North Korea and Nuclear Weapons
“The solution to the nuclear crisis requires
solving North Korea’s security dilemma.”
- David C. Kang, Dartmouth College
Recent
Developments
23 April 2008: South Korea's foreign minister said
the "last work" on securing North Korea's declaration
of its nuclear activities is under way and six-nation negotiations
could resume next month.
22 April 2008: A a team of US experts met
North Korea's top nuclear envoy Kim Kye-Gwan in Pyongyang
to discuss the declaration of the North's nuclear activities.
The group is led by Sung Kim, director of Korean Affairs office
at the State Department. It is due to return 24 April to South
Korea. Yonhap news agency said the US team would present a
detailed list of data and other materials which North Korea
needs to present for verification of its plutonium stockpile.
A government source explained, "North Korea is expected
to submit a declaration before the end of this month if the
US team's activity goes well."
14 April 2008: The Inter Press Service News Agency
ran an interesting article on the dissonance between media
headlines about six-party talks and the reality of military
trends in Northeast Asia: see "Talking
Peace, Preparing for War" by John Feffer.
13 April 2008: South Korean President Lee Myung Bak
urged
North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons, and said he will
cooperate with other involved nations in persuading North
Korea to give up nuclear weapons and added that he will keep
the "door open" for dialogue with the North. Meanwhile,
Sohn Hak-kyu, leader of the liberal United Democratic Party
(South Korea's main opposition party) vowed
to hold back the right-leaning government's tougher stance
toward North Korea by strengthening the liberal legislative
bloc. He warned that the government's conservative approach
may damage the momentum toward achieving a peaceful diplomatic
solution to North Korea's nuclear weapons program and also
cause a setback in South Korea's overall development.
12 April 2008: US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
denied
the North Korean nuclear arms issue is resolved, saying the
US needs to verify any North Korean declaration of its nuclear
activity. During a news conference with German Foreign Minister
Frank-Walter Steinmeier in Washington, she said, "We
are not yet at a point where we can make a judgment as to
whether or not the North Koreans have met their obligations
and we are therefore not at a point at which the United States
can make a judgment as to whether or not it's time to exercise
our obligations." She emphasized that the process involved
six nations, not just the US.
On the same day, Radio Free Asia cited
"multiple diplomatic sources" in Washington that
said a secret agreement was reached between the US and North
Korea, under which the US "will make a declaration of
North Korea's alleged uranium enrichment program and nuclear
cooperation with Syria on behalf of Pyongyang." In return,
Radio Free Asia reported, the agreement calls for North Korea
to "acknowledge" US concern over the two issues
and not to "challenge the facts". The radio station
said North Korea agreed to make a complete and correct declaration
of its nuclear weapons program "in the coming weeks".
10 April 2008: US Assistant Secretary of State Christopher
Hill, the chief US envoy to the six-party talks, said
negotiators have reached an understanding on how to move ahead
with deadlocked six-nation disarmament efforts. He said that
a meeting with his North Korean counterpart in Singapore this
week provided a "way forward," and indicated that
coming weeks will be crucial to the plan's success, without
elaborating. Hill said a meeting of nuclear envoys from the
six nations could take place in Beijing in the next few weeks
if all sides "can fulfill their obligations." When
he was asked if a six-nation meeting would coincide with the
US dropping the North from the terrorism blacklist, Hill said,"When
we do the six-party meeting, we will need to be in a position
to complete all" elements of the nuclear agreement.
9 April 2008: North Korea's Foreign Ministry said
that its negotiators had reached a "consensus" with
US Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill in Singapore
on US political concessions in return for the nuclear declaration.
8 April 2008: At a plenary meeting of the United
Nations Disarmament Commission's 2008 session, a representative
of North Korea's mission to the UN delivered a statement
in which he criticized recent US-South Korean joint military
excercises in South Korea, arguing that the exercises were
"a nuclear war rehearsal to attack the DPRK by force
of arms." He also asserted that "violent remarks
to preemptively strike the nuclear base of the DPRK were openly
made by the south Korean high ranking military official."
1 April 2008: US Assistant Secretary of State Christopher
Hill, the chief US envoy to the six-party talks, said
strained inter-Korean relations won't affect efforts to resume
the six-way talks on Pyongyang's nuclear program. While in
Seoul, Hill cautioned reporters against "overreacting"
to the building tension between North and South Korea. Hill's
comments followed North Korea's condemnation
of South Korea's new president, Lee Myung-bak, who reportedly
wants to link inter-Korean ties to progress at the multilateral
nuclear talks. Commentary published in North Korea's main
daily Rodong Sinmun warned that Seoul's tougher policies on
the North could lead to "catastrophic consequences".
It said, "The Lee regime will be held fully accountable
for the irrevocable catastrophic consequences to be entailed
by the freezing of the inter-Korean relations and the disturbance
of peace and stability on the Korean peninsula due to its
sycophancy towards the U.S. and its moves for confrontation
with the North."
26 March 2008: Christopher Hill, the chief US envoy
to the six-party talks, warned
Tuesday that internal politics in North Korea could interfere
with the nuclear deal. He said Pyongyang had informed Washington
on a number of occasions that it wanted to reach the deal
before President George W. Bush left office in January 2009,
but indicated, "North Korea is a country that has a very
vertically oriented governing structure to be sure ... And
so I think it is fair to say that there are people in North
Korea who really are not with the program here, really rather
continue to be producing this plutonium for whatever reason."
14 March 2008: US assistant secretary of state Christopher
Hill met
with his North Korean counterpart, Kim Kye-gwan, for eight
hours of negotiations. He said that other members of the six-party
talks - South Korea, China, Russia and Japan - were briefed
and that discussions would continue over the weekend.Sung
Kim, chief of the Korean affairs office, stayed behind in
case of a possible follow-up with the North Koreans, but it
wasn't yet decided whether there would be more meetings. Hill
told
reporters that the talks in Geneva were probably the most
substantive that the United States has had with North Korea
since problems developed in December over disarming Pyongyang's
nuclear weapons program: "We certainly are further along
in this consultation than we were when I arrived this morning,"
Hill said after meetings withKim Kye-gwan. "There has
been progress."
13 March 2008: The top nuclear negotiators from the
United States and North Korea met
in Geneva to resume talks over the stalled aid-for-disarmament
deal. Before going to the meeting, US negotiator Christopher
Hill told reporters, "I think we should be a little flexible
on format, but with the understanding that flexibility on
format doesn't mean flexibility on getting a complete and
correct declaration." On 12 March, the Washington
Post reported
there are "signs that the two sides, with the help of
China, have structured a diplomatic framework that could resolve
an impasse that has blocked a deal to end Pyongyang's nuclear
weapons programs."
10 March 2008: US Ambassador to South Korea Alexander
Vershbow said
North Korea must send a "clear signal" to fully
declare its nuclear programmes in order to get itself removed
from a list of state sponsors of terrorism. He argued, "They
have not yet shown us even the elements of what will constitute
a complete and concrete declaration," saying the US couldn't
remove the country from its terrorist list "until we
see a clear signal from the North Koreans that they are going
to do their part with regards to the declaration."
3 March 2008: North Korea's KCNA news agency quoted
a Foreign Ministry spokesman as saying
that US-South Korean war games that started on the weekend
"show that the United States continues to pursue its
hostile policy of squeezing our republic to death," and
warned that they would "put the brakes on the denuclearisation
process on the Korean peninsula." The New York Times
reported
that the criticism "dampened hopes for warmer ties between
the United States and North Korea," though US Assistant
Secretary of State Christopher Hill said
he still hopes for resumption of six-party talks: "If
we can resolve these matters in the next few weeks, which
I think is possible, I think we could depending on the views
of the Chinese host, get together for a 6-party meeting to
plan the next phase."
For news from September
2005 - February 2008, please see our Archived News.
Government
and United Nations Resources
Judy Aita, "North
Korea Talks on Track, U.S. Negotiator Says," Press
Release, US Department of State, 7 March 2007.
Joint
Statement from the Third Session of the Fifth Round
of the Six-Party Talks, 13 February 2007.
Office of the Spokesman, "Initial
Actions To Implement Six-Party Joint Statement,"
US Department of State, Washington, DC, 13 February
2007.
Statement
by President Bush, White House Press Office, 13
February 2007.
"North
Korea To Be Key Topic on Bush China Visit, Aide Says,"
US State Department, 19 November 2005.
China, DPRK, Japan, ROK, Russia, US, "Joint
Statement of the Fourth Round of the Six-Party Talks,"
Beijing, 19 September 2005.
Sharon A. Squassoni, “North
Korea’s Nuclear Weapons: How Soon an Arsenal?”
CRS Report for Congress RS21391 (Washington, DC: Congressional
Research Services, The Library of Congress, 1 August
2005)
IAEA Board of Governors, “Chairman’s
Conclusion on Item 5 (b): Nuclear Verification,”
Report by the Director General on the implementation
of safeguards in the Democratic People’s Republic
of Korea, 3 March 2005.
"Remarks
With European Union President Jean Asselborn, European
Union High Representative and Secretary General Javier
Solana, and European Union External Relations Commissioner
Benita Ferrero-Waldner," United States State Department
Press Release, 10 February 2005.
KCNA News Agency, “N
Korea’s statement in full,” BBC
Online, 10 February 2005.
International
Atomic Energy Agency – In Focus: IAEA and DPRK
Comprehensive IAEA
Timeline of key events in the IAEA/DPRK Relationship
(1977-2005)
IAEA
Fact Sheet on DPRK Safeguards
Complete
Text of the 1994 Agreement between the United States and
North Korea
NGO
and Think-Tank Resources
John Feffer, "Talking
Peace, Preparing for War," Inter Press Service
News Agency, 14 April 2008.
James Acton, "Can
We Verify NORK Pu Declaration?," Arms Control Wonk,
7 December 2007.
Paul Kerr, "North
Korea Talks Stalled by Banking Dispute," Arms Control
Today, April 2007.
René Wadlow, "The
Korean Peace Process: A Major Step Forward," Newropeans
Magazine, 15 February 2007.
Paul Kerr, "No
Progress at North Korea Talks," Arms Control Today,
January/February 2007.
Paul Kerr, "Iran,
North Korea Deepen Missile Cooperation," Arms Control
Tolday, January/February 2007.
Dingli Shen, "Meaningfully
engaging North Korea," Bulletin of Atomic Scientists,
17 January 2007.
Center for Nonproliferation Studies, "North
Korea Conducts Nuclear Test," Monterey Institute of
International Studies, 10 October 2006.
Statement
by Sam Nunn about the Apparent North Korean Nuclear Test,
Nuclear Threat Initiative, 9 October 2006.
Global Security Newswire, "North
Korean Crisis Still Stalled One Year Later," Nuclear
Threat Initiative, 18 September 2006.
Paul Kerr, "News
Analysis: North Korea: Are the Six-Party Nuclear Talks Dead?,"
Arms Control Today, September 2006.
Paul Kerr, "Security
Council Condemns NK Missile Tests," Arms Control Today,
September 2006.
David Krieger, “Why
Nations Go Nuclear,” The Sunflower, Issue
103, December 2005.
Daryl G. Kimball, "'Getting
Serious' About North Korea," Arms Control Today, Washington,
DC: Arms Control Association, December 2005.
Paul Kerr, "North
Korea Increasing Weapons Capabilities," Arms Control
Today, Washington, DC: Arms Control Association,
December 2005.
Hui Zhang, "Don't blame Beijing: In its own way, China
is actually trying to influence North Korea," Bulletin of
Atomic Scientists,
vol. 61, no. 5, September/October 2005.
Seven
Questions: Dealing with North Korea," Foreign Policy,
July 2005.
Robert S. Norris and Hans M. Kristensen, “North
Korea’s nuclear program, 2005,” Bulletin
of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 61, No. 03, May/June
2005.
Bernard Gwertzman, “Korea
Expert Pinkston: Six-Nation North Korea Talks 'Are Dead',”
interview with Daniel A. Pinkston, Council on Foreign Relations,
9 May 2005.
Andrew F. Diamond and Daniel A. Pinkston, “Don’t
Outsource North Korea Problem to China,” The
Korea Herald, 25 April 2005.
Special
Report on the North Korea Nuclear Weapons Statement,
East Asia Nonproliferation Program (Monterey, CA: Center
for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International
Studies, 11 February 2005)
John Burroughs, "Nonproliferation
Treaty Applies to Both North Korea and the United States,"
Nuclear Disarmament and Nonproliferation (New York: Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy, Spring 2003)
Arms Control Association, North
Korea Special Issue, Arms Control Today, May 2003.
Institute for Energy and Environmental Research and Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy, "Compliance
Assessment of North Korean and U.S. Obligations Under the
Non-Proliferation Treaty and 1994 Agreed Framework,"
Nuclear Disarmament and Nonproliferation (New York: Lawyers'
Committee on Nuclear Policy, 23 January 2003)
Norman D. Levin and Yong-Sup Han, Sunshine
in Korea: The South Korean Debate over Policies Toward North
Korea (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2002)
Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace: Korea
Center
for Nonproliferation Studies: North Korea Resources, East
Asia Non-Proliferation Program, Comprehensive Timeline (1977-1999)
Center
for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International
Studies: North Korea Special Collection
Council
on Foreign Relations (CFR): Proliferation Issues
Federation
of American Scientists (FAS): North Korean Nuclear Weapons
Program
Institute
for Science and International Security: North Korea
Library
of Congress North Korea Profile
Nuclear
Threat Initiative (NTI): North Korea
Academic
Resources
Jason
Qian and Xiaohui (Anne) Wu,"Ending
Mutually Assured Mistrust," The Korea Herald,
21 November 2005.
Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, "Bottling
the Nuclear Genie," The Boston Globe, 9 October
2005.
John S. Park, "Inside
Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks," The Washington
Quarterly, 28, no. 4, Autumn 2005.
Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, "Kim
Jong-il Practicing the 'Art of War'," The Korea
Herald, 14 August 2005.
David C. Kang, The
Avoidable Crisis in North Korea (Philadelphia, PA: Foreign
Policy Research Institute, Summer 2003)
Harvard University, Belfer Center for Science
and International Affairs: Science,
Technology, and Public Policy Program
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