
State, under its jurisdiction, or carried out under its control
anywhere."
The IAEA
Safeguards System and Additional Protocols are intended to grant
the IAEA authority to inspect and report on the nuclear activities
and developments of every State Party. They are a blend of verification
activities, compliance assurances, confidence-building measures,
and early warning mechanisms. Article 28 of the Iran
Safeguards Agreement explains that “the objective of the
safeguards procedures set forth in this part of the Agreement is
the timely detection of diversion of significant quantities of nuclear
material from peaceful nuclear activities to the manufacture of
nuclear weapons or of other nuclear explosive devices or for purposes
unknown, and deterrence of such diversion by the risk of early detection.”
The Safeguards Agreement, along with the Additional Protocol and
the IAEA Statute, grants the IAEA Board the authority to refer issues
of noncompliance to the Security Council when deemed necessary.
In its resolution
of 24 September 2005, the IAEA Board pointed out that “Iran’s
policy of concealment has resulted in many breaches of obligation
to comply with its Safeguards agreement,” though “good
progress has been made in Iran’s correction of the breaches
and in the Agency’s ability to confirm certain aspects of
Iran’s current declarations.” However, it “finds
that Iran’s many failures and breaches of its obligations
to comply with its NPT Safeguards Agreement, as detailed in GOV/2003/75,
constitute non compliance in the context of Article XII.C of the
Agency’s Statute.”
In addition, after inspections, the Director General of the IAEA
can make resolutions which call for certain measures to be followed
by the particular State Party, such as the suspension of certain
activities (i.e. uranium enrichment). However, since enriching uranium
is Iran’s right, compliance with these requests is not legally
binding but is a voluntary confidence building measure. In the Iran
case, the E3 (France, Germany, and the UK) and Iran adopted the
Paris
Agreement, under which Iran “decided, on a voluntary basis,
to continue and extend its suspension to include all enrichment
related and reprocessing activities, and specifically: the manufacture
and import of gas centrifuges and their components; the assembly,
installation, testing or operation of gas centrifuges; work to undertake
any plutonium separation, or to construct or operate any plutonium
separation installation; and all tests or production at any uranium
conversion installation.” While the IAEA can verify and monitor
this suspension, it does not have legal authority to enforce it.
Therefore, as Michael Spies of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy (LCNP) points out in his legal
analysis of the Iranian situation, “the hard-line position
of the US and EU is largely at odds with the statutory powers of
the IAEA, which prevent it from legally enforcing the terms of the
Paris Agreement. The agreement “invites” the IAEA to
verify and monitor the suspension of enrichment related activities.
. . . The agreement relegates the IAEA to the role of a neutral
and ostensibly impartial observer.
“Moreover, the Paris Agreement is not a binding treaty. The
text contains no expression that the state parties consent to be
bound by the agreement terms, thus depriving the text from possessing
any legally binding character. Specifically the agreement lacks
the language which confers binding legal status unto treaties, such
as provisions for ratification and deposit. Under this view the
agreement is analogous to a memorandum of understanding or a statement
of principles, to be used to guide a framework for continued negotiations.
Only the stated outcome document of this negotiated framework would
conceivably take the form of a legally binding treaty.”
Iran makes similar arguments in its communiqué
of 4 November 2005, which outlines all of the legal discrepancies
Iran believes are associated with the resolution. The legal analysis
by Michael Spies corroborates some of these points, as he declares
that "the issue before the IAEA Board is not whether to punish Iran
because it is clandestinely operating a nuclear weapons program.
A report released by the IAEA last month indicated HEU contamination
on Iranian nuclear equipment originated in Pakistan, thus absolving
Iran of the sole remaining potential “smoking gun” evidence
of a nuclear weapons program. Absent evidence of such a program
the U.S. and E.U. appear to seek to punish Iran for operating an
ostensibly civilian nuclear program, in abrogation of their legally
binding recognition of Iran’s “inalienable right”
to develop such technology under Article IV of the NPT."
In addition, Spies points out that "under the Statute (Art. 12(C)
and the Safeguards Agreement the Board may only refer Iran to the
Security Council if it finds that, based on the report from the
Director General, it cannot be assured that Iran has not diverted
nuclear material for non-peaceful purpose. In the past findings
of “non-assurance” have only come in the face of a history
of active and ongoing non-cooperation with IAEA safeguards. The
pursuit of nuclear activities in themselves, which are specifically
recognized as a sovereign right, and which remain safeguarded, could
not legally or logically equate to uncertainty regarding diversion."
Since Iran is allowed to enrich uranium and produce plutonium,
accusations and resolutions against Iran's engagements in these
processes must be based on violation of international law. The IAEA
investigation declared that Iran had failed to meet its NPT obligations
concerning the reporting of its nuclear materials and how they are
used. However, it is clear that both sides have very different perspectives
on what exactly Iran’s legal obligations are and whether or
not they have been met.
As Joseph
Cirincione of the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace points out, the “NPT’s
failure to define specifically what constitutes the ‘peaceful’
application of nuclear capabilities to which non-nuclear-weapon
states commit themselves,” could lead to new nations acquiring
nuclear weapons, especially since” as the treaty has been
interpreted, countries can acquire technologies that bring them
to the very brink of nuclear weapon capability without explicitly
violating the agreement, and can then leave the treaty without penalty.”
This is the nature of the catch-22 of Article IV.
These legal complexities are the most difficult elements of the
Iran case to contend with, as they requires a completely unobjective
analysis and access to inspections and reporting that has not been
manipulated or pressured by outside parties. It also requires delicate
legal language, to stress the differences between legally binding
obligations and voluntary confidence building measures. Finally,
using legal instruments which are by their very nature supposed
to be indiscriminatory can create new problems if double-standards
regarding their implementation are employed – the fourth key
issue.
(4) NPT Double-Standards
Reaching Critical Will, along with the vast majority of the world,
has long maintained that the disarmament and non-proliferation obligations
of the NPT are equally important, inextricable, and mutually reinforcing.
No state can claim the moral high ground when accusing another of
non-compliance if that state is not holding up its half of the bargain.
This has become the fundamental finger-pointing game of the Iran
situation.
In its 12 September 2005 communiqué
to the IAEA, Iran argues that its nuclear issues have been politicized
by certain parties who do not wish to accede Iran’s right
to develop nuclear technology, and who maintain double-standards
in the selection of who is to be held accountable for upholding
international obligations. Iran made the case that the US falsely
accuses others of violating international law while violating the
law itself. In its working
paper submitted to the 2005
NPT Review Conference Main Committee I on 19 May 2005, Iran
outlined the broken promises and unfulfilled obligations that Nuclear
Weapon States (NWS) made during the 2000
NPT Review Conference. Iran noted “the non-entry into
force of START
II agreement, the reluctance to pursue the START III negotiations,
and abrogation of the Anti-Ballistic
Missile (ABM) Treaty are among the serious set backs to the
implementation of 13
practical steps. The international community has noted the signature
of the Moscow Treaty on Strategic Offensive Reduction in 2002. However,
reductions as stipulated in this treaty are far below the international
expectations for real steps towards total elimination of nuclear
weapons. Moscow Treaty does not go beyond de-commissioning of nuclear
weapons and Parties do not have any obligation to destroy their
nuclear weapons. No verification mechanism is also envisaged. It,
therefore, does not take into account the principles of ‘increased
transparency’, ‘diminishing role for nuclear weapons’
and ‘irreversibility’ which were agreed by the nuclear-weapon
States in the 2000 NPT Conference.”
Iran also presented these arguments during the 2005 session of
the UN General Assembly First
Committee on Disarmament and International Security. Iran presented
a draft resolution entitled "Follow-up to nuclear disarmament obligations
agreed in the 1995 and 2000 Review Conferences of the Parties to
the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons" (A/C.1/60/L.38/Rev.2)
in First Committee. The resolution calls upon the Nuclear Weapon
States (NWS) to comply with the commitments made in the practical
disarmament steps adopted by the 2000
NPT Review Conference, focusing on step nine, which includes
further unilateral reductions, increased transparency, reduction
of non-strategic weapons, reduction of operational status of nuclear
weapons, a diminishing role for nuclear weapons, and engagement
of all NWS in the disarmament process. This step is in accordance
with Article VI of the NPT, which states
"Each of the Parties to the Treaty undertakes to pursue negotiations
in good faith on effective measures relating to cessation of the
nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament, and
on a treaty on general and complete disarmament under strict and
effective international control."
As John Burroughs of the Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy (LCNP) reported in the Final
Edition of the First
Committee Monitor, ". . . given that Iran's draft, unlike
other resolutions, focuses solely in its operative provisions on
obligations of Nuclear Weapon States, it would appear to be a sort
of gamesmanship showing that two can play at accusations of non-compliance
with NPT obligations. Based on a past history of concealment, Iran
was found to be in non-compliance with its safeguards agreement
in a divided September 24 vote of the IAEA Board. Iran's draft in
a way invites one to imagine that if there was a similar Disarmament
Board to assess the behavior of the Nuclear Weapons States, it would
find breaches of the 2000 commitments, especially by the United
States."
Joseph Cirincione expounded this sentiment in his testimony
before the Subcommittee
on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation on 28 August
2005, stating, “the majority of countries feel that the five
original nuclear weapons states (the United States, Russia, the
United Kingdom, France and China) do not intend to fulfill their
end of the NPT bargain—the pledge to eliminate nuclear weapons.
That growing conviction erodes the willingness among members of
this majority to live up to their side of the bargain—much
less to agree to strengthen the regime.”
However, Iran is also politicizing the issues of compliance and
nonproliferation, by concealing its true intentions behind the language
of multilateralism. As Rebecca Johnson of the Acronym
Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy noted, in presenting its
resolution Iran took advantage of the structure of the First Committee,
which “makes it difficult to defeat any resolution that gestures
sufficiently towards past agreements, the rhetoric of a moral high
ground (however spurious) or even the blandly meaningless. ”(Please
see the Verification
Report of the Final Edition of the First
Committee Monitor 2005.) Whether or not Iran is intent on developing
nuclear weapons, its actions have been duplicitous, covert, and
antagonistic, despite its claims to have cooperated beyond legal
obligation with the IAEA.
The NPT faces extreme blows to its strength and legitimacy as an
effective tool of international law if the US or Iran continues
on their current paths. If Iran obtains a bomb legally, by withdrawing
from the NPT, or illegally, by violating it, the NPT suffers. If
the US and other Western countries reject Iran’s right to
develop nuclear technology, the NPT also suffers.
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