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Economic Aspects

In the United States there is certainly a widespread sense as to the destruction and death that would come from nuclear war. As with the eventual certainty of personal death, it is something of which we are aware but which we put aside. Our reaction, as with death, is not to contemplate but to mentally subdue or escape. As an aspect of this escape, we do not reflect on the special vulnerability of the United States to nuclear war, or even to relatively minor nuclear assault. It is this which, as an economist, I here address.

Such is the vulnerability of the American economy that in the form we know it, it could be brought to an end by the most elementary of nuclear attacks. This could be accomplished by a tactical nuclear weapon on downtown New York. With such an attack there would, of course, be massive death and destruction. But additionally the American economy would be made non-functional. No longer in the economic world would it be known what was owned and what possessed in the banks. That knowledge would be destroyed along with the people that convey the information.

The trading of securities would, of course, come to an end but, as seriously, so would the knowledge throughout the country of what is owned. Those with ownership in and income from the financial world — stocks, bonds and other financial instruments — would find a record of their possessions eliminated. It would be true for individuals and for corporations throughout the country. Ownership would come to an end; of assets possessed there would no longer be a record. Capitalism as it is known would be finished. This, to repeat, would be the result of one small nuclear weapon.


This is a matter not discussed. More remarkable is that the issue is evaded by those who would have most to lose. Generally speaking it is political conservatives who resist nuclear arms control and the reduction of the threat of nuclear weapons and nuclear war. These are the individuals and institutions with the greatest stake in capitalism and therefore its protection. Pressure for the control of nuclear weapons and the elimination of nuclear threat comes from the political Left, as indicated by all recent congressional action. Neither Left nor Right have responded to the extraordinary vulnerability of our economic system to nuclear war or even nuclear accident.

The time must come when, along with our moral obligation, we must see that there are grounds for a very practical economic concern. The American economy as we know it would be totally disabled and destroyed by even the slightest nuclear action. This, on a rational basis, should be a first concern of all defenders of the system.

John Kenneth Galbraith

Harvard University

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